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Hey, Bankless Nation.

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In this episode, I talked to Shaheen Farsi.

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He is a general partner at Lux Capital, which is a hard tech venture firm.

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They invest in frontier technologies, AI, automation, biotech, robotics, just to name a few.

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Not in crypto.

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This is not a crypto episode.

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I wanted to go learn a little bit more about robotics.

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Robotics.

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And Shaheen is a veteran of automation and robotics.

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Automation is a very important word.

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There's a lot of hype and excitement about humanoid robotics.

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You know, the Tesla Optimus Prime, the figure robot.

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And Andrew Kang really came into the crypto industry really talking about like robotics and humanoid robotics.

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And I want to learn about that.

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I want to learn about robotics and the investing space around there.

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Jaheen has been investing in robotics for a decade plus.

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And so he's seen a thing or two and he's been around a few hype cycles in robotics.

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And so he's just probably the foremost expert on this industry.

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And so I'm pretty honored to be able to host him on this conversation and just learn about a sector outside of crypto that's in frontier technology that I think is going to be very, very impactful from somebody who just knows all the ins or outs.

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And so with that preamble out of the way, Shaheen, welcome to Bankless.

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Thank you for having me, David.

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Shaheen, there has been a ton of hype around robotics.

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And I think a lot of people are learning about the robotics sector for the very first time.

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And so this is why I reached out to you and Lux, because I want to get a veteran on the show to ask a veteran what they think about the robotics industry.

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There's just been a crescendoing of hype lately.

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And while hype is exciting and it's fun and it's an opportunity to learn, it can also be dangerous.

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And so I think the first question I want to throw at you is, is the hype around robotics justified?

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What do you think?

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Yes, it's absolutely justified.

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Okay.

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Okay.

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That's a pretty simple answer.

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So the hype around robotics, I think, comes downstream of like a lot of products or companies coming live with humanoid robots.

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Is that what gets you excited about robotics, the humanoid element, the figure and Tesla Optimus Prime robots?

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Is that the same?

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Because that's my sector.

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That's what are getting people excited in my neck of the woods.

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Is that the same for you?

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No.

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So I'm not particularly excited about the humanoids.

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I'm excited about the most recent wave of innovations in AI and cheap manufacturing and the ability to make things that are extremely complicated, systems that are very complicated at a very low price.

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So you combine the intelligence with the cheap manufacturing together and you have products otherwise wouldn't have been possible for certain use cases.

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Robotics is not new.

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Automation isn't new.

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We've had automation for decades, if not a century, with the advent of the assembly line, you know, with the creation of Ford.

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And so my view is that over the past, I would say, 15 years, with AI in the form of convolutional neural nets in the early 2010s,

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and the continued slope of cost reduction with robotic arms, we've seen a whole new wave of new robotics applications.

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And I think the humanoid robotics are a manifestation of that.

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But my personal excitement in robotics and automation isn't rooted in the humanoids.

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It's rooted in this more macro tailwind around the software that drives the robots,

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And the commoditization of the hardware that the software runs on.

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If you rewind back to, say, the 1970s, there was a similar opportunity, a similar moment around the integration of microprocessors, which were the equivalent of AI of our time.

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into robotics.

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And that's how you saw robotics enter into, for example, automotive manufacturing.

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You had these robotic arms that had a level of intelligence in them that allowed them to be programmed to very fine specifications, to do very specific tasks like welding, riveting, gluing, painting,

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various types of inspections.

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And that's what began this rapid proliferation of robotics into the broader manufacturing settings.

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Whereas today, when you walk into most automotive manufacturing facilities, a lot of the basic steps in automotive manufacturing are completely automated.

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You don't see any people involved at all until the later steps where various parts of the interior, the wiring harnesses, the glass are starting to be installed in the vehicle.

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And what we're seeing today, to the point that you brought up, is a lot of the companies that sell into these larger companies also having the benefit of automation.

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So when you walk into a Ford factory, you see a ton of automation.

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But if you walk into the factory that sells the components that are sold into the Ford factory, you may not see as much automation because they don't have the budgets.

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They don't have the investment to be able to invest.

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the way Ford can invest in its automation.

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And now what we're seeing with AI is just like how it is now easy for anybody to generate code, it's becoming as easy for anyone to program a robot and these robots are getting very cheap.

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And so now you're seeing a lot of these companies who otherwise didn't have access

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to robots.

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These industries otherwise didn't have access to robots, now getting access to them in a way we hadn't seen before.

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So that's what catalyzes my excitement around robots, which may be slightly different than what's catalyzing yours or perhaps others' excitement around robotics.

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And that would just perhaps be in the minority of

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Folks that probably, you know, I'm optimistic, but I'm not as excited about what we're seeing right now in humanoid robots yet as perhaps others are.

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I do want to talk to you about humanoid robotics, but I think maybe it's worth putting a pin in that and just saving that for later and really diving into what you just discussed right now.

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Maybe if I could just try and summarize your excitement, it's really about the integration of intelligence into automation.

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And inside of automation, in addition to that, intelligence is allowing for cost reduction, deflation for what it means to automate things.

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And so it's about the collision of automation and intelligence and also the accessibility of automation to be applied to more and more industries.

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And that's what you really get excited about as an investor.

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That's right.

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And as somebody who is excited about like growing the GDP of the United States.

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This is a fair summary of your excitement.

