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I think there are a lot of people who do not like what I'm saying.

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I am one of the most polarizing figures in the world right now, but I'm trying to prepare everyone.

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And what I want to explain to you today, Stephen, is why the world is collapsing.

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Because having studied patterns of history and global supply chains, I now recognize that I have a framework to predict the future.

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And I brought to you three, four or five predictions, structured around 9-11.

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So what are your predictions?

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I've been dying to know.

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My first prediction, if there is another 9-11 attack, it will be an attack on the US financial infrastructure.

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Imagine one day you open your iPhone and you're looking to buy a coffee and all the money in your bank account has been wiped out and they don't know when or how long it will take them to retrieve it.

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I believe that's what makes Americans most vulnerable and therefore the most easily traumatized.

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What's prediction number two?

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Is that Lionel Messi will become president of Argentina.

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Oh wow, I wasn't expecting that.

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And also, do you think Trump is gonna have a third term

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Let's get a friendly bed and say $100.

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Trump gets a third term.

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It'll be a siege of New York City.

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Prediction three.

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My third prediction is that... Are you sure?

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You don't think that the U.S. would actually do that, right?

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Well, I understand a lot of this is going to be extremely pessimistic, but we are living in a time of not just war, but also the regression of civilization.

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We basically hit the height of technological advancement.

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The word collapse you use there is a strong word.

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Yes, I am positive that we are seeing the collapse of civilization.

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All the suffering that we might have seen on television, it is coming to us in our lives.

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And the world is essentially running out of time.

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And I will paint a clear and simple picture of what is about to come.

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What would have to be the case for none of these sort of catastrophic things to take place?

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Well, the only thing that gives me hope is

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Guys, I've got a favor to ask before this episode begins.

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The algorithm, if you follow a show, will deliver you the best episodes from that show very prominently in your feed.

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So when we have our best episodes on this show, the most shared episodes, the most rated episodes, I would love you to know.

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And a simple way for you to know that is to hit that follow button.

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But also, it's the simple, easy, free thing that you can do to help us make the show better.

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And I would be hugely grateful if you could take a minute on the app you're listening to this one right now and hit that follow button.

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Professor Cheung, what is front of mind for you at the moment?

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Your energy is giving me some things on my mind.

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What is that?

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I think that we are living in a time when the world is collapsing.

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And so what I want to explain to you today, Stephen, is how we got to the world that we are in and why it is collapsing.

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So first thing I want to explain to you is the petrodollar system, which is the basis for the global economy.

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So let's go back to the year 1945.

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And this is the end of World War II.

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And the United States is dominant.

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And...

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The United States will manufacture goods for Europe and for Japan, which were destroyed in World War II.

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So what the United States said is, we will lend you goods.

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the U.S. dollars, in order to purchase the goods that we will export to you.

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But you have to promise to pay us back in gold.

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And the United States became complacent.

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They were spending money they shouldn't have been spending.

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The United States went from a credit nation to a debtor nation.

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So in the year 1971, Richard Nixon said...

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that the US dollar will no longer be pegged to the gold.

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And so the question now was, if the US dollar is no longer pegged to gold, then what is the value of the US dollar?

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So Richard Nixon had to create demand for the US dollar.

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And so three things happened.

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after the something called the Nixon shock, 1971 Nixon shock, right?

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So the first was the creation of a petrodollar.

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So Saudi Arabia and other countries in the Middle East agreed to sell their oil only in US dollars.

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So if you want to buy oil, energy, you need US dollars.

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Late 70s, early 80s,

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China said the same thing.

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If you want our cheap manufactured goods, you have to pay in US dollars.

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Mid-80s was something called a plastic cord, where Japan agreed to take all its savings and buy US treasuries.

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So it's essentially they're buying a promise from the US?

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Yes.

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All this is based on promises, right?

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The US dollar is a contract.

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It's a promise.

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China promises to give you manufactured goods and Saudi Arabia promises to give you oil.

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This system, the petrodollar system, create the world that we live in today.

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So let me explain why.

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All right.

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So this is a semiconductor.

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right?

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And it's a basis of all technology, of all computer.

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And there are three critical elements in a semiconductor.

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Silicon,

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They are gallium and they are germanium.

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There are many more elements, but these are the three most critical.

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And these three together allow semiconductors to achieve almost impossible technology.

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For example, precision missiles, satellite communication are all based on these three elements working together.

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Why we have these three elements in place is because of this global system.

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Because silicon is mainly manufactured in China.

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About 60-70% of the world's silicon comes from China.

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70% of gallium comes from China.

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90% of the world's germanium comes from China.

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Now, for semiconductors to work, the process is this.

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The United States...

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mainly in California, NVIDIA or Apple, they will design very advanced semiconductor chips to power the iPhone, to power video games.

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Then the United States will send this chip design over to Taiwan and Malaysia for the manufacture of these chips.

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The Netherlands and Japan will create machines to print out these semiconductors.

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So a company in the Netherlands called ASML, they manufacture lithography machines that are worth $400 million each.

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Then these lithography machines and the chip design go to Taiwan, primarily Taiwan but also Malaysia as well, in order to...

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manufacture these chips.

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And then these chips are then sent to China to be put into appliances.

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So when you see this semiconductor, you're not just seeing a piece of metal and plastic.

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You're really seeing the world converging together.

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So I want you to remember this formula.

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And this will help us explain how the world works.

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This formula is very simple.

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Specialization times globalization.

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This is the formula.

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So it's very simple.

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Our technological progress is premised on more countries being able to specialize and these countries being able to trade freely with each other.

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And what makes this all possible is global trade that is supported by two things.

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The first, of course, is the U.S. dollar.

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The second thing that's most important is the U.S. military hegemony.

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Hegemony meaning?

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Meaning they're no pair competitor.

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There is no one who can challenge the United States in control of the seas.

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So you're coming now to the point of why you think, because the claim at the top was that the world is collapsing.

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Exactly.

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I bring this all up because we need to appreciate what technological innovation is.

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If technological innovation is specialization times globalization, then we are living in a time of not just war, but also the regression of civilization.

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So in other words, my argument to you today is we've basically hit the apex, the height of technological advancement.

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We cannot go any further because in order for technology to progress, you need greater specialization and you need greater globalization.

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But what we're seeing right now is this war in Iran, it will cause a chain of events that will force all nations to...

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become much more general.

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So you'll see a decline in specialization and it'll become much more nationalistic.

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They will need to create self-sufficient supply chains.

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So you will see a decline in globalization and therefore technology, the progress will have to decline.

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The word collapse you use though is a strong word.

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Yes.

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Is that the word you meant?

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That's exactly what I meant.

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We are living not through World War III.

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We are not living through a shifting of the global order.

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We will live through, over the next 20 years, the collapse of civilization itself.

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The collapse of civilization itself.

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Yes.

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Are you sure?

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I am positive that we are seeing the collapse of civilization.

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Give me some definition around the collapse of civilization, because people could infer that as, oh, you know, the dollar's not going to be as strong, or they could say, okay, we're not going to innovate as much, or I don't know if your prices are going to go up, but the collapse of civilization.

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Yes.

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So let's go back to World War II, okay?

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In World War II, if you lived in Europe or Asia, it really seemed like the end of the world.

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Tens of millions of people died in that war.

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But at the same time, you had a superpower that was emergent, the United States of America.

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So at the end of World War II, America was so powerful that it was able, at the end of World War II, to create a new world order and basically finance America.

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and defend this new world order called Pax Americana.

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And we are seeing the last days of Pax Americana.

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And then you ask yourself, well, then let China emerge, or maybe Russia will emerge, or maybe Israel will emerge to replace Pax Americana.

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And unfortunately,

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What we know is that systems in decline, empires in decline do not go willingly.

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So the historical analogy I would use is the Bronze Age collapse because the Bronze Age was very similar to this collapse

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period in our history when the entire world was globalized.

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Because in order to make bronze, you needed both copper and tin.

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And these places were found in different places of the world.

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And that allowed for global integration.

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But because of global integration,

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Over time, that led to massive inequality, debt, and polarization.

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And so when the system collapsed, the entire world collapsed.

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So I would argue the closest historical analogy that we have to today is a Bronze Age collapse.

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What was life like in the Bronze Age collapse?

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Or how was it different pre-Bronze Age collapse versus post-Bronze Age collapse?

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What happened was there was a perfect series of crises that caused systematic collapse, okay?

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The first was change in weather patterns, climate changed.

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which led to famine, primarily in Europe.

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We have famine and people are starving.

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What do people do?

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They migrate.

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They migrate to areas that have food.

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And this place is primarily going to be Anatolia and Egypt.

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These migrants overwhelm the systems of Egypt and Anatolia, and this would cause a cascading effect where the entire world lost order.

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These migrants were called the Sea Peoples, and they were destroying traditional hierarchies and authorities.

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And once that happened, then the very fundamental elements of civilization disappear.

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So if we apply this analogy to today, then I'm going to paint for you a scenario of what might happen.

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All right.

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So we have this war in the Middle East that is only expanding.

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It's bringing in more and more countries.

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So as you may know,

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since we last spoke, basically all of Iran's proxies have been brought into the war.

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This includes the Houthis, which occupies this part of Yemen.

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So the Houthis are a group of military that are in favor of Iran.

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The Houthis are an ethnic group

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in Yemen, and Yemen is a country that is divided according to tribes.

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The thing about the Houthis is, first of all, they live in the mountains, so it's almost impossible to dislodge the Houthis.

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So they would be a tribe for five years.

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It didn't work.

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The other thing about the Houthis is they are a Shia tribe people.

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Now, they're Shia Muslim and they're Sunni Muslim.

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The vast majority of Muslims in the world are Sunni, about 90% of the entire global Muslim population.

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The Shia are about 10%.

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And as a result, because they're the minority, the Shia are much more fanatical than the Sunni.

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And this has always been historically true.

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They believe in martyrdom.

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So in other words, the Houthis will fight to the death.

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They're not afraid of death.

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And the third thing about the Houthis that we need to appreciate is they control this critical choke point called the Bab el-Mandad Strait.

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This is the Red Sea.

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So a lot of trade has to go through the Red Sea.

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Now, what we know is Iran has already closed off the Shad of Humus.

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And the easiest and cheapest way for Saudi Arabia to get its oil to East Asia and South Asia is by the sea.

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So Saudi Arabia cannot actually transport its oil.

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Okay.

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So that's the first group that is now involved in this war, the Houthis.

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Then you have Hezbollah, which is in Lebanon.

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right here.

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And they are now fighting Israel.

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Hezbollah is also a Shia group.

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So they are also very fanatical.

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And then you also have Iraq.

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the Shia militias that are basically their own independent militaries.

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So all four have been brought into the war.

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You have Iran, you have the Houthis, you have Hezbollah, you have the Shia militia in Iraq.

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Why is this important?

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Because they spend the entire Middle East.

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And so we are now seeing expansion of the war.

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And over time, what might happen is more and more nations have to be brought into the war to protect their own interests.

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How is this different from, you know, I grew up with this Iraq war and there was lots of conflict in the Middle East.

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There was always fighting going on.

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And it feels like it's been a function of my childhood is that the Middle East are always fighting in some capacity somewhere.

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And, you know, eventually there's a peace in Iraq and the war kind of stops and ISIS is decapitated or whatever.

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And it just kind of moves around a little bit.

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Yeah.

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Great question.

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But what's happening today is very different from 2003.

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2003, the United States went in to decapitate Saddam Hussein and his government.

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And that was easy to do because you had a government that...

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That was not very popular amongst the people.

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So America specializes in shock and awe military tactics.

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The problem today is you have four different groups.

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You have the IRGC in Iran.

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You have the Houthis in Yemen.

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You have Hezbollah in Lebanon.

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You have the Shia militia in Iraq.

229
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They are decentralized.

230
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They are fanatical.

231
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And they share a similar eschatology.

232
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They share a similar religious framework.

233
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And as a result, what we know is

234
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The United States military is not very good at fighting guerrilla insurgents.

235
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We know because of what happened in Afghanistan as well as Iran.

236
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These two are what is often referred to as forever wars, where the United States spent $200 over 20 years to try to squash insurgents, and they failed miserably.

237
00:18:34.893 --> 00:18:40.554
So because these four groups are coordinating, but they're decentralized,

238
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This means that this war can only expand over time.

239
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Now, Saudi Arabia feels threatened by the Houthis.

240
00:18:51.783 --> 00:18:57.368
So what Saudi Arabia has done is, most recently, it's signed something called the Mecca Accords.

241
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Turkey and Pakistan.

242
00:19:01.246 --> 00:19:01.506
Okay?

243
00:19:01.947 --> 00:19:07.390
So Turkey and Pakistan and Saudi Arabia now must come to each other's defense.

244
00:19:08.531 --> 00:19:17.678
And it seems to me of these three countries, Saudi Arabia will be the first to invoke this mutual defense pact against the Houthis.

245
00:19:18.238 --> 00:19:25.247
So you can see a situation where Pakistan, Turkey, and Saudi Arabia is brought into war to try to dislodge the Houthis.

246
00:19:25.668 --> 00:19:31.376
But we know that the Houthis in a mountain retreat are almost invincible.

247
00:19:32.542 --> 00:19:34.783
So this war can only expand.

248
00:19:35.183 --> 00:19:41.704
And the Hufis, in response, what they can do is destroy the energy infrastructure of Saudi Arabia.

249
00:19:42.044 --> 00:19:43.745
The Hufis have ballistic missiles.

250
00:19:44.125 --> 00:19:45.345
They have drones.

251
00:19:46.185 --> 00:19:53.567
And Saudi Arabia is this giant lake of gasoline ready to be blown up or lit up by the Hufis at any time.

252
00:19:54.325 --> 00:20:01.997
You know, back in the early 2000s, there was the Al-Qaeda, there was ISIS, there was, you know, there was still Hezbollah and Hamas.

253
00:20:02.017 --> 00:20:03.159
So how is this different?

254
00:20:03.479 --> 00:20:05.382
Because there was lots of military militant groups.

255
00:20:05.743 --> 00:20:06.564
Great question, okay.

256
00:20:07.966 --> 00:20:09.048
Why this is different is...

257
00:20:09.627 --> 00:20:13.729
is there is active coordination amongst these groups.

258
00:20:14.389 --> 00:20:16.991
So Al-Qaeda, ISIS, they were working separately.

259
00:20:17.711 --> 00:20:20.312
But there are three proxies, okay?

260
00:20:20.653 --> 00:20:24.474
You have the Houthis, you have the Hezbollah in Lebanon, you have the Shia militia.

261
00:20:24.635 --> 00:20:28.837
They all report back to the IRGC in Iran.

262
00:20:29.517 --> 00:20:30.277
And here's the kicker.

263
00:20:30.557 --> 00:20:31.298
This is really important.

264
00:20:32.038 --> 00:20:33.559
Both China...

265
00:20:35.050 --> 00:20:39.432
And Russia are supporting Iran in this conflict.

266
00:20:40.452 --> 00:20:47.274
China is supporting Iran through the Belt and Road Initiative, basically transporting goods to Iran through this corridor.

267
00:20:48.194 --> 00:20:52.076
And Russia is supporting Iran through the Caspian Sea.

268
00:20:52.951 --> 00:20:57.794
As a result, Iran, in theory, could fight this war indefinitely.

269
00:20:58.455 --> 00:20:58.695
Okay?

270
00:20:58.775 --> 00:21:00.476
That's one thing that we have to appreciate.

271
00:21:00.696 --> 00:21:10.003
There's a clear alliance in place to make sure that Iran and its proxies can withstand this war.

272
00:21:10.723 --> 00:21:20.730
The other thing that's really important for us to appreciate is that the Middle East, it is the heart and center of the petrodollar system.

273
00:21:22.953 --> 00:21:39.503
barrels of oil in the GCC countries and transports them to India, Pakistan, China, Japan, okay?

274
00:21:40.784 --> 00:21:48.570
And what then happens is the East Asia takes these barrels of oil energy.

275
00:21:49.190 --> 00:21:51.132
Can you put the Miro brothers in Japan?

276
00:21:51.532 --> 00:21:53.334
What are these little figurines you're asking me to put in Japan?

277
00:21:53.734 --> 00:21:58.117
So this represents Japan's contribution to the global economy.