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As an investor, David.

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Many VCs are excited about, you know, giant markets and unfair advantages and monopolistic businesses in those markets.

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I'm particularly excited about opportunities to create markets where none exist.

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And what we're seeing with robotics is that markets for robotics are being created where markets for robots previously didn't exist for the reasons that you mentioned.

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the AI, the software, the commoditization of the hardware, which is now creating a market where one didn't exist.

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And there's companies out there that are in a position to now dominate those nascent markets.

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Can we try and define some terms a little bit?

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We're using robotics and we're also using automation.

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Are those the same terms?

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Are they different?

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And how should we think about these things when we're talking about this industry?

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Good question.

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So I look at automation as a solution to a problem.

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So there are many aspects associated with automation.

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There's a financing aspect.

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aspect associated to it.

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There's an engineering aspect associated with it, which has nothing to do with the robot.

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How do you engineer your factory floor

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and your workflows to be able to benefit from robotic participation.

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It is the physical robot itself.

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It's the software that runs on the robot.

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It's the systems that are put in place to maintain the robots and make sure that they're up 99.999% of the time.

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And so I view all of those resources culminating in the end goal of,

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the automation of a task to fall under that envelope of automation with the physical robots and the software that is running on that robot being a component of that?

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But that's a great question.

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Automation is the broad category, and we need a bunch of robots to create the process of automation, but automation and robots are not the same thing.

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Correct.

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Robots obviously automate, but automation is not just limited to robots.

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And then there's a spectrum of generalizability, I feel.

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I think people probably have an image in their head of the forward floor and there's like a fixed arm that can actuate and move.

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And it does a lot of the actual work.

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But it feels very precise.

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It feels very locked in.

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It's meant to do that one job.

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Maybe people can also think of an Amazon floor of little robots running around moving packages and they're not fixed.

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And maybe they're slightly more generalized than the car building arm

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Is there a spectrum to discuss about the generalizability of robots?

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And are you particularly bullish on a region of generalizability?

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Or is this not really a subject that is discussed much when it comes to robotics and automation?

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I feel like the automation solutions are as broad as the problem set.

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So as you stated, the problem associated with order fulfillment in an Amazon warehouse is very different from the problem associated with assembling the components of a vehicle.

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They're two very different problems.

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And they demand very different automation solution.

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Now, I can see from the perspective of a founder or from the perspective of an investor in a company to be motivated to champion their investments or their company as the singular solution to all problems.

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There is an economic motivation there.

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in presenting that picture that, hey, I'm building a widget that's going to solve every problem associated with automation.

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And it has a human form factor because humans do many tasks, if not most tasks.

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I would argue that that is more of an economically driven argument, more so than a practical one.

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The way I view the world and the way I view the opportunity is that specific applications are best suited to certain types of robotics and automation solutions.

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And so my expectation is that there will be an opportunity for a

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humanoid form factor machine that does some subset of tasks that are performed by humans today, but they will be one of many automation solutions that will take on many shapes and forms.

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So if you look at the robot

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that is used in the Ford factory today, that is an arm that has, for example, a welder and defector, it probably has zero resemblance to the robotic cart in an Amazon warehouse that shuttles boxes from one location of the warehouse to another for either stocking or order fulfillment.

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These robots have practically nothing to do with each other, except perhaps both being made from metal and plastic.

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And I think that's what having some computer chips in them and cameras on them, but that perhaps that's where the resemblance ends.

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Yet both bring significant value to their end use cases.

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And so it's my expectation that,

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those specific form factors will continue to proliferate alongside the humanoids, which will have their own place in the market.

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But I personally, as an end of one, don't see a single solution dominating all problems because I just don't think a single solution will be able to be best served to most problems.

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So would you say that there is the humanoid end of the spectrum?

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And maybe one of the reasons why that's fun and sexy to talk about is that the form factor is going to be consistent across companies.

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And I mean, they look like us and so we can get excited about them.

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But I think what I just heard you say is that that's kind of going to be the only consistent form factor.

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And when we talk about the rest of robotics that it takes to create automation, the form factors are going to be highly heterogeneous and non-overlapping and specific and tailored to their needs.

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And one of the inputs that we need to make that world work is the deflation and cost of creating this whole industry in the first place, which we talked about earlier.

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Would you agree with that assessment?

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I would say yes, broadly.

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There are components that go into these robots that will be consistent across use cases.

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The cameras, the force sensors, the reduction gear sets, the encoders, the power management systems, the...

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the actual arms.

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The building blocks.

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The building blocks will be consistent.

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For example, if you look at a smartphone, it may have little resemblance with, for example, a laptop, a small, inexpensive laptop.

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The use case for the cell phone may be very different from the use case, let's say, for example, for an iPad.

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Yet, a lot of the technology that goes into the phone, the ARM-based processor, the memory, the Wi-Fi interface, the video driver, even the LCD screen itself, there are different form factors.

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They have different specifications, but they share the same basic technological architecture.

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Even their operating systems may share many, many thousands of lines of code.

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but they're used for very different use cases with a similar technology basis.

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So when you see a robotic arm that is doing welding, it may have the same motors, encoders, force sensors, cameras, as the robot that's doing the riveting.

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But the robot that's doing the riveting may have a larger, for example, range of motion.

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It has a different end effector attached to it.

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And so it is engineered for that use case, yet that use case is very broad, but not as broad as doing everything for everybody.

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So I generally take issue with the notion of we're building a robot that's going to perform all tasks because I think it'll be very difficult for a robot that performs all tasks to be better than a robot that's specialized.

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to a certain task?

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And why would someone not use a robot that's specialized to that certain task?

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And so on the specialization end of the spectrum, the specialization to generalization spectrum, I guess the bottleneck is if we indeed do have all of the raw ingredients that it takes to make a robot, we have the power, we have the actuators, the ball bearings,

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really the constraint is the ability to put them in the right package according to the actual task at hand.

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Is that the current constraint?

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Is great, we have the pieces, but we need to put them in the right shapes.

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And that part can be more difficult because there's more possible shapes to order all the pieces in than could, than, than, you know, there's so many possible shapes that,

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to order all the pieces that it's a little bit hard to bear.

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Is that a fair assessment?

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And that's why you've only seen robotics proliferate in these larger industrial settings.

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Ford has tens of millions of dollars that it can deploy to companies who specialize in this.

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Companies like Honeywell, Dermatix, Symbotic, Winright.

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These companies who specialize in engineering robotic solutions for a particular product

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use case.

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In Ford's case, it would be an assembly line.

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So the robots that, for example, put a sheet of aluminum into a stamp, the robots that take those sheets of aluminum, the stamped aluminum out of the stamp, put into another stamp.

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And then the robot that has a camera at the end that inspects the stamped part to make sure there's no defects.

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and then the robot that puts two pieces of stamped metal together, and the other robot, a third robot, doing the weld between those pieces of sheet metal, those stamped pieces of sheet metal.

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And then robots doing the riveting and the gluing, and then lowering it into a bath of acid, and the robots that are doing the painting.

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So there are many tasks that need to be automated, that need to be engineered by the integrator, which is extremely expensive.

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And there are few companies today that can afford to do that with the legacy technology that was available to us until today.

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And my enthusiasm is rooted to the earlier part of the conversation and these robots becoming less expensive and more.

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the engineering that goes into making them useful becoming far more accessible, just like how anybody can now speak to a computer and generate code, I see a future where someone can speak to an interface powered by AI that will then program the robot to do a specific task rather than you having to hire an engineer.

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to do that for you.

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And we'll see the more rapid adoption of automation and more and more settings that until now didn't have that access.

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So you're right.

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It is taking the individual components and building all the software and the tools that you need to actually make that system that you build for your use case useful.

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It feels like kind of building a developer platform of sorts in that we have all the basic ingredients and we need to be able to allow people to tinker with, play with, combine all of the pieces in order to suit their needs.

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And making this more and more accessible is going to allow the market to place automation in deeper, more niche, more specific parts of the market so long as we can just figure out how to open up

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robotics to just and be more accessible.

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That's kind of what it feels like.

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And that's what companies are doing today, which fuels my enthusiasm.

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I'll give you an example.

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So tell me about them.

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So if you wanted to develop a robot that does some kind of unstructured task.

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So when you're talking about welding two pieces of sheet metal together, it is a very structured task.

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You are within the, you know, thousands of a millimeter.

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You know where this robotic end effector is going and you know exactly what it's doing.

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When you're talking about the less structured task, it becomes extremely challenging to develop automation for.

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If you fast forward to today, you have companies like Physical Intelligence that we invested in that are building models that specialize in various unstructured tasks.

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And they're putting many of those models on open source repositories for roboticists to use and fine tune for their individual use cases.

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This is extremely powerful and a huge enabler for the community.

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that didn't exist until very recently.

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So what would have required many PhDs and millions of dollars of funding and many years now can be achieved by an undergraduate student, maybe even a high school student, downloading and installing one of these models and fine tuning the robot to perform a specific task.

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Your question, follow-on question could be, well, why don't we have robots everywhere today?

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It's that we still have some work to do to make these robots more reliable and to make them faster and to make them competitive with labor.

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And we can get into that, if you'd like, on the role that labor has in the proliferation of robotics.

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I do want to get into that.

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Let me ask you this one last question

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It seems, I was going to ask you, are we on the cusp of something big in robotics?

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But it sounds like, and what I mean by that is that, you know, we have AI, we have, you know, decreasing costs of automation, feels like we have the raw ingredients.

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And so we're close, you know, we're close to a cusp.

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it kind of sounds like we're actually, the cusp is behind us.

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And actually, the ball is materially rolling towards this direction.

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To your point, we don't, as me as a consumer, you know, somebody who walks around the streets of New York is not impacting my life yet.

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But in the factories, the frontier of this intelligence is progressing, and progress is being made.

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We don't quite yet have the very high reliability that we need.

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But in terms of

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you know, a step function change in progress in the world of automation and robotics, it sounds like that ball is already rolling and it's no longer an if, it's already like happening now.

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Is that correct?

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That's right.

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And the analogy that I like to use and the evidence that I have that points to the theme that you're sharing is compute, compute.

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If you look at the 70s and 80s, people regarded computers as pieces of hardware.

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When you thought about a computer, you thought about what the processor speed was, how much RAM did it have, what was the graphics interface.

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That was what defined personal computing in the 80s and into the early 90s.

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the rapid proliferation occurred, that, I guess, that tipping point occurred with the internet.

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And compute was no longer regarded as a piece of, let's say, capital equipment, something physical or a machine

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It was regarded as a capability.