278
00:21:58.177 --> 00:22:04.782
So it takes energy from the Middle East and turns them into manufactured products, consumer electronic products for the world to consume.

279
00:22:05.203 --> 00:22:08.105
It makes these in US dollars and China...

280
00:22:08.605 --> 00:22:20.051
Japan and the GCC all invest their access savings in the United States, which allows the United States to focus on innovation, to create places like New York City.

281
00:22:20.391 --> 00:22:26.234
New York City is also a very specialized area because it basically is the financial center of the world.

282
00:22:26.254 --> 00:22:26.994
Okay.

283
00:22:27.334 --> 00:22:28.755
So all this...

284
00:22:29.753 --> 00:22:30.794
It's a petro-dollar system.

285
00:22:31.474 --> 00:22:36.458
As you can see, the system is dependent on free trade.

286
00:22:36.958 --> 00:22:48.466
But once the oil stops flowing, then what happens is China, Japan are no longer able to make the manufactured goods they need to export.

287
00:22:50.247 --> 00:22:54.290
And the United States loses all these recycled U.S. dollars.

288
00:22:55.572 --> 00:23:11.452
So the three biggest buyers of U.S. treasuries, basically the three biggest financiers of the U.S. economy, basically the AI bubble are Japan, the GCC, and China.

289
00:23:12.107 --> 00:23:18.492
So we will see a cascading effect where maybe in a few months' time, the system collapses.

290
00:23:18.592 --> 00:23:19.934
Do you know what, Professor?

291
00:23:20.894 --> 00:23:23.917
One of the reasons why I think it's quite hard for— and it's going to be completely honest.

292
00:23:23.937 --> 00:23:25.919
People can take this as they take it, but it's just me being honest.

293
00:23:26.339 --> 00:23:37.228
One of the reasons why it's quite hard to believe that, you know, the world is going to collapse and that this is going to be like the Bronze Age collapse is—

294
00:23:37.408 --> 00:23:52.655
I was actually reading about the Bronze Age collapse after you mentioned it, and what I pulled up here says, The late Bronze Age collapse was a rapid, violent, and widespread societal breakdown that occurred in the eastern Mediterranean between approximately 1200 and 1150 BCE.

295
00:23:52.775 --> 00:23:54.616
Before the collapse, the region was heavily globalized.

296
00:23:55.096 --> 00:23:59.298
Major superpowers like the Egyptians, etc., etc., were deeply interconnected.

297
00:24:00.078 --> 00:24:04.360
through diplomacy, royal marriages, and complex international trade networks.

298
00:24:04.440 --> 00:24:13.445
But within a span of just 50 years, almost every significant city in the eastern Mediterranean was destroyed, and many were never rebuilt.

299
00:24:14.166 --> 00:24:17.707
And there's a map which I'll throw up on the screen, which shows this breakdown.

300
00:24:18.648 --> 00:24:21.389
I, here's my honesty, as a 34-year-old,

301
00:24:22.830 --> 00:24:25.511
I have lived a very... Charles B. Charmed life.

302
00:24:25.591 --> 00:24:26.292
Charles B. Charmed life.

303
00:24:26.312 --> 00:24:26.872
Charles B. Yeah.

304
00:24:26.892 --> 00:24:27.572
Charles B.

305
00:24:27.592 --> 00:24:31.494
As it relates to history, you know, history, and the things that happened in history.

306
00:24:32.034 --> 00:24:40.578
So when we hear these things that, you know, the society will break down, there'll be civil collapse, we don't really have a reference point as like Gen Z's and millennials, really.

307
00:24:41.058 --> 00:24:45.940
Our parents and their parents, they have, you know, reference points from World War II, et cetera, in the 1940s, et cetera.

308
00:24:45.960 --> 00:24:47.161
But we don't really have them.

309
00:24:47.201 --> 00:24:49.942
So it seems all to be quite, you know, that can't happen to us.

310
00:24:51.082 --> 00:24:51.803
You're absolutely right.

311
00:24:52.243 --> 00:25:04.752
And I think a lot of the issue is the world has been constructed in a way to maintain the privileges of the Western populations.

312
00:25:05.153 --> 00:25:11.497
An example I use is you say that we've lived a charm life.

313
00:25:11.818 --> 00:25:14.419
Well, if you've been, if you lived in...

314
00:25:15.557 --> 00:25:23.763
Iraq, Afghanistan, these places, you do not live a charm life because the United States came and attacked you for no particular reason.

315
00:25:24.644 --> 00:25:28.647
And they destroyed the very infrastructure of your society.

316
00:25:28.927 --> 00:25:35.952
Even today, Iraq and Afghanistan are engulfed in political violence and war and political assassinations.

317
00:25:36.452 --> 00:25:43.578
And so you've never known if you were a child in Iraq or Afghanistan and even in Africa,

318
00:25:44.258 --> 00:25:47.161
You've never known peace, stability, and prosperity.

319
00:25:47.701 --> 00:25:51.945
So the inequality in the world is stark.

320
00:25:52.666 --> 00:26:00.213
And we in the West have been extremely privileged to be sheltered from a lot of the chaos in the world.

321
00:26:00.554 --> 00:26:06.519
In fact, the U.S. empire is designed to ensure the populations never have to suffer the tragedy of,

322
00:26:07.140 --> 00:26:09.461
and suffering of other people.

323
00:26:09.881 --> 00:26:14.643
And what I'm trying to say is, this U.S. empire is breaking down.

324
00:26:15.644 --> 00:26:17.784
And there's nothing that we can do to stop it.

325
00:26:18.245 --> 00:26:23.087
So all the suffering that we might have seen on television, it is coming to us now.

326
00:26:24.008 --> 00:26:26.130
in our lives.

327
00:26:26.150 --> 00:26:27.591
And we need to be aware of it.

328
00:26:27.931 --> 00:26:31.553
When you say it's coming to us in our lives, what's coming to us in our lives?

329
00:26:32.214 --> 00:26:42.561
The same political violence, the same chaos, the same political populization that has infested the rest of the world.

330
00:26:42.821 --> 00:26:45.663
Do you think war is coming to our shores?

331
00:26:46.223 --> 00:26:49.347
Because we now live in a post-nuclear bomb era.

332
00:26:49.548 --> 00:26:49.728
Yes.

333
00:26:50.109 --> 00:26:54.154
And that seems to have created, in a weird way, a bit of peace between superpowers.

334
00:26:54.615 --> 00:26:56.738
So I'm going to go to the screen.

335
00:26:57.018 --> 00:26:57.178
Okay.

336
00:26:57.299 --> 00:26:59.922
And I'm going to paint you a picture of...

337
00:27:01.104 --> 00:27:09.647
of our global supply chains and what it means for global supply chains to break down using a few maps.

338
00:27:10.387 --> 00:27:17.929
And these maps, I hope, will paint a clear and simple picture of what is about to come.

339
00:27:18.029 --> 00:27:19.370
Can I ask you a question just before you go to the screen?

340
00:27:19.390 --> 00:27:19.530
Sure.

341
00:27:19.730 --> 00:27:22.051
Have you always been pessimistic about the future?

342
00:27:23.371 --> 00:27:23.511
No.

343
00:27:24.031 --> 00:27:25.852
When did you become pessimistic about the future?

344
00:27:25.872 --> 00:27:26.052
No.

345
00:27:27.255 --> 00:27:33.798
I became very pessimistic about the future after Brexit and the election of Donald Trump.

346
00:27:36.318 --> 00:27:42.541
Because I was an immigrant who grew up in a very poor family.

347
00:27:42.861 --> 00:27:47.563
My father was a dishwasher and he was a dishwasher for 30 years before he retired.

348
00:27:48.123 --> 00:27:50.544
We were so poor, we couldn't even afford a car.

349
00:27:51.391 --> 00:27:54.873
We never took any vacations, but I worked hard.

350
00:27:55.053 --> 00:27:58.235
I got into Yale University, one of the best colleges in the world.

351
00:27:58.335 --> 00:28:00.556
And not only that, but I went there on a full scholarship.

352
00:28:01.097 --> 00:28:04.299
So from my perspective, the world was perfect.

353
00:28:04.779 --> 00:28:05.799
It was a meritocracy.

354
00:28:06.700 --> 00:28:09.562
It was a place that rewarded talent and hard work.

355
00:28:10.042 --> 00:28:19.968
So I believe that the world was governed by reason, by logic, by science, by truth, by good people.

356
00:28:21.688 --> 00:28:27.410
And when Brexit and the election of Donald Trump happened, I was traumatized.

357
00:28:28.250 --> 00:28:33.012
Brexit was the British people turning away from globalization.

358
00:28:33.632 --> 00:28:44.616
The election of Donald Trump, from my perspective, was the American rejection of meritocracy, of reason, of truth, of order.

359
00:28:45.336 --> 00:28:49.378
And when that happened, it sort of told me

360
00:28:50.794 --> 00:28:56.815
What I believe about the world didn't really work.

361
00:28:56.835 --> 00:29:05.817
And when those things happen, that forced me to reflect deeply on why the world was breaking down.

362
00:29:06.218 --> 00:29:09.458
And those events led me to today.

363
00:29:09.958 --> 00:29:16.480
Because what I'm trying to do is, I'm trying to figure out patterns of history, principles of society,

364
00:29:17.665 --> 00:29:20.487
that allow us to better understand ourselves.

365
00:29:20.628 --> 00:29:23.710
And that's why I drew you this formula.

366
00:29:24.331 --> 00:29:30.156
Because traditionally, we understood innovation as maybe coming from universities.

367
00:29:30.176 --> 00:29:37.802
And having studied history, having studied global supply chains, I now recognize that, no, technology just comes from specialization and globalization.

368
00:29:38.903 --> 00:29:44.107
And this not only is an analysis of the current world, but it also gives us...

369
00:29:45.081 --> 00:29:47.663
a framework to predict the future, right?

370
00:29:48.044 --> 00:29:56.231
So if in a time of war, specialization and globalization break down, then in theory, technology should break down as well.

371
00:29:57.092 --> 00:29:58.093
Okay, and that's what I'm trying to do.

372
00:29:58.113 --> 00:30:02.557
I'm trying to figure out how and why we are where we are today.

373
00:30:03.217 --> 00:30:04.899
So you wanted to draw something on the whiteboard?

374
00:30:04.919 --> 00:30:05.299
Okay, right.

375
00:30:05.539 --> 00:30:05.679
Okay.

376
00:30:10.944 --> 00:30:12.345
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377
00:30:12.485 --> 00:30:14.125
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378
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379
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380
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381
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382
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383
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384
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385
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386
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And having sat here with so many of the world's leading health professionals, there's various things that I repeatedly hear work and some things I'm a bit skeptical about.

387
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388
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389
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391
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392
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393
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394
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395
00:31:09.770 --> 00:31:17.114
Much of the reason most people haven't posted content or built their personal brand is because it's hard and it's time consuming and we're all very, very busy.

396
00:31:17.495 --> 00:31:24.239
And if you've never posted something before, there's so many factors in your psychology that stop you wanting to post.

397
00:31:24.619 --> 00:31:25.639
What people will think of you.

398
00:31:25.940 --> 00:31:26.860
Am I doing this right?

399
00:31:26.920 --> 00:31:28.941
Is the thing I'm saying absolutely stupid?

400
00:31:29.402 --> 00:31:34.365
All of these result in paralysis, which means you don't post and your feed goes bare and

401
00:31:35.045 --> 00:31:38.567
I'm an investor in a company called StanStor, which you've probably heard me talk about.

402
00:31:38.587 --> 00:31:49.892
And what they've been building is this new tool called Stanley that uses AI, looks at your feed, looks at your tone of voice, looks at your history, looks at your best performing posts and tells you what you should post, makes those posts for you.

403
00:31:49.992 --> 00:31:52.393
You can also just use it for inspiration.

404
00:31:52.413 --> 00:31:55.755
And sometimes what we need when we're thinking about doing a post for our social media channels

405
00:31:56.275 --> 00:31:57.256
is inspiration.

406
00:31:57.496 --> 00:32:01.339
Building an audience has fundamentally changed my life and I think it could change yours too.

407
00:32:01.700 --> 00:32:05.883
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408
00:32:06.043 --> 00:32:09.646
All you have to do is search coach.stan.store now to get started.

409
00:32:10.813 --> 00:32:15.436
So this is a summary of the global supply chain network.

410
00:32:15.956 --> 00:32:19.059
And we can see how it involves the entire world.

411
00:32:19.379 --> 00:32:25.043
You are not able to build semiconductors unless you have a globalized economy.

412
00:32:25.543 --> 00:32:30.866
So there's been a lot of talk about China controlling the elements, right?

413
00:32:30.886 --> 00:32:40.193
So China manufactures about 70% of the world's silicon and rare earths, China controls about 70% of rare earths.

414
00:32:40.773 --> 00:32:44.715
What people don't appreciate is it works both ways, okay?

415
00:32:45.055 --> 00:32:57.240
So China does export a lot of silicon and rare herbs, but it also needs to import a lot of helium in order to sustain its semiconductor manufacturing process.

416
00:32:57.440 --> 00:33:05.783
The reason why is helium cools the semiconductors in a way to allow it to manufacture, okay?

417
00:33:05.823 --> 00:33:07.164
So helium is a cooling agent.

418
00:33:07.964 --> 00:33:09.425
Another thing that people don't appreciate is

419
00:33:10.605 --> 00:33:20.123
People think that China has a monopoly on rare earths, but America, in a place called Spruce Pine, Spruce Pine, North Carolina,

420
00:33:22.117 --> 00:33:25.979
This area has monopoly on high quality quartz.

421
00:33:26.899 --> 00:33:34.762
It controls about 90% of the world's high quality quartz, which you need in the silicon manufacturing process as well.

422
00:33:35.483 --> 00:33:42.366
Okay, so if these nations start to stop trading with each other, technology would cease to progress.

423
00:33:43.201 --> 00:33:49.485
Now, something to keep in mind is it's not just semiconductors that are dependent on the global supply chain.

424
00:33:50.146 --> 00:33:53.768
Food is also very dependent on the global supply chain.

425
00:33:54.209 --> 00:33:59.052
So what we're seeing is a stark contrast between the north and the south.

426
00:33:59.552 --> 00:34:07.178
So the north produces most of the world's fertilizer.

427
00:34:08.550 --> 00:34:17.658
And the South, primarily Africa, the Middle East, and South America, they import a lot of the fertilizer.

428
00:34:17.839 --> 00:34:19.100
This map shows it much more clearly.

429
00:34:19.220 --> 00:34:22.743
So ammonia is a very important component of fertilizer.

430
00:34:22.763 --> 00:34:26.667
And as you can see, most of the ammonia production plants are actually in the north of the world.

431
00:34:27.007 --> 00:34:30.970
Canada, United States, Europe, China, Russia.

432
00:34:31.711 --> 00:34:32.031
So...

433
00:34:33.140 --> 00:34:37.423
The South, the global South, is dependent on the North for food.

434
00:34:37.683 --> 00:34:46.788
In a time of war when global supply chains break down, the North might lose access to fancy wireless smartphones.

435
00:34:47.069 --> 00:34:48.910
The South will face famine.

436
00:34:49.170 --> 00:34:49.410
Okay?

437
00:34:49.750 --> 00:34:50.431
Why is this important?

438
00:34:51.872 --> 00:34:55.254
Because the world is rife with conflict.

439
00:34:55.834 --> 00:35:00.197
The main issue that we will face next 20 years is not oil.

440
00:35:00.297 --> 00:35:01.257
It's actually water.

441
00:35:01.898 --> 00:35:02.158
All right?

442
00:35:03.360 --> 00:35:11.947
So this map that we're seeing right now is actually telling us where the next major geopolitical flashpoints are.

443
00:35:12.608 --> 00:35:22.116
So basically, if you see red on the map, it means this place has water scarcity issues.

444
00:35:22.736 --> 00:35:28.741
And the red issues tell us exactly where wars will erupt, okay?

445
00:35:29.141 --> 00:35:30.463
So even in the United States,

446
00:35:31.103 --> 00:35:35.230
If you look at the western part of the United States, they do have water scarcity issues.

447
00:35:35.470 --> 00:35:42.000
And actually, if you go to the western United States, Colorado, California, Arizona, these places, they're fighting over...

448
00:35:43.084 --> 00:35:44.004
the Colorado River.