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You went on the internet, you consumed content, you stored your files, and the physical hardware was completely abstracted away.

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I feel like right now we're in the equivalent of the early 90s,

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of compute with robotics, where when you and I have a conversation, we're still talking about the physical robots.

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We're talking about the machine.

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We're talking about the plastic and the bearings and the software.

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We're still not talking about the output of the machine.

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The emphasis is not on the output of the machine the way the emphasis today is on the output of compute, which is evidence of this mass

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proliferation.

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So I feel like we are on that trend towards abstracting away the plastic and the metal

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and the cool demos and focusing on what these robots are going to do for us.

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And I feel like that is a direction that we're headed towards.

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And that's what makes me very excited.

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Let's go into what you were talking about a second ago with a labor input into robotics.

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I'm actually not sure where this conversation leads.

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So I think I need you to actually take the reins here.

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What is significant about this part of this conversation?

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Yeah, so there's always this ongoing debate about the question of how robots affect labor.

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Human labor, human jobs, are we going to be automated out of a job like this question?

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There's this general concern, which is a warranted concern, it's justified, that if you increase automation,

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then you are reducing opportunities for labor.

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And the enemy of labor, the enemy of work is automation.

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And if you observe historical trends...

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you'll see that economies who benefit from more automation, who adopt more automation, tend to also benefit from less unemployment.

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And economies who do not automate tend to suffer from more unemployment.

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So that's been the general trend.

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And so I would say that the enemy here of both

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labor and jobs, as well as automation, is cheap labor.

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So cheap labor here is the common threat or the common, let's say, enemy here.

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When you have cheap labor somewhere else, then you are now threatening the jobs or the employment

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in your market.

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And by the same token, when you have cheap labor available, then you're increasing the hurdle rates that automation needs to cross in order to be able to proliferate.

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And the observation that I've had is that when you automate, yes, you may be displacing

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jobs, but you are disproportionately creating higher quality jobs where you have less churn, where you have greater worker satisfaction.

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We're investors in a company called Formic.

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And what they're doing is offering robots as a service.

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What they sell is not a physical machine.

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What they sell is the output of a machine.

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They abstract away the machine

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And they make it as easy for you as the owner or operator of a factory or a warehouse to automate as it is for you to hire labor.

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And these customers are not deploying automation because they want to reduce their headcount or save money.

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They're trying to do this because they can't find workers.

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And these are jobs that have extremely high...

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churn rates.

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And what they've actually experienced is creating more and more jobs that are higher quality that do not suffer from the worker dissatisfaction and the churn that they experienced prior to adopting automation.

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And again, the enemy of all of this is not, the enemy of jobs and automation, again, is not the robots.

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It is the cheap labor, if that makes sense.

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Yeah, yeah, I think it does.

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And I think that takes us to where I want to go next, which is just the impact of,

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on the economy of a successful automation industry.

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I think you talked about it just a little bit now.

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We get more higher quality jobs.

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Yes, there may be some short-term dislocation of jobs, jobs from A to B.

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Perhaps there is short-term economic pain in some industries, but in the long term,

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in the long term and the trends point towards more higher paying jobs.

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What about just like the rest of the economy, the cost of goods, the cost of food, the cost of like building a physical like non-software, non-SaaS based startup

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say the automation industry does everything that it hopes to do in the next decade.

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What would that mean for just the average consumer's life in terms of prices and just what the impact on the economy would be?

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I mean, I'll give you the broad answer, and that would be more selection, more competition, and ultimately a benefit to consumers.

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So if a factory, so factories, for example, that our company Formake is selling automation into,

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They have more productivity.

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Their workers get paid more.

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They generate from better unit economics.

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And they ultimately are able to sell better products at better prices.

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And the benefit trickles down to the end customer.

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So it's my expectation, my belief, that if you're able to make automation simple enough to adopt and make it reliable enough,

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then everybody from the people that sell products to these automation customers to the people that purchase the products from them will ultimately benefit.

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And I think the key point here is educating our workforce.

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If we make sure that our workforce is educated and has the opportunity to grow their skill set,

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more higher paying and higher quality jobs.

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And so I think that's something that we as a society have to take upon ourselves to keep our workforce, to make sure our workforce is prepared for this new generation of work that's going to come about

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as a result of automation, as opposed to looking at it as, oh no, jobs are being eliminated, so what do we do with our workforce?

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We should be more proactive about it.

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Is there a particular industry that you get really excited about when it comes to the potential of said industry with automation?

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Like agriculture, I could imagine, gets scaled, but I'm sure there's a handful of industries that it's possible to talk about.

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Does one stick out to you as particularly exciting?

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Yeah, I mean, if you look at agriculture historically, agriculture is one of the first industries to be automated.

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And as a result of that, we went from, you know, food shortages to food being completely abundant as a result.

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You know, you look at industries like automotive, consumer electronics.

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These are industries that are highly automated.

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And as a result...

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You know, we have cars that are extremely safe, extremely efficient.

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And, you know, many of us have the benefit of either keeping our cars for 10 years, like myself, you know, that are reliable and run for a long time.

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Or we can go out and buy the latest and greatest car.

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And the newer the cars get, the cheaper they get and the more capable they get.

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And the more safe and efficient that they get.

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So these are all benefits that come to us.

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I feel like the zeitgeist today, David, going back to your earlier question about excitement, is around robots in domestic settings.

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So we're talking about companion robots.

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We're talking about butler robots, you know, robots and household settings.

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I am a little cautious about those kinds of use cases for two reasons.

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One, because I feel like there's still a huge opportunity for automation in factory and warehousing settings.

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There is plenty of work to do there.

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There's plenty of opportunities to automate in those settings.

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And I feel like it may not be as sexy as a companion robot or a maid robot, but I feel like those applications are still very, very real.

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We're seeing the proliferation of autonomous cars.

365
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I mean, they are a fantastic example of a robot.

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Um, there's a lot more room there.

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We still haven't, we were promised, um, uh, you know, the, the big rigs and the trucks, uh, to become automated.

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They still haven't become fully automated.

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So we'll see hopefully in the near future, more autonomous vehicles, autonomous trucks.

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And I feel like the future of a humanoid robot tackling the challenges in a domestic setting, cleaning up after a child, helping an elderly person, doing basic tasks like emptying the dishwasher, I think we'll see that come.

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But I feel like that is further out.

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And I'm more excited about these near-term opportunities now.

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and more, I would say, industrial and commercial settings.

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Because those are the opportunities that scale to all of society in a very efficient way, right?

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It's getting a humanoid robot into everyone's home.

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That's like a huge last mile problem.

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There's huge constraints with the actual design of the robot.

378
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But I think one of the reasons why I think you're excited is that there are a few places where you can put robots and automation into that have just massive benefits for society as a whole.

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That's right.

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And so it's a little bit of the scalability of the effect, I think, is something that gets you excited about the automation side.

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I don't want to say easier because all these problems are challenging, but I feel like the problems are more constrained in these industrial and commercial settings.

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And the value proposition or the economics that are more well-defined than robots going into a domestic setting.

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When you buy, for example, a piece of furniture,

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Um, the, you know, my, you know, I may sleep on my couch, you know, uh, every afternoon and take a nap.

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You may not even sit on that couch, you know, uh, for months, depending on like, you know, how we look at couches.

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And so.

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given the widely varying utility that consumers get from these kinds of discretionary purchases, I think it would be challenging to introduce a piece of technology like that into the domestic setting.

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I think I wouldn't say that it's

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that it's, that it's impossible.

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I'm just saying that it, it'll take longer than a lot of people think.

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And listen, like, I'm a huge robotics nerd.

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I was a big Star Trek fan.

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I, you know, I wish to be able to interact with a robot, like, you know, Commander Data from, from, from series from next generation.

394
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But like,

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I'm excited for that day, but I just feel like it's a little further out than what a lot of people hope.

396
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What are the constraints that are trying to be solved right now?

397
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Of the robotics automation companies that you guys have invested in at Lux, is there a common denominator of problems trying to be tackled?

398
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Or what are the modern problems in the proliferation of automation and robotics?

399
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It really comes down to the breadth of applications, the reliability, and being able to demonstrate the unit economics to customers.

400
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Because you're talking about a relatively nascent product.

401
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Like when somebody, when a customer buys, for example, a conveyor belt,

402
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or a package sorting machine, or a oven for their restaurants, there's very clear economics attached to that.

403
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If you have a coffee shop and you buy a coffee grinding machine for $5,000 or whatever it is, it's very clear as to what the return on that investment is.

404
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When you're talking about a new product, a new technology, with a sample set of 10 customers who've used this before, it's much more challenging to be able to justify that return on investment.

405
00:40:13.805 --> 00:40:33.640
So I think being able to demonstrate value, being able to create an opportunity for a customer to be able to properly underwrite is the challenge that a lot of these new wave of automation companies are facing right now, perhaps more so than just technology.

406
00:40:33.660 --> 00:40:34.361
It's being able to.

407
00:40:34.985 --> 00:40:38.086
quantify the value add for their customers.

408
00:40:59.633 --> 00:41:05.858
More than 2,000 podcast transcripts, 10,000 articles, and countless conversations with the people actually building this industry.

409
00:41:06.058 --> 00:41:09.421
And now we've structured all of that data into the Bankless MCP.

410
00:41:09.541 --> 00:41:17.047
So you can go and connect it to your Claude or ChatGPT, and suddenly your AI can answer your crypto queries with the entire Bankless archive behind it.

411
00:41:17.147 --> 00:41:23.252
And every new Bankless article or episode gets added automatically, so the context keeps staying up to date.

412
00:41:23.272 --> 00:41:27.175
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413
00:41:27.395 --> 00:41:31.496
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414
00:41:31.596 --> 00:41:36.518
And all of a sudden, your crypto queries to your AI, LLM, whatever you use, will get a thousand times better.

415
00:41:36.658 --> 00:41:37.298
So go check it out.

416
00:41:37.418 --> 00:41:38.599
There is a link in the show notes.

417
00:41:38.659 --> 00:41:42.840
And once you become a Bankless Premium member, you can hop into the Bankless Discord and let me know how you like it.

418
00:41:42.960 --> 00:41:43.641
Some exciting news.

419
00:41:43.721 --> 00:41:48.466
We are launching a new podcast to help people figure out the crypto cycle, how to navigate it.

420
00:41:48.546 --> 00:41:51.228
The best crypto cycle investor I know, his name is Michael Nato.

421
00:41:51.328 --> 00:41:52.369
He runs the DeFi Report.