449
00:35:44.464 --> 00:35:47.805
Because the Colorado River is what supplies most of the water.

450
00:35:48.226 --> 00:35:57.208
You go to the Middle East, and you know that the Middle East, it's almost like a dynamite ready to explode.

451
00:35:57.588 --> 00:36:02.430
And what this war will do is aggravate all the tensions in the Middle East.

452
00:36:02.850 --> 00:36:09.152
India itself is facing water shortages, which brings it into conflict with China, okay?

453
00:36:09.272 --> 00:36:10.192
So this one map,

454
00:36:10.652 --> 00:36:17.097
If you can just see it, it basically tells you where the next geopolitical flashpoints will be.

455
00:36:17.457 --> 00:36:24.822
It means a place that is most likely to go to war or have conflict or political violence over the next 20 years, okay?

456
00:36:25.203 --> 00:36:29.526
But also here is Northeast Asia.

457
00:36:30.307 --> 00:36:31.207
Japan is here.

458
00:36:31.627 --> 00:36:32.728
North Korea is here, okay?

459
00:36:33.269 --> 00:36:35.550
So that's another major flashpoint.

460
00:36:35.670 --> 00:36:38.372
So this is what, over the next 20 years,

461
00:36:39.275 --> 00:36:41.297
where war is most likely to break out.

462
00:36:42.357 --> 00:36:52.065
But what's important to appreciate is once war breaks out, there are third order effects causing conflict to spread all around the world.

463
00:36:53.246 --> 00:36:56.868
This is a really important map for us to appreciate as well.

464
00:36:57.169 --> 00:36:58.630
This map tells us

465
00:36:59.721 --> 00:37:00.922
Fertility rates around the world.

466
00:37:01.502 --> 00:37:09.527
As you can see, Africa has the world's highest fertility rate, followed by the Middle East.

467
00:37:10.035 --> 00:37:10.295
Okay.

468
00:37:10.536 --> 00:37:12.878
So they're having the most children per couples.

469
00:37:13.098 --> 00:37:13.458
That's right.

470
00:37:13.779 --> 00:37:14.599
Why is this a problem?

471
00:37:14.680 --> 00:37:20.185
Because if you go back to the previous map, this area is also where there is the most geopolitical tension.

472
00:37:20.906 --> 00:37:27.252
And so if there are more and more children, young people being born here, they have no choice but to migrate.

473
00:37:27.372 --> 00:37:28.173
And where would they migrate?

474
00:37:28.593 --> 00:37:30.615
Probably to Europe.

475
00:37:31.255 --> 00:37:34.759
And you're like, well, okay, well, then what would they migrate?

476
00:37:36.237 --> 00:37:38.698
Europe should do is turtle up.

477
00:37:39.298 --> 00:37:44.120
Europe should build walls and prevent these migrants from reaching Europe.

478
00:37:44.780 --> 00:37:50.962
But Europe has its own problem, which is the aging crisis, okay?

479
00:37:51.002 --> 00:38:03.187
So look at what's happening where the fastest aging populations are in fact in the most developed nations, including Japan, Europe, and North America.

480
00:38:04.168 --> 00:38:10.411
So if you have an aging population, you need to provide cheap health care, nursing.

481
00:38:11.391 --> 00:38:12.231
What does that mean?

482
00:38:12.271 --> 00:38:17.333
It means you have to let in more immigrants in order to surface the aging population.

483
00:38:18.514 --> 00:38:29.118
And what will happen then is domestic conflict, where you have more migration into Western societies, which brings them into conflict with the native populations.

484
00:38:33.792 --> 00:38:39.459
as well as political violence, and even the possibility of revolution.

485
00:38:41.682 --> 00:38:41.922
Okay?

486
00:38:42.343 --> 00:38:51.314
So these maps collectively paint a very grim picture of the world that we're living in.

487
00:38:52.020 --> 00:39:06.952
On this page here about immigration causing civil war, political violence, revolution, wouldn't it just be the case, as we're seeing, that these Western societies will elect right-wing political parties, which is kind of what we're seeing.

488
00:39:07.272 --> 00:39:10.575
We're seeing, you know, parties in the UK like Reform Surge.

489
00:39:10.595 --> 00:39:13.958
I think there was news yesterday in Germany of the political party there.

490
00:39:13.978 --> 00:39:16.100
We're seeing, I mean, we're seeing the same in the United States as well.

491
00:39:16.120 --> 00:39:16.540
Yeah.

492
00:39:16.840 --> 00:39:18.141
That's a fantastic point.

493
00:39:18.402 --> 00:39:19.583
That's exactly what we're seeing.

494
00:39:19.783 --> 00:39:22.205
We're seeing the AFD surge in Germany.

495
00:39:22.825 --> 00:39:26.548
You know, MAGA being very dominant in the United States.

496
00:39:26.568 --> 00:39:27.909
We're seeing Vox in Spain.

497
00:39:28.690 --> 00:39:38.899
So in theory, what's going to happen is these countries become much more right-wing, and then they block out immigration, because that is your main policy platform.

498
00:39:39.159 --> 00:39:40.260
And that should stop the civil war.

499
00:39:41.350 --> 00:39:45.215
The problem is, what do you do about your aging population?

500
00:39:45.456 --> 00:39:45.876
Robots.

501
00:39:46.537 --> 00:39:47.659
Exactly, right?

502
00:39:47.779 --> 00:39:48.700
That's what you would think.

503
00:39:49.041 --> 00:39:51.624
But what we're seeing is a breakdown in global supply chains.

504
00:39:51.865 --> 00:39:57.072
Robots depend on copper, right?

505
00:39:57.332 --> 00:39:58.273
Which you get from...

506
00:39:59.348 --> 00:40:02.712
Chile, Peru, China, Australia.

507
00:40:03.033 --> 00:40:07.578
These are pretty far away places from Europe and the United States, right?

508
00:40:07.898 --> 00:40:11.563
You also need lithium, which you get from the lithium triangle.

509
00:40:11.643 --> 00:40:12.984
Again, pretty far away.

510
00:40:13.625 --> 00:40:14.566
You also...

511
00:40:15.247 --> 00:40:20.630
need silicon, which is mainly manufactured in China.

512
00:40:20.650 --> 00:40:23.252
You need rare earths, which again is really manufactured in China.

513
00:40:23.372 --> 00:40:27.295
So you have this huge issue where in theory you could use robots.

514
00:40:27.795 --> 00:40:33.719
But when global supply chain breaks down, you have to figure out the cheapest way to resolve the labor issue.

515
00:40:33.879 --> 00:40:37.821
And the cheapest solution is immigration, right?

516
00:40:38.122 --> 00:40:43.405
People, I have to say this, but people are much cheaper and much more expandable than robots.

517
00:40:46.932 --> 00:40:51.474
So I know this is a bit scary.

518
00:40:52.575 --> 00:40:55.036
I know this is really depressing, okay?

519
00:40:55.396 --> 00:41:05.921
But what if the United States were able to win this war in Iran and conduct regime change?

520
00:41:06.501 --> 00:41:09.863
Then our problems are solved, right?

521
00:41:10.678 --> 00:41:32.687
Now Iran is under control of the United States, and we're back to globalization, where oil is able to flow to South Asia, to East Asia, and then they manufacture goods and then recycle their profits into the history economy.

522
00:41:33.427 --> 00:41:39.710
And with all this money, AI is able to innovate to a point where we achieve AGI,

523
00:41:40.608 --> 00:41:43.391
And then we solve all those problems, okay?

524
00:41:43.691 --> 00:41:47.956
So what happens next with this whole Iran situation?

525
00:41:48.256 --> 00:41:54.142
So unfortunately, it has now developed its own momentum, all right?

526
00:41:54.162 --> 00:41:56.985
So let me explain what is most likely to happen.

527
00:41:57.586 --> 00:41:59.848
Okay, so you have Iran.

528
00:42:02.371 --> 00:42:04.073
and you are now controlling the Shor-Fungus, right?

529
00:42:04.774 --> 00:42:09.960
You have the Houthis, and they control the Baal and Mandat Strait.

530
00:42:10.721 --> 00:42:13.364
You have Hezbollah, which can threaten the Suez Canal.

531
00:42:14.105 --> 00:42:19.931
You have the Shia militias that can also threaten the Mediterranean, right?

532
00:42:20.812 --> 00:42:22.855
From a game theory perspective,

533
00:42:24.037 --> 00:42:31.201
What Iran should do next is take the initiative and disrupt all global trade.

534
00:42:31.221 --> 00:42:36.544
The reason why is the U.S. empire is based on a petrodollar.

535
00:42:36.604 --> 00:42:37.925
It's based on global trade.

536
00:42:38.645 --> 00:42:45.449
When you disrupt global trade at the same time, there's no way for the United States to respond.

537
00:42:45.649 --> 00:42:47.130
How could they disrupt global trade?

538
00:42:47.631 --> 00:42:51.373
What they can do is start to attack randomly.

539
00:42:51.393 --> 00:42:51.513
Right.

540
00:42:52.820 --> 00:42:56.741
So who's going to do is attack Saudi Arabia.

541
00:42:58.642 --> 00:43:02.723
Iraq can attack Israel.

542
00:43:03.203 --> 00:43:05.744
Iran can attack the Shri of Hormuz.

543
00:43:05.824 --> 00:43:08.245
Hezbollah can attack the Suez Canal.

544
00:43:08.725 --> 00:43:14.646
And why you do that is you're creating uncertainty and chaos in the global trade system.

545
00:43:15.206 --> 00:43:16.067
Why is that important?

546
00:43:16.347 --> 00:43:20.488
Because the global trade system is built on confidence.

547
00:43:20.508 --> 00:43:20.688
Okay.

548
00:43:21.825 --> 00:43:23.587
And that's what drives insurance, okay?

549
00:43:23.907 --> 00:43:29.554
So if you're an insurance company, you're like, oh my God, these countries are, sorry, these actors are completely out of control.

550
00:43:29.974 --> 00:43:32.277
The United States has lost control over the situation.

551
00:43:33.058 --> 00:43:35.961
You can no longer insure global shipping.

552
00:43:36.001 --> 00:43:40.787
If you can't insure global shipping, global shipping ceases to work.

553
00:43:42.446 --> 00:43:44.228
So this is the madman theory.

554
00:43:44.748 --> 00:43:47.670
And this is Iran's best play moving forward.

555
00:43:47.790 --> 00:43:58.779
And the reason why is the United States does not have the military capacity to respond to a coordinated random strike across the Middle East.

556
00:43:58.899 --> 00:44:00.020
So is this your prediction?

557
00:44:00.380 --> 00:44:01.261
Is this what happens next?

558
00:44:02.001 --> 00:44:06.565
I don't want to make this prediction just because there are lots of factors I do not know.

559
00:44:07.766 --> 00:44:09.087
So first of all, I don't know

560
00:44:10.118 --> 00:44:12.559
politically, what the situation is in Iran.

561
00:44:13.000 --> 00:44:21.184
Certainly the IRGC would want to do this, but there are political factions within Iran who would think this is too provocative.

562
00:44:21.244 --> 00:44:27.108
And it's possible the entire world would unite against Iran if Iran were to do this.

563
00:44:27.468 --> 00:44:30.390
So what is your prediction in terms of Iran and what happens next?

564
00:44:30.970 --> 00:44:33.952
My prediction is this will only escalate.

565
00:44:34.612 --> 00:44:37.133
How it will escalate, I don't know, okay?

566
00:44:39.895 --> 00:44:46.858
to use a pun, for Iran is to start to disrupt global trade.

567
00:44:47.558 --> 00:44:49.339
But the United States has a response.

568
00:44:49.879 --> 00:44:50.780
And this response...

569
00:44:51.857 --> 00:45:01.103
is to attack Iran's critical civil infrastructure, which includes desalination plants and power plants.

570
00:45:01.644 --> 00:45:05.667
And this would be worse than using a nuclear weapon on Iran.

571
00:45:06.167 --> 00:45:14.553
Because without power plants, the people in Tehran, a city of about 10 million people, they face starvation because a lot of this food is refrigerated.

572
00:45:15.803 --> 00:45:20.824
This is how the war becomes almost civilization-destroying.

573
00:45:21.364 --> 00:45:27.946
If Iran were to completely disrupt global trade, and if the United States were to destroy the power plants of Iran.

574
00:45:28.426 --> 00:45:35.027
Obviously, that would be horrific and sort of inconceivably horrifying for the people that live in Iran, the innocent people that are caught in the middle of this.

575
00:45:35.727 --> 00:45:38.148
You don't think that the U.S. would actually do that, though, right?

576
00:45:39.153 --> 00:45:40.694
I think the United States will be forced to do it.

577
00:45:40.914 --> 00:45:41.815
You think they'll be forced to do it?

578
00:45:41.855 --> 00:45:42.035
Yes.

579
00:45:42.075 --> 00:45:57.147
According to game theory, they will be forced to behave like this because we need to appreciate this formula where the more power you have, the less imagination and empathy you have.

580
00:45:58.168 --> 00:46:03.111
And so the idea is you don't think killing millions of Iranians

581
00:46:04.375 --> 00:46:06.037
is a too heavy a price.

582
00:46:06.698 --> 00:46:09.942
It's all worth it if you can maintain the empire.

583
00:46:10.522 --> 00:46:20.353
The hubris leads you to believe that the gods favor you and you ultimately win and triumph in this great struggle.

584
00:46:20.733 --> 00:46:24.878
Don't you create a huge migration crisis where people start fleeing from Iran?

585
00:46:25.879 --> 00:46:28.740
up into Europe because they are starving.

586
00:46:29.420 --> 00:46:30.581
Exactly, right?

587
00:46:31.021 --> 00:46:35.663
Not just Iran, but Africa as well because they've lost access to cheap energy and fertilizer.

588
00:46:35.683 --> 00:46:48.008
So you have all this migration into Europe, which would overwhelm the European social fabric, which would overwhelm the European state.

589
00:46:48.848 --> 00:46:52.090
But unfortunately, this has been happening

590
00:46:52.870 --> 00:47:07.933
at a much slower pace ever since 2014, when, for whatever reason, the United States chose to destroy Libya and cause a civil war in Syria, which caused millions to migrate into Europe.

591
00:47:08.053 --> 00:47:14.515
And as you remember, the Europeans in the generosity accepted all these migrants, which is leading, which is led,

592
00:47:15.215 --> 00:47:19.036
to tremendous social friction and political tension in Europe today.

593
00:47:19.236 --> 00:47:26.959
So your prediction here, if we conclude then, is that the US won't win this quote-unquote war in the Middle East because they can't defeat Iran and its proxies.

594
00:47:27.559 --> 00:47:31.621
But also your conclusion is that this is going to continue to escalate in the Middle East.

595
00:47:32.021 --> 00:47:32.241
Yes.

596
00:47:32.521 --> 00:47:37.202
And already what we're seeing are other actors being drawn into the war.

597
00:47:37.302 --> 00:47:45.025
So the most recent news is South Korea has authorized a naval contingent to go and try to secure the Strait of Hormuz.

598
00:47:45.125 --> 00:47:46.446
What would you do if you were Donald Trump?

599
00:47:49.707 --> 00:47:53.809
I mean, what would I do if I were Donald Trump?

600
00:47:54.369 --> 00:47:55.229
I would push all in.

601
00:47:55.630 --> 00:47:59.091
I would start attacking power plants in Iran.

602
00:47:59.631 --> 00:48:03.273
Because if I take any half measures...

603
00:48:04.568 --> 00:48:05.328
I would just look weak.

604
00:48:06.429 --> 00:48:08.089
And I'm only going to create more problems.

605
00:48:08.210 --> 00:48:15.112
I would only incentivize Iran and its allies to be more provocative, to be more aggressive.

606
00:48:15.713 --> 00:48:20.415
So if I'm Donald Trump and I'm in this situation, I would just push all in.

607
00:48:20.935 --> 00:48:23.696
You'd end up killing millions of Iranians, theoretically.

608
00:48:25.157 --> 00:48:27.418
Well, I start this war, right?

609
00:48:28.398 --> 00:48:31.439
Then I have to win this war because I can't lose this war.

610
00:48:31.879 --> 00:48:32.840
I refuse to lose this war.

611
00:48:33.748 --> 00:48:37.052
I mean, again, I understand the concerns, okay?