422
00:41:52.430 --> 00:41:57.194
This is the guy that sent me a sell alert before the 1010 price drop happened.

423
00:41:57.374 --> 00:41:59.837
His cycle analysis has been absolutely on point.

424
00:41:59.917 --> 00:42:01.258
I've been following him for years.

425
00:42:01.419 --> 00:42:04.842
And this year we started recording weekly podcast episodes.

426
00:42:05.002 --> 00:42:12.768
Each one, we get into his portfolio, what he's holding, the market structure, entry targets, fair market value of Bitcoin and Ether, and where we are in the cycle.

427
00:42:12.868 --> 00:42:15.270
There's new episodes that are released every Wednesday.

428
00:42:15.330 --> 00:42:16.071
They're 30 minutes.

429
00:42:16.131 --> 00:42:16.591
They're short.

430
00:42:16.631 --> 00:42:17.272
They're punchy.

431
00:42:17.392 --> 00:42:19.774
I think this crypto cycle is harder to navigate than most.

432
00:42:20.014 --> 00:42:21.255
So let's do it together.

433
00:42:21.395 --> 00:42:22.596
Go subscribe to this podcast.

434
00:42:22.656 --> 00:42:25.258
Search The DeFi Report wherever you get your podcasts.

435
00:42:25.318 --> 00:42:28.381
YouTube, Apple, Spotify, or find the link in the show notes.

436
00:42:28.521 --> 00:42:30.082
There's a new episode waiting for you now.

437
00:42:30.342 --> 00:42:35.224
I want to learn a little bit more about the intersection of AI and robotics.

438
00:42:36.324 --> 00:42:37.745
We have AI now.

439
00:42:38.805 --> 00:42:42.246
We are now having people talk about robots coming into the home.

440
00:42:42.326 --> 00:42:47.948
And I think the naive, simple thing to do in your imagination is like, oh, we've got LLMs.

441
00:42:48.309 --> 00:42:49.529
Let's put them into the robot.

442
00:42:49.629 --> 00:42:51.810
And now we have smart, generalized robots now.

443
00:42:52.390 --> 00:42:55.273
While preparing for this interview, I've learned that that's not quite how it works.

444
00:42:56.114 --> 00:42:57.135
I wish it was that simple.

445
00:42:57.796 --> 00:43:09.249
Shaheen, can you explain that VLMs and VLAs and all the other details that we need to know about how AI actually becomes imbued in robots?

446
00:43:09.690 --> 00:43:11.211
So AI comes in many flavors.

447
00:43:12.112 --> 00:43:32.208
And if you look at the technology that's more commonplace today, when AI is being implemented in a robot on the field today, most of those robots use some combination of sensing with their cameras and radar and LIDAR or whatever it is.

448
00:43:32.849 --> 00:43:37.653
And then they have a processing chain that tries to perceive information.

449
00:43:38.233 --> 00:43:48.698
Their environments, which is segmenting the sky versus the ground, what the objects are, what object is movable, what object is not movable, what is a target object.

450
00:43:48.758 --> 00:43:53.540
They call that in general perception from what is being sensed from their sensors.

451
00:43:54.321 --> 00:43:55.561
And then there is planning.

452
00:43:55.681 --> 00:43:59.043
Okay, so how do I reach for that object?

453
00:44:00.103 --> 00:44:09.911
If you're a car, what path should I take to get to the other side of the intersection, for example, if there is construction going on on the other side of the street?

454
00:44:10.531 --> 00:44:25.843
And then there's the actual actuation, which is, okay, now I'm going to activate this motor, activate that motor to execute on that plan that I've generated from my perception of the environment that I have collected from my sensors.

455
00:44:25.863 --> 00:44:25.963
Okay.

456
00:44:26.563 --> 00:44:37.032
So that is the, I would say, common AI-based workflow that exists in robots in the field today.

457
00:44:37.492 --> 00:44:46.680
I'm not intimate with the technology behind the Waymo vehicles, but my guess is that the way they operate today is somewhere along these lines.

458
00:44:47.301 --> 00:44:53.867
Now, what we're seeing with VLAs and VLMs is some flavor of,

459
00:44:55.208 --> 00:45:11.439
of using language to interpret a scene and then generating language from that language should then take some kind of action.

460
00:45:12.160 --> 00:45:21.166
I am vastly, grossly oversimplifying this, and there's many people out there that can explain this better than I can.

461
00:45:22.621 --> 00:45:34.092
but the core of it is using language to interpret a scene and then using language to come up with some plan of action and then executing on that.

462
00:45:34.412 --> 00:45:45.182
And as you know, with us as individuals and animals, we don't necessarily talk through what we're seeing and we don't talk through what we're going to do.

463
00:45:45.943 --> 00:45:59.081
There's many other steps that come into play and many other sensations that come to play and many other pre-planned reflexes and heuristics that come into play.

464
00:45:59.922 --> 00:46:02.686
And many companies are trying to bake that.

465
00:46:03.247 --> 00:46:05.530
into their models.

466
00:46:06.071 --> 00:46:17.368
The jury is still out as to whether you can simply solve this problem with scale to just make these absolutely gigantic models that rely on language alone

467
00:46:18.029 --> 00:46:35.645
to perform these tasks versus the more quote-unquote traditional approach, which is this sensing, perception, planning, action process, which was popularized pre-LLMs.