612
00:48:37.332 --> 00:48:41.456
But if you want to understand how these leaders think, this formula gives you...

613
00:48:42.740 --> 00:48:55.303
the best window into the psychology, which is because of so much power, they lose the capacity to imagine different possibilities and have empathy for the suffering of the people in the world.

614
00:48:55.503 --> 00:48:56.963
Couldn't they just back out?

615
00:48:57.083 --> 00:49:06.726
Couldn't Donald Trump just say, do a big press conference where he says, we won this war in Iran, we've destroyed their military, their naval bases, it's done, and Iran will no longer have a nuclear weapon?

616
00:49:07.466 --> 00:49:11.927
The entire petrodollar system is premised on two things.

617
00:49:11.947 --> 00:49:12.387
One,

618
00:49:12.467 --> 00:49:21.749
the U.S. dollar as the world reserve currency, and the aura of inevitability and invincibility of the U.S. military.

619
00:49:22.029 --> 00:49:29.071
If they look like they are beatable, then the U.S. as its image is sufficiently tarnished.

620
00:49:29.551 --> 00:49:30.271
Right.

621
00:49:31.552 --> 00:49:32.432
What are your predictions?

622
00:49:32.452 --> 00:49:33.392
I've been dying to know.

623
00:49:33.793 --> 00:49:35.915
So I brought to you three predictions.

624
00:49:36.876 --> 00:49:47.866
And because we are so close to the anniversary of 9-11 in New York City, I structured these predictions around the anniversary.

625
00:49:48.126 --> 00:49:52.210
And so these will be three fun, but horrifying predictions, okay?

626
00:49:52.230 --> 00:49:58.175
All right, so my prediction number one is there will be a siege of New York City, all right?

627
00:49:58.195 --> 00:49:59.496
So let me explain my logic.

628
00:50:00.466 --> 00:50:05.110
I was here last time and I said that Donald Trump will get a third term.

629
00:50:06.051 --> 00:50:07.593
And he's been joking about it.

630
00:50:07.893 --> 00:50:09.395
He's been talking a lot about it.

631
00:50:09.895 --> 00:50:13.438
He's been social truthing about it.

632
00:50:14.339 --> 00:50:19.624
And so let's imagine what happens if Trump gets a third term.

633
00:50:20.265 --> 00:50:22.827
Well, you would have a lot of pissed off people.

634
00:50:23.743 --> 00:50:31.008
especially in the major cities of Los Angeles, San Francisco, Boston, Chicago, and New York City.

635
00:50:31.468 --> 00:50:37.112
We should probably just pause there because there is a constitutional ban on serving three terms.

636
00:50:37.472 --> 00:50:43.576
The primary barrier being the 22nd Amendment, which was ratified in 1951 by Franklin D. Roosevelt.

637
00:50:44.456 --> 00:50:45.437
who won four elections.

638
00:50:45.857 --> 00:50:48.619
It establishes a strict term limit for the presidency.

639
00:50:48.979 --> 00:50:54.842
And the text in this 22nd Amendment explicitly says no person shall be elected to the office of the president more than twice.

640
00:50:56.983 --> 00:50:57.763
So how could that happen?

641
00:50:58.604 --> 00:51:08.069
Well, let's just say there is a national emergency and the president is forced to suspend the constitution and

642
00:51:09.491 --> 00:51:13.695
then he could theoretically have his third term.

643
00:51:14.375 --> 00:51:25.084
It's also possible that in 2028, he decides to run as the vice president and have his son, Don Jr. run at the top of the ticket.

644
00:51:25.865 --> 00:51:34.592
And then once the election is over, then Don Jr. would resign and then Donald Trump would become the president.

645
00:51:34.652 --> 00:51:37.355
And there's nothing in the Constitution that prevents him from doing that.

646
00:51:38.402 --> 00:51:39.783
So there are two possibilities.

647
00:51:40.223 --> 00:51:46.845
There isn't anything in the Constitution that allows the U.S. president to suspend the Constitution in a time of a national emergency.

648
00:51:47.426 --> 00:51:48.666
It's president.

649
00:51:48.786 --> 00:51:58.170
So, for example, during the American Civil War, Abraham Lincoln was able to suspend habeas corpus, which is a constitutional right in the U.S. Constitution.

650
00:52:00.095 --> 00:52:05.778
And during World War II, Franklin Delano Roosevelt also did many unconsciously things.

651
00:52:06.239 --> 00:52:09.820
For example, interning the Japanese population in caps.

652
00:52:10.861 --> 00:52:13.723
There's nothing the Supreme Court could do against this.

653
00:52:14.503 --> 00:52:18.845
Because a lot of U.S. politics is convention.

654
00:52:19.186 --> 00:52:21.067
It's agreed upon norms.

655
00:52:21.847 --> 00:52:29.111
But if a U.S. president is like, well, screw these conventions, there's nothing anyone else can do about it.

656
00:52:30.307 --> 00:52:30.547
All right.

657
00:52:30.928 --> 00:52:36.074
So let's imagine, okay, just for the sake of this argument, Trump gets a third term.

658
00:52:36.735 --> 00:52:49.230
What will happen is these cities that are democratic will be in open revolt, meaning they will refuse to pay taxes to the federal government, but they will also not welcome ICE federal agents into their cities.

659
00:52:50.816 --> 00:52:55.563
which creates conflict between local law enforcement and federal law enforcement.

660
00:52:56.664 --> 00:53:05.416
And historically, if that were to happen, then the president, US president, usually thinks that he has responsibility to quash this insurrection.

661
00:53:06.757 --> 00:53:27.346
And so this would, over time, lead to the siege of New York City, where maybe federal forces, along with possibly militias from other states, possibly red states that favor Trump, they would try to besiege New York City by cutting off the food supply and water supply to New York City.

662
00:53:28.007 --> 00:53:32.028
And this would be a conflict that could go on for years and years.

663
00:53:32.209 --> 00:53:33.489
And what year would that take place, 2028?

664
00:53:33.509 --> 00:53:33.609
Yeah.

665
00:53:35.628 --> 00:53:39.495
It could happen right after Trump secures his third term.

666
00:53:39.676 --> 00:53:41.319
Do you think Trump is going to have a third term?

667
00:53:42.621 --> 00:53:43.523
Do you want to bet?

668
00:53:43.903 --> 00:53:44.124
Yeah.

669
00:53:44.825 --> 00:53:45.847
I think he'll get a third term.

670
00:53:46.332 --> 00:53:46.973
How much do you want to bet?

671
00:53:47.313 --> 00:53:48.754
Let's take a friendly bet and say $100.

672
00:53:48.774 --> 00:53:49.915
Do you know what?

673
00:53:49.995 --> 00:53:54.440
I've never said this before, but I actually did have a bet with two random guys on Facebook.

674
00:53:54.960 --> 00:53:58.663
I don't use Facebook, but I had a bet with two random guys on Facebook a couple of years ago.

675
00:53:58.724 --> 00:54:04.849
They told me that after Donald Trump had lost the election to Joe Biden, they told me that he was going to stay in power.

676
00:54:05.790 --> 00:54:07.331
And so I said, there's no way he stays in power.

677
00:54:07.971 --> 00:54:08.851
And they said, no, he will.

678
00:54:09.051 --> 00:54:10.172
And then they offered me a bet.

679
00:54:10.192 --> 00:54:11.392
They said, £1,000 each.

680
00:54:11.732 --> 00:54:13.053
We bet you he's going to stay in power.

681
00:54:13.633 --> 00:54:14.713
They were like queuing on people.

682
00:54:15.273 --> 00:54:15.833
And I said, fine.

683
00:54:16.094 --> 00:54:18.474
And they actually did pay me when he came out of power.

684
00:54:18.594 --> 00:54:19.735
They transferred me $1,000 each.

685
00:54:19.775 --> 00:54:20.575
I gave it to charity.

686
00:54:21.115 --> 00:54:22.896
So I'm more than happy to make another bet if you want to make a bet.

687
00:54:22.936 --> 00:54:23.436
Yeah, let's do it.

688
00:54:23.676 --> 00:54:24.716
$100, $100 US dollars.

689
00:54:24.817 --> 00:54:25.457
$100 US dollars.

690
00:54:25.597 --> 00:54:27.778
And you're betting that Trump gets a third term?

691
00:54:27.878 --> 00:54:30.298
Yes, I think he'll be in power after 2028.

692
00:54:31.139 --> 00:54:31.779
Is that fair?

693
00:54:31.939 --> 00:54:33.900
Like, he'll be in power after 2028.

694
00:54:34.180 --> 00:54:34.820
When's the election?

695
00:54:35.180 --> 00:54:37.642
Well, the election should be November 4th, 2028.

696
00:54:38.583 --> 00:54:39.904
But I didn't say he would win the election.

697
00:54:39.924 --> 00:54:41.446
I just said he would get a third term.

698
00:54:41.766 --> 00:54:51.255
So you're saying that he will refuse to leave office or find another way to remain president beyond the date of the inauguration?

699
00:54:51.735 --> 00:54:56.800
Yes, I'm saying that on January 21, 2029, Trump will still be in the White House.

700
00:54:57.672 --> 00:54:58.713
Okay, I'll take that back.

701
00:54:58.913 --> 00:54:59.073
Okay.

702
00:54:59.253 --> 00:54:59.873
If everyone's clear.

703
00:55:00.053 --> 00:55:03.355
And please do remind me to cash in, lads.

704
00:55:03.375 --> 00:55:03.675
$100.

705
00:55:04.015 --> 00:55:04.655
Okay.

706
00:55:05.136 --> 00:55:07.997
$100 may not be worth anything at that time, but that's $100, okay?

707
00:55:08.057 --> 00:55:08.197
Okay.

708
00:55:08.217 --> 00:55:09.177
All right.

709
00:55:09.658 --> 00:55:18.202
So, again, we are just assuming, for the sake of argument, that Trump is in office in his third term, there will be political violence.

710
00:55:19.380 --> 00:55:21.221
across the United States, primarily New York City.

711
00:55:22.001 --> 00:55:34.565
And if the federal authority is being challenged by a city or local state authority, then the president will take this very seriously and send in forces to quash this insurrection.

712
00:55:35.345 --> 00:55:43.968
Maybe other cities will be much more compliant, but New York City has a very charismatic mayor in Zohan Madani.

713
00:55:44.348 --> 00:55:46.549
And New Yorkers, you don't want to mess with New Yorkers.

714
00:55:47.109 --> 00:55:49.011
When they get angry, they get really, really angry.

715
00:55:49.471 --> 00:55:55.357
So this, I think, is very likely if Trump gets a third term.

716
00:55:55.377 --> 00:55:56.478
There'll be a siege of New York City.

717
00:55:57.079 --> 00:55:58.841
He would almost be 83 years old.

718
00:55:59.481 --> 00:56:04.226
I mean, we say that, but the amount of energy he has, right?

719
00:56:04.727 --> 00:56:09.111
The fact of the matter is the guy eats cheeseburgers every day.

720
00:56:10.052 --> 00:56:12.914
He gives a press conference almost every day.

721
00:56:13.014 --> 00:56:15.796
He's always on social media tweeting out something stupid.

722
00:56:16.037 --> 00:56:20.540
For example, he's tweeted out that, you know, all of North America is now the USA.

723
00:56:20.700 --> 00:56:22.441
I'm not sure if you've seen that yet.

724
00:56:23.082 --> 00:56:27.005
And he's talking about taking over Canada and Greenland and Cuba.

725
00:56:27.745 --> 00:56:31.769
So I don't know where he gets his energy, but he seems really energetic.

726
00:56:33.029 --> 00:56:34.791
I'm not sure if you've ever interviewed Obama.

727
00:56:35.321 --> 00:56:36.021
Michelle Obama.

728
00:56:36.141 --> 00:56:47.688
Okay, but like, if you just look at the picture of Obama in 2008, he was a really handsome, really young, very vibrant man in 2008.

729
00:56:48.468 --> 00:56:54.692
You fast forward eight years, and he came out just decrepit, okay?

730
00:56:54.772 --> 00:56:57.433
He had aged like at least 20 years in his office.

731
00:56:58.494 --> 00:57:03.837
Donald Trump, for whatever reason, has not aged that much.

732
00:57:05.095 --> 00:57:06.016
Hairdying fake tan?

733
00:57:08.638 --> 00:57:18.366
So there's something really weird about Donald Trump, which is a lot of US journalists marching in DC have his direct personal cell phone number.

734
00:57:19.407 --> 00:57:21.889
And they can call him and they will talk for an hour.

735
00:57:23.410 --> 00:57:26.412
Like the guy is the president of the United States.

736
00:57:26.432 --> 00:57:27.053
Yeah.

737
00:57:27.255 --> 00:57:35.482
And if you are just an average Washington journalist, you can call him and talk to him for an hour a day.

738
00:57:35.602 --> 00:57:41.727
There are journalists who go to the White House to interview him and says, like, we try to get, we try to, like, leave, like, an hour ago.

739
00:57:41.787 --> 00:57:43.929
But he made a stay and talked to him some more.

740
00:57:44.149 --> 00:57:45.029
He wanted us to leave.

741
00:57:45.810 --> 00:57:54.197
So I don't know where he gets his energy from, but he's extremely energetic and he loves that attention.

742
00:57:54.517 --> 00:57:54.738
Okay.

743
00:57:55.759 --> 00:57:57.321
What's prediction number two?

744
00:57:57.341 --> 00:58:00.966
So, again, we are approaching the anniversary of 9-11.

745
00:58:02.027 --> 00:58:08.576
And there are a lot of people who fear there will be another 9-11 attack on the United States.

746
00:58:09.585 --> 00:58:19.072
Just because you have a lot of actors that are very angry at the United States and who may want to seek vengeance against the American people.

747
00:58:19.652 --> 00:58:30.000
In that case, if there is another 9-11 attack on the United States, I believe it will be an attack on the U.S. financial infrastructure.

748
00:58:30.020 --> 00:58:32.282
Okay, so let me explain my reasoning.

749
00:58:32.302 --> 00:58:32.722
Okay.

750
00:58:33.098 --> 00:58:33.798
What was 9-11?

751
00:58:34.599 --> 00:58:42.363
9-11 was an act committed by terrorists in order to traumatize the population into self-destructive violence.

752
00:58:43.743 --> 00:58:44.484
Is that a fair statement?

753
00:58:44.804 --> 00:58:45.485
I don't really know.

754
00:58:45.605 --> 00:58:47.406
Is that, was that the...

755
00:58:47.426 --> 00:58:48.948
So let's parse the statement.

756
00:58:49.729 --> 00:58:57.896
9-11 was an attempt to traumatize the American population into self-destructive violence.

757
00:58:58.217 --> 00:59:03.842
What I mean by that is you're taking the symbols of American power, which are like these airplanes, mm-hmm.

758
00:59:04.222 --> 00:59:05.542
as well as the Twin Towers.

759
00:59:05.782 --> 00:59:07.123
These are symbols of American power.

760
00:59:07.243 --> 00:59:08.023
And the Pentagon.

761
00:59:08.203 --> 00:59:08.903
And the Pentagon.

762
00:59:09.603 --> 00:59:10.283
And the White House.

763
00:59:11.503 --> 00:59:12.944
And you're destroying them.

764
00:59:14.444 --> 00:59:21.125
And for the longest time, American people believed that these are symbols of American invincibility.

765
00:59:21.525 --> 00:59:25.066
Our planes are the Pentagon, the Twin Towers.

766
00:59:25.686 --> 00:59:29.647
And to see them destroyed like that would traumatize the population.

767
00:59:29.667 --> 00:59:32.067
In fact, it did traumatize many, many people

768
00:59:34.137 --> 00:59:39.760
And the idea is you traumatized them into a self-destructive violence, which means like they want vengeance.

769
00:59:39.920 --> 00:59:40.561
And so what do they do?

770
00:59:41.021 --> 00:59:47.304
They went to the Middle East, fought against the Taliban in Afghanistan, then went to attack Iraq.

771
00:59:47.424 --> 00:59:50.446
Then this war spread to Syria, Libya.

772
00:59:50.706 --> 00:59:57.333
And we can say that these 20 years of these forever wars in the Middle East have been very destructive for the United States.

773
00:59:57.574 --> 01:00:00.277
It's caused a huge fiscal deficit.

774
01:00:00.737 --> 01:00:04.401
It's caused the American military to lose all that prestige.

775
01:00:04.882 --> 01:00:07.164
It's caused a lot of corruption in Washington, D.C.

776
01:00:07.905 --> 01:00:09.387
It's been very bad for the United States.

777
01:00:10.390 --> 01:00:10.590
All right.

778
01:00:10.950 --> 01:00:19.057
So if you're a terrorist and you look at 9-11, you're like, okay, well, I want to do the same thing, which is like, I want to traumatize people into self-destructive violence.

779
01:00:19.958 --> 01:00:20.659
How can I do so?

780
01:00:20.979 --> 01:00:23.221
Well, I need to traumatize them, right?

781
01:00:24.022 --> 01:00:24.362
Me...

782
01:00:25.493 --> 01:00:34.458
Flying planes into the new Twin Towers doesn't do that because people are now used to, they've been normalized into this sort of violence.

783
01:00:35.379 --> 01:00:40.422
So how can I induce trauma into people?

784
01:00:40.842 --> 01:00:43.064
Well, there are different possibilities you can use, right?

785
01:00:44.084 --> 01:00:45.205
So let's do a thought experiment.

786
01:00:46.125 --> 01:00:53.190
What would happen if one day you open your iPhone and you're looking to...

787
01:00:54.518 --> 01:00:55.359
buy a coffee.

788
01:00:56.619 --> 01:01:01.282
Well, you scan your iPhone and it doesn't read.

789
01:01:01.602 --> 01:01:03.443
And you're like, well, there might be a problem with the bag.

790
01:01:03.604 --> 01:01:05.365
You call the bag, you can't get food with the bag.

791
01:01:06.185 --> 01:01:16.412
And like after hours and hours of frantic anxiety, you finally recognize that there was an attack on critical U.S. financial data servers.

792
01:01:16.832 --> 01:01:20.254
And so all the money in your bank account has been wiped out.

793
01:01:21.055 --> 01:01:24.457
And they don't know when or how long it will take them to retrieve it.

794
01:01:24.997 --> 01:01:25.637
What do you feel?

795
01:01:27.559 --> 01:01:27.799
Consent.

796
01:01:27.819 --> 01:01:27.999
Consent.

797
01:01:29.276 --> 01:01:30.858
I would say you would feel more than concerned.

798
01:01:31.038 --> 01:01:35.024
I would say you would feel a lot of anger and anxiety and frustration.

799
01:01:35.064 --> 01:01:36.266
But that must be hard to do.

800
01:01:36.366 --> 01:01:44.116
Surely taking out the financial infrastructure for everybody for a long enough period of time where they start to feel real-world consequences.

801
01:01:44.196 --> 01:01:45.478
Would you say 9-11 was hard to do?

802
01:01:46.659 --> 01:01:46.920
Yeah.

803
01:01:47.827 --> 01:01:48.769
I would say so as well.

804
01:01:49.029 --> 01:01:51.333
I can possibly imagine them doing this.

805
01:01:51.914 --> 01:01:56.120
So there is certain creativity to these people.

806
01:01:57.302 --> 01:01:58.784
And I would not rule that out.

807
01:01:58.944 --> 01:02:03.331
But I'm just saying if another 9-11 happens, it is possible that...

808
01:02:03.431 --> 01:02:12.715
what we'll see is the destruction of the US financial infrastructure, which would drive millions of people into a mad frenzy.

809
01:02:12.995 --> 01:02:16.577
You've worked your entire life to save up $2 million.

810
01:02:16.897 --> 01:02:18.558
That $2 million is your retirement.

811
01:02:21.042 --> 01:02:26.625
It used to be that working for yourself was a massive, massive risk, but that world has completely changed.

812
01:02:26.765 --> 01:02:33.309
If you've got a business idea that you can't stop thinking about, I think you owe it to yourself to at least try and make it happen.

813
01:02:33.789 --> 01:02:36.711
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814
01:02:37.131 --> 01:02:38.412
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815
01:02:38.592 --> 01:02:41.634
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816
01:02:41.714 --> 01:02:48.699
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817
01:02:48.859 --> 01:02:53.443
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818
01:02:53.563 --> 01:02:59.627
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819
01:02:59.747 --> 01:03:04.751
Personalized checkouts like that equal more conversion, equal a faster growing business.

820
01:03:04.991 --> 01:03:13.094
Nothing kills that early enthusiasm you have for a new idea than that first initial step to get going being difficult, complicated, or expensive.

821
01:03:13.254 --> 01:03:18.696
And you need to save as much time and money so that you can focus all of it on growing your actual business.

822
01:03:18.916 --> 01:03:20.537
And that's what Shopify gives you.

823
01:03:20.557 --> 01:03:26.679
Head over to shopify.com slash Bartlett and you can start your free trial right now.

824
01:03:27.640 --> 01:03:32.402
You said to me at the top of the conversation you're having difficulty getting back into the United States recently.

825
01:03:32.802 --> 01:03:33.002
Yes.

826
01:03:34.037 --> 01:03:34.658
What do you mean by that?

827
01:03:35.158 --> 01:03:38.323
So I think there are a lot of people who do not like what I'm saying.

828
01:03:38.763 --> 01:03:43.469
I would say I am one of the most polarizing figures in the world right now.

829
01:03:44.270 --> 01:03:52.601
So the story is that the Iran war happened in March, and it made me famous, and

830
01:03:53.282 --> 01:04:00.148
And I was really afraid that this fame would annoy and frustrate a lot of Americans.

831
01:04:00.628 --> 01:04:11.037
And so I decided that I should not actually go to the United States at this point because it's most likely that I come here and I could be held in detention by customs.

832
01:04:11.318 --> 01:04:12.359
I could be deported.

833
01:04:12.979 --> 01:04:15.521
And so that time period was...

834
01:04:16.502 --> 01:04:19.265
extremely scary for me.

835
01:04:20.246 --> 01:04:23.089
And I refused all offers to come to the United States.

836
01:04:23.129 --> 01:04:26.112
There were quite a few people who wanted me to fly to the United States, to be interviewed.

837
01:04:26.652 --> 01:04:30.476
So then what happens over the summer, the war thought sort of died down.

838
01:04:30.496 --> 01:04:34.200
I thought, okay, let me fly to Canada, where my family is.

839
01:04:34.800 --> 01:04:40.986
And I'm in Toronto, and I'm going to try to enter the United States by ear from Toronto.

840
01:04:41.467 --> 01:04:45.971
So on August 5th, I went to the Toronto airport, Pearson.

841
01:04:46.512 --> 01:04:49.274
It was like 7 o'clock in the morning because I had an early flight to Los Angeles.

842
01:04:50.135 --> 01:04:56.782
I told them that I was going to go on the Theo Vaughn show for, and I'll be in the United States for two weeks, which was all true.

843
01:04:57.422 --> 01:05:05.349
So when I'm at customs, the immigration officer asked me a lot of questions, but I handle all these questions pretty smoothly.

844
01:05:05.669 --> 01:05:08.551
Then he asked me, do you have a travel letter for your son?

845
01:05:08.911 --> 01:05:11.433
Because my son, Chris, who is eight years old, he's traveling with me.

846
01:05:11.954 --> 01:05:14.316
And I'm like, what is a travel letter?

847
01:05:14.376 --> 01:05:15.697
And again, this is like seven o'clock in the morning.

848
01:05:15.717 --> 01:05:16.778
So my brain's not working.

849
01:05:17.178 --> 01:05:18.960
He's like, call your wife.

850
01:05:19.756 --> 01:05:20.757
I'm like, okay.

851
01:05:20.777 --> 01:05:21.718
So I try to call my wife.

852
01:05:21.999 --> 01:05:22.980
My wife is in the shower.

853
01:05:23.521 --> 01:05:33.192
And so then the immigration officer says, okay, you have to go into secondary to be interrogated to make sure that your son, Chris, is traveling with you willingly.

854
01:05:33.492 --> 01:05:34.894
So we go into secondary.

855
01:05:34.914 --> 01:05:35.034
Okay.

856
01:05:35.755 --> 01:05:37.576
And it's like 7 o'clock in the morning and my flight's at 8.30.

857
01:05:37.736 --> 01:05:39.637
And we're waiting for like an hour.

858
01:05:40.078 --> 01:05:43.780
And I'm freaking out because it seems like we'll miss our flight.

859
01:05:44.640 --> 01:05:49.523
And during this hour, I'm texting my wife and she's giving me the birth certificate.

860
01:05:49.543 --> 01:05:53.966
She's giving me all the materials I need to prove that Chris is my son.

861
01:05:54.647 --> 01:05:57.068
And then at the very last minute, we get called.

862
01:05:57.228 --> 01:05:59.149
And in a minute, I'm able to resolve the issue.

863
01:06:00.190 --> 01:06:04.893
And I tell him I'm going to go on the Theo Vaughn show and I'll be there for two weeks.

864
01:06:06.681 --> 01:06:24.246
So I'm in the United States and I get caught up from other podcasts to do interviews and I travel around the United States and I forget about the two week promise to the immigration authorities because I'm not sure if you know the law, but I'm a Canadian citizen.

865
01:06:24.966 --> 01:06:27.207
And therefore, I don't need a visa to come to the United States.

866
01:06:27.787 --> 01:06:31.788
You know, if you say I'm coming for two weeks, but you stay a month, it's usually not an issue.

867
01:06:33.017 --> 01:06:35.558
I go back to Toronto and I come back to do this podcast.

868
01:06:36.159 --> 01:06:41.922
And so yesterday I am put in, yesterday I'm ready, okay?

869
01:06:42.042 --> 01:06:42.843
I have my travel letter.

870
01:06:43.083 --> 01:06:45.384
I have my son's birth certificate.

871
01:06:45.984 --> 01:06:49.366
And I go to the immigration officer and they still put me in secondary.

872
01:06:49.546 --> 01:06:51.848
But basically I think what happened was

873
01:06:53.212 --> 01:07:01.927
I said certain things during my podcast interviews that pissed off some really powerful people in the United States.

874
01:07:02.608 --> 01:07:06.154
A lot of things that I said were related to something called a clean brick memo

875
01:07:07.067 --> 01:07:07.607
which you have.

876
01:07:08.128 --> 01:07:19.453
The Clean Break Memo was published in 1996, and it laid out a plan for how Israel can become the dominant hegemon in the Middle East.

877
01:07:19.833 --> 01:07:24.755
It was written by a study group, and part of the study group, there were two individuals.

878
01:07:25.116 --> 01:07:27.377
They were Richard Perle and Nicholas Fyfe.

879
01:07:28.037 --> 01:07:30.178
These two would...

880
01:07:31.568 --> 01:07:37.912
in the George W. Bush administration, go work in the Pentagon.

881
01:07:38.433 --> 01:07:43.096
And these two along with Paul Wolfowitz were the chief architects of Iraq war.

882
01:07:43.896 --> 01:07:49.380
So I named these people and I explained how this war in Iran follows from the Clean Break Memo.

883
01:07:49.560 --> 01:07:52.442
And the goal is to establish Israel as the regional hegemon.

884
01:07:53.162 --> 01:07:55.484
And I think this is what got me into a lot of trouble.

885
01:07:55.864 --> 01:07:57.705
Why do you think that got you into a lot of trouble?

886
01:07:57.985 --> 01:07:59.666
Because I'm a Canadian.

887
01:07:59.826 --> 01:08:02.048
When I come into the country, they usually don't bother me.

888
01:08:02.748 --> 01:08:15.295
And so for them to question me, I think it was because some top officials basically requested that I be put in secondary every time I come to the United States.

889
01:08:15.735 --> 01:08:23.660
And I also believe this because I have a friend, Max Blumenthal, who is a very good U.S. journalist, and he was in Iran recently.

890
01:08:24.280 --> 01:08:36.186
covering Khamenei's funeral, in response, a social media influencer named Laura Loomer demanded his arrest.

891
01:08:36.406 --> 01:08:43.189
And so when Max Blumenthal came into the country, and he is a U.S. citizen, by the way, his devices were confiscated.

892
01:08:44.810 --> 01:08:49.232
And now Max Blumenthal is suing the Department of Homeland Security for

893
01:08:51.040 --> 01:08:54.523
illegally confiscating his devices.

894
01:08:54.843 --> 01:08:59.788
And so I think that we live in a time when, unfortunately, the empire is in decline.

895
01:09:00.588 --> 01:09:08.875
And because of hubris and arrogance, they are trying to silence their critics rather than accept our constructive criticisms.

896
01:09:10.257 --> 01:09:10.517
Okay.

897
01:09:11.077 --> 01:09:11.658
So it's a theory.

898
01:09:12.187 --> 01:09:27.073
Actually, they never told me why I was put in secondary, but he hinted at me that every time I come to the United States, I will be put into secondary to make sure that I'm coming to the United States for legitimate reasons.

899
01:09:27.793 --> 01:09:36.500
Also, he hinted at me that it is possible that once my I-94 expires in six months, they will not renew it, meaning they will not allow me in the country anymore.

900
01:09:36.720 --> 01:09:38.882
I hope I come back to the United States.

901
01:09:39.323 --> 01:09:42.485
I have the deepest admiration for the American people.

902
01:09:43.046 --> 01:09:46.188
I think that the Americans are the most open and generous people in the world.

903
01:09:46.729 --> 01:09:53.334
But at the same time, I do appreciate that we are living in very interesting times.

904
01:09:54.541 --> 01:09:55.201
Prediction three.

905
01:09:55.502 --> 01:09:55.762
Okay.

906
01:09:55.882 --> 01:10:02.806
My third prediction is that Lionel Messi will become president of Argentina.

907
01:10:03.566 --> 01:10:03.826
Oh, wow.

908
01:10:03.846 --> 01:10:04.647
I wasn't expecting that.

909
01:10:04.807 --> 01:10:05.007
Yep.

910
01:10:05.447 --> 01:10:10.230
So I wanted three new predictions that were fun and interesting for us to discuss.

911
01:10:10.971 --> 01:10:16.394
So why I make this prediction is that Argentina...

912
01:10:17.342 --> 01:10:21.745
is working very closely with the United States and Israel at this moment.

913
01:10:22.325 --> 01:10:31.211
You are a British citizen, so you will appreciate that Argentina has recently demanded the return of the Falklands.

914
01:10:33.192 --> 01:10:38.556
And Donald Trump has voiced support to Argentina.

915
01:10:39.616 --> 01:10:44.480
So I'm asking myself, why are they so concerned about the Falklands?

916
01:10:44.500 --> 01:10:44.940
Yeah.

917
01:10:46.103 --> 01:10:53.688
And not only that, but if you've been following the news, Harvey Malay has become very close with Benjamin Netanyahu.

918
01:10:54.288 --> 01:10:56.950
Argentina and Israel have very strong relations.

919
01:10:57.590 --> 01:11:05.396
In fact, Argentina is welcoming Israeli investment and immigration into Argentina.

920
01:11:06.717 --> 01:11:10.900
And apparently, if you are an Israeli citizen and you go into Argentina,

921
01:11:12.142 --> 01:11:20.728
Again, you can fact check this, but from what I understand, you have immediate access to the health care as well as pension, which makes actually no sense because they're not Argentina citizens.

922
01:11:21.268 --> 01:11:21.468
Right.

923
01:11:21.488 --> 01:11:28.813
So it seems very much that Argentina is working very close with Israel and the United States.

924
01:11:28.853 --> 01:11:38.980
And the reason why I think that Israel and Argentina are working very close together is right now there's almost a civil war in Israel when Mesutonic Jews.

925
01:11:39.800 --> 01:11:50.048
who believe this war in the Middle East will usher in the end times and the coming of the Messiah, and secular Jews who are like, these people are insane.

926
01:11:50.728 --> 01:11:57.333
And so the only way to resolve this conflict is by exporting secular Jews elsewhere.

927
01:11:57.894 --> 01:12:02.157
And it seems to me, Argentina is a very good place to export them.

928
01:12:02.837 --> 01:12:07.301
So, but then you're like, okay, how do you get the people of Argentina

929
01:12:09.403 --> 01:12:17.306
this massive immigration into Argentina from Israel, because Israel is not very popular in Argentina.

930
01:12:17.606 --> 01:12:29.491
I think the best way is to make Lionel Messi the president of Argentina, and his popularity will be enough to let all these Israelis into the country

931
01:12:30.411 --> 01:12:34.134
Him as well as the reclaiming of the Falkland Islands, right?

932
01:12:34.154 --> 01:12:42.220
These two things, you know, the god of Argentina becomes president and Argentina reclaims the Falklands from the British.

933
01:12:42.280 --> 01:12:45.302
And I apologize to you as a British citizen.

934
01:12:45.482 --> 01:12:45.782
It's okay.

935
01:12:45.802 --> 01:12:46.183
I like Missy.

936
01:12:48.024 --> 01:12:52.988
You also mentioned to me that you think Japan is going to go to war with China, or China is going to go to war with Japan.

937
01:12:53.128 --> 01:12:53.329
Yes.

938
01:12:53.689 --> 01:12:54.830
What makes you think that?

939
01:12:55.090 --> 01:12:56.551
Well, because every Chinese believes this.

940
01:12:57.492 --> 01:12:57.792
Yes.

941
01:12:57.972 --> 01:12:58.873
So it's the funniest thing.

942
01:12:58.913 --> 01:13:05.499
But for the longest time, people believed that China will eventually invade Taiwan.

943
01:13:05.699 --> 01:13:09.522
This is what's very commonly accepted in the West, right?

944
01:13:11.472 --> 01:13:23.540
But if you actually go to China, no Chinese actually believes this and no Taiwanese actually believes this because this is not the way that China actually goes about its foreign policy.

945
01:13:23.560 --> 01:13:30.004
It does not go and invade other countries or in its most recent history, it has not been that aggressive.

946
01:13:30.244 --> 01:13:35.187
The last war that China fought was in Vietnam and this was in the mid, early 80s.

947
01:13:35.268 --> 01:13:36.608
Okay, so it's a long time.

948
01:13:37.429 --> 01:13:38.850
But if you go to China today,

949
01:13:40.306 --> 01:13:45.249
Everyone believes that China and Japan will go to war.

950
01:13:46.410 --> 01:13:51.794
And to appreciate this, you have to understand the geography of Southeast Asia.

951
01:13:52.254 --> 01:13:53.435
Should you turn up, throw something up on the screen?

952
01:13:53.615 --> 01:13:54.316
Yeah, okay.

953
01:13:55.036 --> 01:14:05.683
So what I want to do is use geography to explain why conflict between China and Japan is inevitable at this point.

954
01:14:06.144 --> 01:14:08.245
Okay, so you have Japan.

955
01:14:09.563 --> 01:14:11.424
Okay, and you have China.

956
01:14:14.085 --> 01:14:18.227
Okay, so the first thing to appreciate is that these are two very different countries.

957
01:14:18.987 --> 01:14:22.489
China is a land power that is self-sufficient.

958
01:14:23.860 --> 01:14:30.262
Japan is a sea power that is dependent on resources from abroad.

959
01:14:30.682 --> 01:14:34.583
So historically, China was probably an agricultural nation.

960
01:14:35.323 --> 01:14:38.404
Japan, in order to survive, engaged in piracy.

961
01:14:38.724 --> 01:14:41.705
So the Japanese have always been pretty militaristic.

962
01:14:42.025 --> 01:14:44.806
They had a cyber culture for the longest time.

963
01:14:45.026 --> 01:14:46.747
They were always at war with each other.

964
01:14:47.808 --> 01:14:54.495
And the Japanese people are extremely resilient and cohesive because the geography of Japan is very unstable.

965
01:14:54.515 --> 01:14:55.637
There's lots of earthquakes.

966
01:14:55.857 --> 01:14:56.858
There's lots of tsunamis.

967
01:14:57.098 --> 01:15:00.743
So they have to work together as a people in order to survive.

968
01:15:01.183 --> 01:15:07.150
This is important because this war in Iran is affecting both China and Japan.

969
01:15:08.131 --> 01:15:18.436
China will probably have to de-industrialize, but if Japan doesn't do anything, then it's possible in the next 50 years, Japan cease to exist.

970
01:15:18.996 --> 01:15:26.320
Because not only is Japan dependent on energy and imports and resources from overseas, but that's an aging population.

971
01:15:26.880 --> 01:15:30.363
It has the most elderly population in the world.

972
01:15:30.963 --> 01:15:39.849
So in a time of war, when the United States is no longer able to give you protection, Japan needs to create resource colonies.

973
01:15:40.390 --> 01:15:47.335
And historically, Southeast Asia, right here, has been the main resource colony of Japan.

974
01:15:48.474 --> 01:15:54.739
If it does not have Southeast Asia, the United States now becomes the main benefactor of Japan.

975
01:15:55.119 --> 01:16:02.945
And Japan doesn't want to be in that position because that's what happened in World War II when Japan got most of its energy from the United States.

976
01:16:03.006 --> 01:16:08.150
And when the United States embargoed Japan, Japan was forced to declare war on the United States.

977
01:16:08.610 --> 01:16:14.394
Okay, so the United States can provide Japan with all its energy needs, but that would make Japan completely subservient.

978
01:16:15.015 --> 01:16:16.736
So Japan wants to...

979
01:16:17.837 --> 01:16:19.741
basically access the resources of Southeast Asia.

980
01:16:20.141 --> 01:16:22.325
There's a problem, though, and that problem is called Taiwan.

981
01:16:23.868 --> 01:16:26.152
Taiwan is right in the middle of

982
01:16:27.746 --> 01:16:29.567
of the South China Sea.

983
01:16:30.367 --> 01:16:38.091
And if China and Taiwan were to reunify, what China could do now is embargo Japan.

984
01:16:38.291 --> 01:16:43.714
I'm not saying China will do so, but I'm saying that China has the option of doing so.

985
01:16:43.994 --> 01:16:47.836
And Japan sees that as a threat to its existence.

986
01:16:48.336 --> 01:16:49.757
In fact, a few months ago-

987
01:16:50.797 --> 01:16:51.878
What does embargo mean?

988
01:16:52.058 --> 01:16:54.822
Embargo means you blockade, okay?

989
01:16:55.022 --> 01:16:57.705
But if they did this, wouldn't, the whole hell would break loose.

990
01:16:58.005 --> 01:16:59.947
You know, Japan are going to attack China.

991
01:16:59.967 --> 01:17:01.950
Taiwan, it's going to get messy.

992
01:17:02.290 --> 01:17:03.051
It's going to impact trade.

993
01:17:03.071 --> 01:17:08.076
So I'm not saying that China would embargo Japan, but I'm saying it has the option of doing so.

994
01:17:08.177 --> 01:17:10.099
But you are saying that China is going to attack Japan.

995
01:17:10.662 --> 01:17:11.183
No, no, no, no.

996
01:17:11.223 --> 01:17:13.507
I'm saying there's a conflict between these two nations.

997
01:17:13.788 --> 01:17:13.988
Okay.

998
01:17:14.008 --> 01:17:15.090
I thought you said it was inevitable.

999
01:17:15.731 --> 01:17:15.931
Yes.

1000
01:17:16.212 --> 01:17:19.558
So let me explain how this would draw, how this would play out, okay?

1001
01:17:20.339 --> 01:17:20.600
So...

1002
01:17:21.793 --> 01:17:26.836
Japan sees Taiwan, the Taiwan issue, as vital to its national security interests.

1003
01:17:27.016 --> 01:17:30.158
And that's exactly what Prime Minister Takeuchi said a few months ago.

1004
01:17:30.739 --> 01:17:34.241
And when she made that statement, China overreacted.

1005
01:17:34.621 --> 01:17:39.745
So before, you had millions of tourists from China visiting Japan a year.

1006
01:17:40.285 --> 01:17:44.468
Now, most of them are not allowed to go to Japan.

1007
01:17:46.057 --> 01:17:51.942
And it's very likely that China and Japan will have a conflict over Taiwan.

1008
01:17:52.503 --> 01:17:59.048
Now, the thing to remember is, it does not benefit any nation here to go to war.

1009
01:17:59.248 --> 01:18:02.310
Because as you point out, all chaos would break out.

1010
01:18:02.871 --> 01:18:08.876
What you need to do is create leverage to negotiate better terms.

1011
01:18:09.176 --> 01:18:11.238
So what Japan is doing is saying, okay,

1012
01:18:11.978 --> 01:18:16.443
Look, we can't take on China directly because China is too powerful.

1013
01:18:17.043 --> 01:18:26.193
But what we can do is build alliances to possibly challenge and if we have to embargo China.

1014
01:18:26.894 --> 01:18:35.042
So what Japan is doing is build an alliance with the Philippines and Australia and India.

1015
01:18:37.407 --> 01:18:46.252
And together, these four nations, even the United States, they could, in theory, choose to embargo China.

1016
01:18:48.033 --> 01:18:55.978
What Japan needs is access to Southeast Asia because that will be the main source of its resources going into the future.

1017
01:18:56.538 --> 01:18:58.239
So that is a scenario being played out.

1018
01:18:58.960 --> 01:18:59.180
Now...

1019
01:19:00.147 --> 01:19:03.189
China does not want to come into a conflict with Japan.

1020
01:19:03.630 --> 01:19:03.990
Why?

1021
01:19:04.390 --> 01:19:08.853
Because China is seen as the big bad dragon in this area.

1022
01:19:09.334 --> 01:19:17.660
And if China is seen as too provocative, that would basically incentivize all of Southeast Asia to gang up on China.

1023
01:19:17.920 --> 01:19:27.887
So you can see alliance between India, Southeast Asia, Taiwan, Philippines, Australia, South Korea, North Korea, Japan versus China.

1024
01:19:28.760 --> 01:19:29.000
Okay?

1025
01:19:29.721 --> 01:19:44.434
So, the way to resolve this issue is to use a proxy in order to threaten Japan, in order to develop more leverage over Japan in negotiations.

1026
01:19:44.914 --> 01:19:45.075
Right?

1027
01:19:45.235 --> 01:19:47.677
And that proxy, of course, is North Korea.

1028
01:19:49.618 --> 01:20:00.986
So North Korea has the potential to shell South Korea because most of the population of South Korea lives within 20 minutes of North Korea.

1029
01:20:01.407 --> 01:20:05.550
And so in theory, North Korea could flatten Seoul in just a day.

1030
01:20:06.010 --> 01:20:09.173
Most of North Korean artillery is actually by the border.

1031
01:20:09.793 --> 01:20:16.058
What North Korea could also do is lobby missiles into the Sea of Japan and rattle the Japanese.

1032
01:20:16.158 --> 01:20:16.578
Okay.

1033
01:20:17.343 --> 01:20:34.515
So this is the dynamic being played out, where Japan, through its proxies, primarily the Philippines, is challenging Chinese naval dominance in the Sub-China Sea, and China will use North Korea as a proxy to threaten South Korea and Japan.

1034
01:20:35.155 --> 01:20:42.060
Over time, as the United States retreats from the Asia-Pacific,

1035
01:20:42.860 --> 01:20:46.442
this conflict between China and Japan will get worse and worse.

1036
01:20:46.942 --> 01:20:56.348
And the main reason why is it is in the strategic best interest of the United States to foment as much tension between China and Japan as possible.

1037
01:20:57.088 --> 01:20:58.829
But it could compromise Taiwan, no?

1038
01:20:59.589 --> 01:20:59.970
Who cares?

1039
01:21:01.550 --> 01:21:02.691
The US care about Taiwan.

1040
01:21:02.891 --> 01:21:03.391
No, it doesn't.

1041
01:21:03.952 --> 01:21:04.332
Says who?

1042
01:21:04.592 --> 01:21:05.993
We get all of our semiconductors from.

1043
01:21:06.430 --> 01:21:07.851
But what does Trump want to do?

1044
01:21:08.332 --> 01:21:13.537
He wants Taiwanese to move their semiconductor industry to the United States.

1045
01:21:14.318 --> 01:21:24.028
And that's already happening where TSMC, the main semiconductor company in Taiwan, it's opened a, I believe it's $20 billion

1046
01:21:25.980 --> 01:21:27.961
new factory in Arizona.

1047
01:21:28.541 --> 01:21:33.602
So if there's a conflict between China and Japan, the tension becomes worse and worse.

1048
01:21:33.902 --> 01:21:41.105
The Taiwanese semiconductor industry would be forced to relocate to the United States, which would be in the best interest of the Americans.

1049
01:21:42.865 --> 01:21:47.427
You also think that Russia are going to invade the Baltics.

1050
01:21:48.047 --> 01:21:48.307
Yeah.

1051
01:21:48.547 --> 01:21:51.568
Okay, so now we'll shift focus and go into Europe.

1052
01:21:52.445 --> 01:21:52.665
All right.

1053
01:21:52.685 --> 01:21:53.546
Okay.

1054
01:21:54.086 --> 01:21:55.427
But is this pretty clear?

1055
01:21:55.887 --> 01:21:56.508
Yes, it is clear.

1056
01:21:56.628 --> 01:21:56.868
Okay.

1057
01:21:57.128 --> 01:22:09.517
Right now, you have NATO or Europe supporting Ukraine in its war against Russia.

1058
01:22:12.458 --> 01:22:16.561
And most of this war is actually happening in eastern Ukraine.

1059
01:22:17.482 --> 01:22:23.426
And Russia seems to be winning a lot of territory in eastern Ukraine.

1060
01:22:23.967 --> 01:22:27.069
But everybody's saying that Ukraine are fighting back really, really well.

1061
01:22:27.550 --> 01:22:39.059
The reason why is what Ukraine has chosen to do in these past few months, which has changed the context of the war, is Ukraine is using drones to attack Russia's energy infrastructure.

1062
01:22:39.459 --> 01:22:43.061
And just hitting Russia in general is making the people of Russia change their perception.

1063
01:22:43.081 --> 01:22:43.822
Exactly, right?

1064
01:22:44.122 --> 01:22:50.525
So before this conflict was contained to Eastern Ukraine, it didn't affect the people of Russia.

1065
01:22:51.026 --> 01:22:58.470
In fact, it really was helping the economy of Russia because Russia could still export its oil around the world.

1066
01:22:58.850 --> 01:23:06.755
Now, what Ukraine is doing is using drones to attack the war refineries of Russia, which is causing economic pain.

1067
01:23:08.084 --> 01:23:09.445
On the Russian people.

1068
01:23:09.785 --> 01:23:11.406
And this is making Putin.

1069
01:23:12.427 --> 01:23:13.947
Increasing unpopular.

1070
01:23:14.288 --> 01:23:16.629
So the contour of the war has changed.

1071
01:23:17.249 --> 01:23:18.270
So if you're Russia.

1072
01:23:18.430 --> 01:23:19.490
And you're looking at this.

1073
01:23:19.791 --> 01:23:22.412
You think your enemy is not Ukraine.

1074
01:23:22.432 --> 01:23:24.813
You think your enemy is NATO Europe.

1075
01:23:25.174 --> 01:23:25.474
Why?

1076
01:23:26.094 --> 01:23:27.775
Because Ukraine.

1077
01:23:27.975 --> 01:23:29.796
The drones are being manufactured.

1078
01:23:31.497 --> 01:23:32.378
In Germany.

1079
01:23:34.219 --> 01:23:35.039
And the UK.

1080
01:23:35.479 --> 01:23:36.260
And other places as well.

1081
01:23:37.147 --> 01:23:45.648
So in theory, Ukraine could fight this war to infinity because its manufacturing hub is in Europe.

1082
01:23:46.129 --> 01:23:52.110
Europe is also providing Ukraine with infinite financing as well as intelligence, okay?

1083
01:23:52.310 --> 01:23:54.230
So if you're Russia, you're like, wait a minute here.

1084
01:23:55.010 --> 01:24:06.372
Over time, we can't possibly win this war of attrition because we're fighting Europe and Europe's manufacturing capacity is well-protected behind the NATO alliance.

1085
01:24:07.497 --> 01:24:19.842
So what I need to do is provoke NATO and Europe into coming into Ukraine, basically force them out of their shell.

1086
01:24:20.382 --> 01:24:27.685
And so what's been happening is Germany and Russia have been in conflict these past few months.

1087
01:24:28.906 --> 01:24:32.788
In early August, there was a drone attack on Leipzig Airport.

1088
01:24:32.808 --> 01:24:33.768
Okay, Leipzig Airport.

1089
01:24:36.289 --> 01:24:37.930
And the Germans blamed the Russians.