468
00:46:36.766 --> 00:46:42.832
I think the jury is still out as to what's going to come together, but it's my expectation that it's going to be some kind of hybrid process

469
00:46:44.167 --> 00:46:45.888
of the two, if that makes sense.

470
00:46:46.248 --> 00:46:56.193
But I can suggest many people that you can bring onto your show that can give a pretty thorough lesson on how these VLAs and VLMs actually work.

471
00:46:56.513 --> 00:47:01.716
That would definitely challenge myself as an interviewer to go that far down the robotics and automation rabbit hole.

472
00:47:01.736 --> 00:47:03.657
But I do find it very interesting.

473
00:47:03.897 --> 00:47:06.018
I probably should have defined VLM and VLA.

474
00:47:06.298 --> 00:47:09.900
That's vision language model and vision language action model.

475
00:47:10.400 --> 00:47:21.704
Would you say, is it fair to say like we got LLMs on the cloud anthropic open AI side and we have VLMs and VLAs on the automation robotic side or is it just not that clean?

476
00:47:21.724 --> 00:47:25.146
LLMs are basically, you know, chatbots.

477
00:47:25.386 --> 00:47:33.369
And then VLMs and VLAs are basically interpreting a scene with language and then taking action.

478
00:47:34.549 --> 00:47:49.797
based on putting a set of observations and intentions through a model and generating a plan from that and then converting that plan into action.

479
00:47:49.897 --> 00:48:00.603
So for example, taking a picture of a scene from a sensor, okay, here's all the objects in the scene by putting it through a vision language model

480
00:48:03.744 --> 00:48:09.148
basically a chat bot to come up with some kind of plan of action based on the robot's goals.

481
00:48:09.708 --> 00:48:16.333
And then turning that language into like, you know, motor actuations to actually perform some kind of task.

482
00:48:16.833 --> 00:48:17.253
Okay.

483
00:48:17.293 --> 00:48:18.634
You know, you open the refrigerator.

484
00:48:18.714 --> 00:48:19.055
Okay.

485
00:48:19.115 --> 00:48:19.855
I want beer.

486
00:48:20.315 --> 00:48:20.896
Where is the beer?

487
00:48:20.956 --> 00:48:21.816
Oh, there is a beer.

488
00:48:22.397 --> 00:48:22.637
Okay.

489
00:48:22.677 --> 00:48:23.878
Now you have to pick up the beer.

490
00:48:24.438 --> 00:48:25.378
You go grab the beer.

491
00:48:25.919 --> 00:48:34.881
So it's been shown that these work, but they're still relatively nascent relative to the more traditional approach.

492
00:48:35.702 --> 00:48:38.643
And they may not be as quick and they may not be as reliable.

493
00:48:39.263 --> 00:48:43.264
And so, again, the jury is still out as to how you can make them more reliable.

494
00:48:43.304 --> 00:48:45.865
Do you just continue to refine them and make them larger?

495
00:48:46.705 --> 00:48:50.546
Um, or do you kind of hybridize them with these more traditional approaches?

496
00:48:50.646 --> 00:48:56.908
And I'm not a roboticist myself, but I think it would be a great idea for your next guest on the show to talk about that kind of stuff.

497
00:48:57.468 --> 00:49:11.992
It seems like it's an important ingredient nonetheless to add to the generalizability, uh, and, um, just the practicality of automation and robotics to fit into more spots in the world.

498
00:49:12.112 --> 00:49:12.212
Yeah.

499
00:49:12.232 --> 00:49:12.332
Yeah.

500
00:49:12.792 --> 00:49:18.453
Because it seems like you can take this VLM or VLA and apply it to a robot in different settings.

501
00:49:18.953 --> 00:49:20.334
And it just kind of works.

502
00:49:20.594 --> 00:49:21.014
Is that right?

503
00:49:21.294 --> 00:49:30.296
So the thought process behind these types of language models is that, yes, they're more generalizable.

504
00:49:30.916 --> 00:49:34.517
You can teach them to do things by simply just showing them.

505
00:49:36.105 --> 00:49:39.587
the task the same way you would show a child a task.

506
00:49:39.787 --> 00:49:42.048
That's, that's the thesis behind them.

507
00:49:42.728 --> 00:49:43.969
And I'm really excited about them.

508
00:49:44.869 --> 00:49:50.752
I'm optimistic that over time, we'll figure out how to make them faster, more reliable, easier to train.

509
00:49:51.673 --> 00:50:02.178
Cause right now, you know, again, you need a team of hundreds of engineers to teach a Waymo, for example, how to go from A to B safely and,

510
00:50:03.071 --> 00:50:05.797
Is there a future where you can do the same with a VLA?

511
00:50:05.977 --> 00:50:08.081
You know, perhaps.

512
00:50:08.422 --> 00:50:10.506
But the question becomes, how much does it need to be trained

513
00:50:11.759 --> 00:50:13.720
to get to what level of reliability.

514
00:50:13.780 --> 00:50:17.824
Like, for example, I'm trying to teach my four-year-old how to write numbers.

515
00:50:18.864 --> 00:50:23.188
And, you know, some numbers she can write, like, after I show her twice.

516
00:50:23.929 --> 00:50:30.794
Other numbers, for whatever reason, she has a hard time, like, stopping when she's doing a curve.

517
00:50:30.814 --> 00:50:32.015
Like, for example, write the number two.