1090
01:24:38.691 --> 01:24:48.318
And in response, the Germans closed down the Russian consulate in bond, as well as removed certain Russians from Germany.

1091
01:24:49.198 --> 01:24:53.461
Russia is retaliating by closing the German consulate in St. Petersburg.

1092
01:24:54.522 --> 01:25:02.988
And the Russian foreign minister, Sergei Lavrov, have said, we are in a similar situation to 1941.

1093
01:25:03.248 --> 01:25:04.109
What happened in 1941?

1094
01:25:04.309 --> 01:25:05.390
The Germans invaded Russia.

1095
01:25:06.314 --> 01:25:16.462
Okay, so in other words, Russia recognizes that if they just leave Europe alone and just fight this war in Ukraine, they will lose in the end.

1096
01:25:16.682 --> 01:25:22.807
So they must force and provoke Europe into mass mobilization to defend Ukraine.

1097
01:25:23.607 --> 01:25:31.574
And one way to do that is by hitting critical manufacturing infrastructure within Europe.

1098
01:25:32.114 --> 01:25:38.740
Do you think Russia's next move is to attack within NATO, Germany, the UK, etc.?

1099
01:25:38.800 --> 01:25:39.380
It has no choice.

1100
01:25:39.500 --> 01:25:40.301
It has to do this.

1101
01:25:40.481 --> 01:25:43.143
Can't they just do a deal with Trump?

1102
01:25:43.844 --> 01:25:45.445
Like, you know, they're trying to do a deal at the moment, aren't they?

1103
01:25:45.465 --> 01:25:48.007
Jared Kushner is apparently trying to get a deal done between Ukraine and Russia.

1104
01:25:48.047 --> 01:25:48.147
So...

1105
01:25:50.487 --> 01:25:58.015
If the United States, do you want peace between Europe and Russia or do you want war between Europe and Russia?

1106
01:25:58.636 --> 01:26:01.980
Well, from a game theory perspective, you're bit off with war.

1107
01:26:02.200 --> 01:26:02.480
Why?

1108
01:26:02.541 --> 01:26:07.146
Because if there's war, Russia can't sell its energy overseas.

1109
01:26:08.347 --> 01:26:10.708
The United States has monopoly over energy now.

1110
01:26:11.148 --> 01:26:12.989
This causes global instability, though.

1111
01:26:13.329 --> 01:26:16.570
If there's a war here, then it's going to impact the US in a big way.

1112
01:26:16.590 --> 01:26:19.611
Well, then why did the United States invade Iran, right?

1113
01:26:19.631 --> 01:26:28.574
Because they thought it would be an overnight Venezuela situation where you decapitate the leadership, everyone rises up, you have a favorable leader in the country that is subservient to you.

1114
01:26:29.255 --> 01:26:30.256
Great, exactly.

1115
01:26:30.496 --> 01:26:34.338
And this is exactly how the empire thinks, right?

1116
01:26:34.378 --> 01:26:35.378
We already use this formula, right?

1117
01:26:35.538 --> 01:26:35.698
Yeah.

1118
01:26:35.778 --> 01:26:43.082
Now, if we apply this formula to Europe's situation, then the thinking is, well, Putin is a paper tiger.

1119
01:26:43.902 --> 01:26:45.063
He is very unpopular at home.

1120
01:26:45.823 --> 01:26:55.688
If we just force this war for another two months, if we continue to attack the energy infrastructure of Russia, then eventually people will rise up and overthrow Putin.

1121
01:26:56.927 --> 01:26:57.067
Right?

1122
01:26:57.087 --> 01:26:57.808
The same logic.

1123
01:26:58.328 --> 01:27:05.213
So, therefore, Trump wants the Ukraine to win, or he wants Ukraine to keep doing what they're doing?

1124
01:27:05.773 --> 01:27:10.116
Well, Trump personally doesn't care, right?

1125
01:27:10.517 --> 01:27:16.181
Because the more war there is, the more the Europeans are forced to rely on American energy.

1126
01:27:18.022 --> 01:27:18.142
Okay.

1127
01:27:19.223 --> 01:27:20.424
So, if you're Putin...

1128
01:27:21.303 --> 01:27:26.327
What you need to do is force the Europeans into war in Ukraine.

1129
01:27:26.848 --> 01:27:27.168
Why?

1130
01:27:27.588 --> 01:27:31.611
Because there's really only one path to victory in this scenario.

1131
01:27:32.672 --> 01:27:40.158
The path to victory is to cause instability and violence in Europe.

1132
01:27:40.639 --> 01:27:40.919
Okay?

1133
01:27:41.700 --> 01:27:45.263
The idea is if you force Europe to mass mobilize,

1134
01:27:46.283 --> 01:27:52.928
the people would rather overrule the government than agree to take up arms against Russia.

1135
01:27:53.228 --> 01:27:54.269
That's a theory, okay?

1136
01:27:54.469 --> 01:28:01.754
But Russia has exactly one path to victory, and that is to cause as much instability and violence as possible within Europe.

1137
01:28:02.035 --> 01:28:07.539
And the best way to do that is by forcing the Europeans to mass mobilize their population, okay?

1138
01:28:07.719 --> 01:28:13.283
But for that to happen, what Russia needs to do first is declare total war,

1139
01:28:14.852 --> 01:28:19.540
What total war means is the mass mobilization of your society.

1140
01:28:20.081 --> 01:28:25.590
So what's important for us to appreciate is, so far, Russia has not declared war on Ukraine.

1141
01:28:25.770 --> 01:28:28.114
It is a special military operation.

1142
01:28:29.267 --> 01:28:34.512
which means that Russia is relying on volunteers to fight this war.

1143
01:28:35.033 --> 01:28:45.143
In a time of total war, Russia could mobilize its adult population, and we estimate there are at least three million

1144
01:28:46.797 --> 01:28:51.081
reservists in Russia ready to be called up to arms.

1145
01:28:52.042 --> 01:28:56.425
Mass mobilization in Russia would force mass mobilization in Europe.

1146
01:28:56.966 --> 01:29:01.790
And this is how the war is most likely, will most likely turn out.

1147
01:29:03.792 --> 01:29:10.217
I mean, I guess the other thing that's, I mean, listen, professor, there's a, sounds like there's a lot of conflict on the way.

1148
01:29:11.187 --> 01:29:12.328
There's an acceleration underway.

1149
01:29:12.749 --> 01:29:29.028
What would have to be true for us to sit here in 2036 and for there not to have been a conflict between China and Japan, for the Iran situation to have cooled off, the Ukraine war is either, you know, where it is now or it's regressed?

1150
01:29:29.748 --> 01:29:30.389
The Clean Brick Memo.

1151
01:29:31.210 --> 01:29:32.271
Let's change history.

1152
01:29:33.011 --> 01:29:35.032
So what are you saying specifically?

1153
01:29:35.573 --> 01:29:38.795
What would have to be the case for none of these sort of catastrophic things to take place?

1154
01:29:38.995 --> 01:29:39.275
Okay.

1155
01:29:39.575 --> 01:29:43.317
In the year 1995, this was published in 1996.

1156
01:29:43.697 --> 01:29:46.759
Now, Yahoo came to power in Israel in 1996.

1157
01:29:46.799 --> 01:29:52.122
In 1995, we lived in a world of neoliberalism, something called the Washington Consensus.

1158
01:29:52.703 --> 01:29:55.785
And the idea is we have developed a new system.

1159
01:29:56.785 --> 01:29:58.087
model of history.

1160
01:29:58.767 --> 01:30:07.777
If people just traded with each other and consumers just bought goods, we would have peace forever.

1161
01:30:08.578 --> 01:30:11.581
This is what we call neoliberalism, Washington consensus.

1162
01:30:12.803 --> 01:30:17.247
And Bill Clinton was the main proponent of

1163
01:30:18.173 --> 01:30:18.933
all of this idea.

1164
01:30:19.754 --> 01:30:33.700
And in order to achieve this vision for global peace, what he did was promote the Oslo peace process, which sought to create a two-state solution and bring peace in the Middle East, right?

1165
01:30:33.720 --> 01:30:38.301
The two-state solution is the Palestinians and the Israelis agreed to live side by side.

1166
01:30:38.762 --> 01:30:41.283
And at that time, the main thinking was,

1167
01:30:42.498 --> 01:30:49.782
that once peace happened in the Middle East, once a two-state solution was created, then they would start to trade with each other.

1168
01:30:50.443 --> 01:30:58.628
Israel and Palestine were brought into the GCC, and they would be part of the global supply chain.

1169
01:30:58.908 --> 01:31:07.153
And once prosperity comes to Israel and Palestine, they would have no need to ever hate each other again.

1170
01:31:07.913 --> 01:31:09.254
This is called the also peace process.

1171
01:31:10.358 --> 01:31:16.200
And again, at that time, this was just how policymakers in Washington understood the world.

1172
01:31:16.320 --> 01:31:17.361
It worked in China.

1173
01:31:17.721 --> 01:31:18.781
It worked in Japan.

1174
01:31:19.041 --> 01:31:20.082
It worked in Germany.

1175
01:31:20.782 --> 01:31:24.263
Japan and Germany were these really militant nation states.

1176
01:31:24.363 --> 01:31:26.004
But then we allowed them to trade.

1177
01:31:26.384 --> 01:31:29.265
We allowed their consumers to have air conditioning, SUVs.

1178
01:31:29.905 --> 01:31:31.406
And now they're just really peaceful people.

1179
01:31:31.846 --> 01:31:35.607
So why can't we do the same thing in Israel and Palestine?

1180
01:31:35.627 --> 01:31:36.867
So what is the clean break theory?

1181
01:31:37.468 --> 01:31:38.088
In a sentence...

1182
01:31:39.518 --> 01:31:41.199
The clean brick theory is this.

1183
01:31:42.159 --> 01:31:51.323
Netanyahu came into power and basically his argument is, we can never ever trust the Arabs not to hate us.

1184
01:31:52.323 --> 01:31:53.444
We are Israelis.

1185
01:31:54.464 --> 01:31:57.286
We have been promised this land by God.

1186
01:31:59.238 --> 01:32:03.384
And the Arabs see us as enemies.

1187
01:32:04.385 --> 01:32:06.528
And whatever we do, they will always hate us.

1188
01:32:07.048 --> 01:32:08.570
So screw peace.

1189
01:32:09.131 --> 01:32:10.473
Screw compromise.

1190
01:32:11.114 --> 01:32:13.717
Let us become the regional hegemon.

1191
01:32:13.837 --> 01:32:14.918
Because that is our...

1192
01:32:15.479 --> 01:32:16.300
Manifest destiny.

1193
01:32:16.600 --> 01:32:18.121
That is what God told us to do.

1194
01:32:18.321 --> 01:32:19.522
That is what is written in the Bible.

1195
01:32:19.742 --> 01:32:22.123
And that's what we were born to do.

1196
01:32:22.243 --> 01:32:24.645
And this is something called the clean brick memo.

1197
01:32:24.965 --> 01:32:30.469
And the clean brick memo had three major pillars that have all been achieved today.

1198
01:32:31.049 --> 01:32:34.651
The first pillar is stop the also peace process.

1199
01:32:34.891 --> 01:32:40.175
Do not give more land to the Palestinians because the Palestinians are animals.

1200
01:32:40.615 --> 01:32:43.517
And the way to treat animals is by getting the crap out of them.

1201
01:32:44.773 --> 01:32:46.233
Do not treat them nicely.

1202
01:32:50.154 --> 01:32:50.835
They will hate you.

1203
01:32:51.155 --> 01:32:58.996
So wait, are you saying that the way to stop all of the pessimism that we talked about happening is by the clean break theory succeeding?

1204
01:32:59.537 --> 01:33:00.337
No, no, no, no.

1205
01:33:00.437 --> 01:33:08.879
What I said was in 1995, there was already a theory in place called neoliberalism that offered a solution to the Israel-Palestine regime.

1206
01:33:09.539 --> 01:33:13.001
issue that has been plaguing the Middle East for the past few decades.

1207
01:33:13.381 --> 01:33:16.683
And if they had thought that through, then we would live in a very different time.

1208
01:33:17.183 --> 01:33:25.228
Okay, so to my question, my question is, what would have to be the case for this, all the things you've described, the wars and the conflict, not to happen?

1209
01:33:25.699 --> 01:33:25.879
Right.

1210
01:33:26.219 --> 01:33:33.204
What would have happened is the United States had pressured Israel into seeking peace with the Arab nations.

1211
01:33:33.444 --> 01:33:33.745
Okay.

1212
01:33:33.825 --> 01:33:39.529
So the U.S. need to get Israel to be friends with the Arab nations.

1213
01:33:39.649 --> 01:33:39.829
Yes.

1214
01:33:39.929 --> 01:33:47.434
You force it because Israel simply depended on you for technology, for financing, for arms.

1215
01:33:47.674 --> 01:33:50.817
Israel is the biggest recipient of American independence.

1216
01:33:51.457 --> 01:33:53.659
foreign policy, uh, aid.

1217
01:33:54.259 --> 01:34:01.105
So just for those that want to know what the clean break theory is, it was, it's called a clean break, a new strategy for securing the realm.

1218
01:34:01.766 --> 01:34:12.194
It refers to a prominent 1996 policy documented, um, and then prepared for Benjamin Netanyahu by a study group led by American neoconservative strategists.

1219
01:34:12.214 --> 01:34:12.915
Yeah.

1220
01:34:13.496 --> 01:34:14.957
Did he read this memo?

1221
01:34:15.799 --> 01:34:16.399
He commissioned it.

1222
01:34:16.680 --> 01:34:17.260
He commissioned it.

1223
01:34:17.280 --> 01:34:17.561
Okay.

1224
01:34:18.001 --> 01:34:28.655
And the key objectives of the clean break are, as you said, the first one, abandoning land for peace, which advocated for moving away from the Oslo Accords framework, shifting to a posture of peace through strength and,

1225
01:34:29.035 --> 01:34:31.357
and peace for peace without giving up any territory.

1226
01:34:31.577 --> 01:34:32.938
Number two, regional dominance.

1227
01:34:32.978 --> 01:34:46.068
It recommended transcending the Israel-Palestine conflict by focusing on weakening regional adversaries, specifically advocating for the containment or removal of hostile regimes in Iraq and Syria and dismantling the Iraq-Syria-Hezbollah axis.

1228
01:34:46.168 --> 01:34:47.949
And lastly, preemptive action.

1229
01:34:47.969 --> 01:34:54.174
It urged Israel to abandon defensive containment policies in favor of proactive offensive strategies.

1230
01:34:54.574 --> 01:34:55.975
And that's exactly what Israel is doing today.

1231
01:34:56.455 --> 01:34:57.997
This is what Israel has done

1232
01:34:58.657 --> 01:35:00.598
for the past 30 years.

1233
01:35:00.798 --> 01:35:04.320
It has promoted regime change in Syria, in Iraq.

1234
01:35:04.680 --> 01:35:11.544
And so the conclusion here is to stop this sort of conflict escalating, they have to reverse course with this strategy.

1235
01:35:11.744 --> 01:35:14.045
The US needs to contain Israel, yes.

1236
01:35:14.085 --> 01:35:14.285
Okay.

1237
01:35:16.607 --> 01:35:27.853
But what I'm arguing is it's too late because you've already unleashed these structural forces that will collapse the global trade system, in which case it's every nation for itself.

1238
01:35:28.853 --> 01:35:33.196
I mean, you've already created the conditions for Japan and China to go to war.

1239
01:35:33.457 --> 01:35:36.619
You've already created conditions for Germany and Russia to go to war.

1240
01:35:37.840 --> 01:35:41.283
It's no longer, you can't put the gene back in the bottle again.

1241
01:35:42.384 --> 01:35:45.506
What does this, you know, a lot of, most of us aren't involved in politics.

1242
01:35:45.526 --> 01:35:51.251
So we just kind of watch this stuff and we have to sort of figure out what to do with our families and our lives and,

1243
01:35:52.444 --> 01:35:56.168
in spite of this sort of craziness that we see in the news and the global conflict and all that stuff.

1244
01:35:56.488 --> 01:35:58.870
What is the advice that you have to the average person?

1245
01:35:59.270 --> 01:36:04.696
The best advice I can give to the average person is believe in God.

1246
01:36:05.817 --> 01:36:09.880
So I am a product of the meritocracy.

1247
01:36:10.781 --> 01:36:14.144
I receive the best education in the world and I feel...

1248
01:36:15.060 --> 01:36:21.704
the best education in the world makes you think the world is materialistic, God doesn't exist.

1249
01:36:22.385 --> 01:36:33.092
And as a result, in my 20s and 30s and 40s, I was a deeply angry, depressed, frustrated person.

1250
01:36:33.732 --> 01:36:39.256
Because if God doesn't exist, there's no order and structure to what's going on.

1251
01:36:40.217 --> 01:36:41.397
And it's just complete chaos.

1252
01:36:42.418 --> 01:36:43.699
And there can be no hope.

1253
01:36:45.057 --> 01:36:46.098
or light in chaos.

1254
01:36:47.640 --> 01:37:05.537
And because I married a wonderful woman who I think is really an angel, because I have like three beautiful children, I do believe there's a plan and a structure and order and reason to the world.

1255
01:37:06.077 --> 01:37:07.398
And I've come in the past,

1256
01:37:08.342 --> 01:37:08.742
Two years.

1257
01:37:08.762 --> 01:37:10.043
And it's only been recent, okay?

1258
01:37:10.483 --> 01:37:15.066
It's only been the past two years when I have a true belief in God.

1259
01:37:15.566 --> 01:37:16.567
So it's all going to be okay?

1260
01:37:17.307 --> 01:37:17.507
Yes.

1261
01:37:18.768 --> 01:37:19.028
Great.

1262
01:37:19.769 --> 01:37:19.989
Yes.

1263
01:37:20.569 --> 01:37:28.253
But you need to believe in God and you need to focus on your family.

1264
01:37:28.954 --> 01:37:30.715
Then it will be all right.

1265
01:37:30.955 --> 01:37:36.178
So don't focus on protesting in the streets or elections or any of those things or...

1266
01:37:37.508 --> 01:37:46.275
If you believe in God and you focus on your family, sometimes you're compelled to take action.

1267
01:37:47.095 --> 01:37:55.002
Because I believe in God, I live a life following one simple principle, which is speak the truth.

1268
01:37:56.183 --> 01:37:58.704
Why am I on your show?

1269
01:37:59.345 --> 01:38:04.289
Why did I spend the past month going on so many different podcasts?

1270
01:38:04.609 --> 01:38:06.871
Because it's important people know the truth.

1271
01:38:08.024 --> 01:38:16.227
If you really believe in God, if you really focus on your family, you have a personal and moral responsibility to speak the truth.

1272
01:38:16.487 --> 01:38:19.108
If you know what's gonna happen, then speak it.

1273
01:38:19.528 --> 01:38:20.429
Why are you doing this?

1274
01:38:20.949 --> 01:38:21.889
What good will it do?

1275
01:38:22.489 --> 01:38:23.450
It doesn't matter.

1276
01:38:23.810 --> 01:38:26.131
It's just like your faith in God.

1277
01:38:27.211 --> 01:38:33.313
compels you to live the truth and to speak the truth and to spread the truth.

1278
01:38:33.953 --> 01:38:42.775
So just because you believe in God doesn't mean, okay, now I believe in God and now I can just sit back and hide in my room and play computer games all day.

1279
01:38:42.815 --> 01:38:43.495
It doesn't mean that.

1280
01:38:43.555 --> 01:38:53.398
It means if you truly believe in God and you believe there's a plan, then you have to take action and you have to participate in the world because why else would God create you?

1281
01:38:55.012 --> 01:38:57.214
So why is God letting all of this stuff happen?

1282
01:38:57.955 --> 01:39:00.176
When I look around the world, I see lots of wars and conflict.

1283
01:39:00.216 --> 01:39:03.159
Russia, Ukraine, the Middle East, lots of other things breaking out at the moment.

1284
01:39:03.459 --> 01:39:05.741
Why would God let this happen?

1285
01:39:06.962 --> 01:39:08.203
What is the path to wisdom?

1286
01:39:11.286 --> 01:39:12.727
Struggle, pain, failure.

1287
01:39:13.588 --> 01:39:13.788
Yeah.

1288
01:39:14.609 --> 01:39:16.050
Can we just have the wisdom without them?

1289
01:39:17.271 --> 01:39:17.912
Well, could you?

1290
01:39:20.734 --> 01:39:21.755
So we've got a lesson to learn.

1291
01:39:22.116 --> 01:39:23.157
We have many lessons to learn.

1292
01:39:23.878 --> 01:39:36.936
But if you are truly a spiritual person, you're thankful for this time because this struggle, this suffering, will allow us to transcend ourselves.

1293
01:39:38.566 --> 01:39:42.650
Are we here to make a lot of money and drive fast cars?

1294
01:39:42.810 --> 01:39:46.232
Are we here to learn what it means to be truly human?

1295
01:39:46.933 --> 01:39:48.915
To learn what love is?

1296
01:39:49.755 --> 01:39:52.678
To develop a deeper connection with God?

1297
01:39:53.999 --> 01:39:57.802
I mean, I think we're here first and foremost to,

1298
01:39:58.779 --> 01:39:59.739
to be truly human.

1299
01:40:00.019 --> 01:40:03.920
That means living a life of love, empathy, and imagination.

1300
01:40:04.381 --> 01:40:14.523
And so we go back to that formula where if you have too much wealth, you have too much fame, you have too much power, it's impossible for you to truly have imagination, empathy, and love.

1301
01:40:16.224 --> 01:40:17.264
So how do you correct this?

1302
01:40:17.804 --> 01:40:19.225
Will you create a world of crises?

1303
01:40:19.705 --> 01:40:28.287
Because in a world of crises, everyone, you and me, we're forced to look deep down and ask ourselves, what is truly important to me?

1304
01:40:30.331 --> 01:40:31.473
What gives me happiness?

1305
01:40:31.933 --> 01:40:34.236
What is meaning and purpose in my life?

1306
01:40:34.777 --> 01:40:39.623
And I think the answer is, it's my love for the people around me.

1307
01:40:40.824 --> 01:40:42.927
And that's the answer that we'll all come to.

1308
01:40:43.327 --> 01:40:49.555
And once we come to this answer, then I think that is the great spiritual awakening that could possibly redeem all of humanity.

1309
01:40:51.187 --> 01:40:55.592
Professor, what's the most pertinent thing that's front of mind for you at the moment that we haven't talked about?

1310
01:40:56.253 --> 01:41:02.359
Well, I mean, we did talk about the coming conflict between China and Japan, and I worry a lot about that.

1311
01:41:02.640 --> 01:41:03.401
What about AI?

1312
01:41:03.421 --> 01:41:04.241
We didn't talk about that.

1313
01:41:04.302 --> 01:41:12.611
And that's kind of overlaid on all of the stories we've talked about, because it's to do with robotics, it's energy, it's semiconductors, chips, it's US, China...

1314
01:41:13.319 --> 01:41:13.559
Yeah.

1315
01:41:14.119 --> 01:41:15.039
So that's a great question.

1316
01:41:15.920 --> 01:41:20.661
And so if we go back and talk about global supply chains, this formula is very important to understand.

1317
01:41:20.761 --> 01:41:23.821
Technology equals specialization times globalization.

1318
01:41:24.501 --> 01:41:33.584
So in a time when global supply chains are breaking down, in a time of war, AI cannot make that leap into AGI.

1319
01:41:34.184 --> 01:41:35.344
So what will happen is...

1320
01:41:37.130 --> 01:41:49.240
AI will be repurposed as a control grid rather than AI developing the intelligence necessary to reduce scarcity, to solve problems,

1321
01:41:50.424 --> 01:42:01.991
the most pressing medical problems of humanity to solve climate change, AI will be repurposed to monitor and surveil all of us.

1322
01:42:02.312 --> 01:42:11.598
I think that's going to happen irrespective of, you know, I think governments are going to be increasingly interested and incapable of monitoring all of us all the time.

1323
01:42:12.098 --> 01:42:14.940
Because we have cameras, we're here in New York City at the moment, there's cameras everywhere.

1324
01:42:15.200 --> 01:42:16.201
They're just a little bit dumb.

1325
01:42:16.921 --> 01:42:17.962
they don't really talk to each other.

1326
01:42:18.622 --> 01:42:19.503
Yep.

1327
01:42:19.583 --> 01:42:21.084
With AI, they can all talk to each other.

1328
01:42:21.104 --> 01:42:21.424
That's right.

1329
01:42:21.444 --> 01:42:25.127
They say, professor's walking down the street and he's off his way to this hotel and now he's in a hotel.

1330
01:42:25.768 --> 01:42:29.571
I agree that is the most likely trend.

1331
01:42:29.851 --> 01:42:35.375
But what I'm saying is all these crises will accelerate this trend.

1332
01:42:35.595 --> 01:42:37.476
Because let's just say you have a siege of New York City

1333
01:42:38.277 --> 01:42:44.961
Well, Palantir will use this opportunity to develop autonomous drone warfare that is controlled by AI.

1334
01:42:45.301 --> 01:42:46.722
So is that your big concern with AI?

1335
01:42:46.842 --> 01:42:47.742
Is it surveillance?

1336
01:42:48.163 --> 01:42:50.204
That's not the big risk I see.

1337
01:42:50.284 --> 01:42:55.447
The big risk I see is how AI can cheapen

1338
01:42:57.108 --> 01:43:00.890
the human experience, how AI is almost dehumanizing.

1339
01:43:01.431 --> 01:43:09.635
Because what people like Elon Musk and Peter Thiel and Sam Ullman are saying is, computers are so much smarter than us.

1340
01:43:10.776 --> 01:43:17.040
And it could be true that AI will eventually be able to do mathematics.

1341
01:43:17.600 --> 01:43:21.742
do medical diagnostics much more efficiently than we are.

1342
01:43:22.082 --> 01:43:28.324
But ultimately, we as humans, we're here to love, imagine, and be kind to other people.

1343
01:43:28.985 --> 01:43:31.025
And that is what the human experience is.

1344
01:43:31.446 --> 01:43:39.849
And if we focus too much on AI, that diverts and distracts us from our true mission, which is one of spiritual growth.

1345
01:43:42.650 --> 01:43:45.071
Our true mission is spiritual growth.

1346
01:43:48.006 --> 01:43:48.647
What gives you hope?

1347
01:43:50.390 --> 01:43:51.973
Well, the only thing that gives me hope...

1348
01:43:54.396 --> 01:43:57.619
are my children, right?

1349
01:43:57.659 --> 01:44:03.065
You met Chris, but I'm here because of Chris.

1350
01:44:03.405 --> 01:44:12.534
Honestly, if I didn't have children, first of all, I don't think I would be this successful because I wouldn't have much purpose and meaning in my life.

1351
01:44:12.894 --> 01:44:17.318
But honestly, at the same time, I think that while children and I was suddenly this famous,

1352
01:44:18.159 --> 01:44:19.860
I would become very corrupted very fast.

1353
01:44:20.220 --> 01:44:21.561
I would just focus on the fame.

1354
01:44:21.961 --> 01:44:28.244
I would try to make as much money as possible because while children, the only purpose in life is competition against others, right?

1355
01:44:28.544 --> 01:44:31.505
To prove that I am materially more successful than other people.

1356
01:44:32.066 --> 01:44:39.589
And so I would just try to make as much money as possible for myself in my 15 minutes of fame.

1357
01:44:39.949 --> 01:44:44.792
But now that I have children, I'm much more concerned about building a legacy

1358
01:44:45.913 --> 01:44:48.037
for them and sending a good example.

1359
01:44:48.398 --> 01:44:49.660
Are you worried about Chris's future?

1360
01:44:50.181 --> 01:44:50.502
I'm not.

1361
01:44:50.983 --> 01:44:51.243
You know?

1362
01:44:51.444 --> 01:44:52.946
I'm not at all worried about his future.

1363
01:44:53.407 --> 01:44:53.568
Why?

1364
01:44:54.229 --> 01:44:54.690
Because...

1365
01:44:55.613 --> 01:44:59.536
My wife and I have loved him to the best of our ability.

1366
01:45:00.637 --> 01:45:07.723
And the fact that we love him gives him the confidence to live his life to the fullest.

1367
01:45:08.084 --> 01:45:11.847
We see every day Chris as a gift from God.

1368
01:45:12.367 --> 01:45:17.972
But if the world is collapsing, in your words, and Chris is in that world, are you not concerned?

1369
01:45:18.172 --> 01:45:18.913
I'm not at all concerned.

1370
01:45:20.667 --> 01:45:26.490
Because we are here in order to have a spiritual awakening.

1371
01:45:26.510 --> 01:45:35.135
And all the crises, they will induce deep reflection in order for us to fulfill our purpose.

1372
01:45:35.475 --> 01:45:36.516
I don't know why Chris is here.

1373
01:45:37.562 --> 01:45:44.246
when Chris was two years old, he literally told us, mom, dad, I'm from another world.

1374
01:45:44.706 --> 01:45:45.487
And he named that world.

1375
01:45:46.607 --> 01:45:48.448
And I'm just an alien visiting you guys.

1376
01:45:48.848 --> 01:45:50.549
And my wife and I, we weren't surprised.

1377
01:45:50.569 --> 01:45:51.430
We're like, we knew this.

1378
01:45:51.630 --> 01:45:51.830
Yeah.

1379
01:45:52.571 --> 01:45:53.451
We knew you were an alien.

1380
01:45:53.691 --> 01:45:55.292
We knew you came from another world.

1381
01:45:55.512 --> 01:46:03.797
And we knew that you came here to experience humanity for all our faults and for all our problems.

1382
01:46:04.798 --> 01:46:05.018
And...

1383
01:46:06.016 --> 01:46:12.362
We see you, we love you, but we will do whatever we can to empower you on your mission.

1384
01:46:12.782 --> 01:46:21.089
And we're going to try our best because ultimately it's your life, it's your mission, and we cannot ever control you.

1385
01:46:22.030 --> 01:46:23.271
Love is about trust.

1386
01:46:23.932 --> 01:46:26.254
Love is about liberation.

1387
01:46:26.494 --> 01:46:31.659
Liberation from your own anxieties and liberation from the need to control others.

1388
01:46:33.401 --> 01:46:37.264
First, we have a closing tradition where the last guest leaves a question for the next, not knowing who they're leaving it for.

1389
01:46:37.525 --> 01:46:43.289
The question left for you is what is your biggest challenge and how are you working on fixing it?

1390
01:46:44.470 --> 01:46:51.416
My biggest challenge is my fear, my doubt, my paralysis.

1391
01:46:52.537 --> 01:46:52.737
I...

1392
01:46:53.832 --> 01:47:02.900
went to the U.S. border yesterday, and now I'm afraid that I will never be allowed back in the United States after I leave.

1393
01:47:03.560 --> 01:47:09.185
I'm afraid that I might get banned from a lot of countries because all I do is talk trash about different countries.

1394
01:47:09.805 --> 01:47:10.826
I've talked trash about China.

1395
01:47:10.846 --> 01:47:12.287
I've talked trash about Canada.

1396
01:47:12.728 --> 01:47:14.129
I've talked trash about the United States.

1397
01:47:14.409 --> 01:47:17.051
If I get banned from all three countries, I'd be in a lot of trouble now.

1398
01:47:17.872 --> 01:47:29.376
And so my constant challenge is to maintain my faith in God, maintain my faith in my family, maintain my faith in my purpose.

1399
01:47:30.196 --> 01:47:30.516
I hope you do.

1400
01:47:30.536 --> 01:47:31.737
And you have a wonderful son.

1401
01:47:31.757 --> 01:47:37.539
He's so curious is the vibe that I got from him.

1402
01:47:37.879 --> 01:47:38.639
He's a gift from God.

1403
01:47:39.443 --> 01:47:40.123
Very, very curious.

1404
01:47:40.163 --> 01:47:44.805
I just met him in the green room then, and he was like, he's playing with some Play-Doh and lots of toys and stuff like that.

1405
01:47:44.865 --> 01:47:48.846
And I'm not surprised that he is your son from the 15 seconds I spent with him.

1406
01:47:50.126 --> 01:47:52.587
Because he's very, very curious and clearly going to be a very smart young man.

1407
01:47:52.627 --> 01:47:54.168
So congratulations.

1408
01:47:54.388 --> 01:47:54.668
Thank you.