518
00:50:32.075 --> 00:50:34.898
You have to curve and then stop and do a straight line.

519
00:50:34.918 --> 00:50:35.078
Right.

520
00:50:36.190 --> 00:50:37.191
That's the challenge for her.

521
00:50:37.291 --> 00:50:45.741
So maybe that challenge is limited to human children, or maybe it's a limitation associated with neural networks.

522
00:50:45.761 --> 00:50:47.022
Who knows?

523
00:50:47.082 --> 00:50:49.024
So that will be figured out in the near future.

524
00:50:49.125 --> 00:50:57.214
I would also imagine the chatbots had this very incredible advantage in that they just had to train on all the data of the internet, which was accessible to them.

525
00:50:57.774 --> 00:51:09.482
I would imagine that robots and automation don't nearly have the same qualitative and quantitative amount of data to train how to move your arm to grab the thing with the right amount of force.

526
00:51:09.582 --> 00:51:16.166
So we are investors in XDOF, which is specializing in generating this training data for robotics.

527
00:51:16.286 --> 00:51:18.328
Physical intelligence obviously also has

528
00:51:18.988 --> 00:51:25.235
a huge capability around amassing this data internally for training as robots.

529
00:51:25.255 --> 00:51:35.244
So yes, you're hitting on a very good point, which is companies that are able to access and build these training sets for these particular applications will certainly be advantaged.

530
00:51:35.645 --> 00:51:38.508
Shaheen, this has been very exciting and very educational.

531
00:51:40.108 --> 00:51:47.270
how are you hoping that automation and robotics positively impacts your actual personal life?

532
00:51:47.290 --> 00:51:52.631
So your day-to-day changes and your house gets an upgrade, your car gets an upgrade.

533
00:51:52.851 --> 00:51:59.612
Is there anything that you're trying to get your hands on as soon as possible to have a material improvement in just your day-to-day life?

534
00:51:59.992 --> 00:52:04.673
I'd like to have an autonomous car that is always available to me

535
00:52:05.502 --> 00:52:07.223
rather than having to call a rideshare.

536
00:52:07.283 --> 00:52:15.665
But the reality is that you kind of have that today with Waymo, and you sort of have that today with Tesla's FSD.

537
00:52:16.485 --> 00:52:23.107
But I wouldn't mind taking it a step further where the vehicle could figure out, you know, where to park and go off on its own.

538
00:52:23.828 --> 00:52:25.028
And for me not to have to deal with it.

539
00:52:25.048 --> 00:52:27.549
I think that for me would, and I'm just a big car enthusiast.

540
00:52:27.589 --> 00:52:28.209
I'm a car nerd.

541
00:52:28.949 --> 00:52:36.153
So having a car like that would be to own is something that I personally find fascinating and exciting.

542
00:52:36.514 --> 00:52:39.475
What about how you think automation actually enters the home?

543
00:52:40.236 --> 00:52:42.137
Not the humanoid robots.

544
00:52:42.477 --> 00:52:43.598
Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah.

545
00:52:43.758 --> 00:52:46.440
So if it was just me, David...

546
00:52:48.061 --> 00:53:08.875
I would totally nerd out on having even a modestly capable robot, you know, in my home that could do simple things like, you know, turn the stove off, you know, or pour me a glass of water and bring it over, you know, just for the purpose of, you know, nerding out on something like this.

547
00:53:09.075 --> 00:53:11.337
I would find that just personally exciting, but.

548
00:53:11.721 --> 00:53:26.411
you know, being, you know, married and having two small kids, I just think it'll be, it's extremely unlikely that my wife would allow something like that in the house, um, until it's proven to be, you know, safe and, and never trip over a child or anything like that.

549
00:53:26.491 --> 00:53:34.757
So, um, you know, just for myself, just having a robot around that I can physically interact with, it would be a huge novelty and an interest.

550
00:53:35.082 --> 00:53:48.587
Of the companies that you guys have invested in at Lux, if listeners wanted to just go a little bit deeper about what we've been talking about today, are there any good companies that are doing something exciting that also provide an educational opportunity to just learn more?

551
00:53:48.607 --> 00:53:51.888
Any companies out there that are- They should absolutely learn more about physical intelligence.

552
00:53:52.548 --> 00:53:53.808
They should check out the company.

553
00:53:53.888 --> 00:53:57.249
They should check out the models that they have available out there.

554
00:53:57.770 --> 00:54:04.011
They should also learn about Formic, which is deploying robots in real manufacturing logistics settings.

555
00:54:04.031 --> 00:54:06.092
They have hundreds of deployments across the country.

556
00:54:06.172 --> 00:54:10.453
Most of their customers had no automation before automating with Formic.

557
00:54:11.318 --> 00:54:15.680
And their goal is to be the largest employer of robots globally.

558
00:54:16.200 --> 00:54:22.562
We'd like to say the equivalent of U.S. robotics will be of iRobot, but not evil.

559
00:54:23.262 --> 00:54:27.264
And so, you know, those two companies, they should absolutely check out.

560
00:54:27.564 --> 00:54:29.464
Shaheen, thanks so much for coming on the show today.

561
00:54:29.504 --> 00:54:29.824
Loved it.

562
00:54:30.005 --> 00:54:30.505
Loved it, David.

563
00:54:30.525 --> 00:54:31.125
Thanks for having me.
