WEBVTT

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They're calling it Black October, the worst month in cybersecurity of all time.

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There's Armageddon on the internet.

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We're gonna figure out today whether it's really all that bad or not.

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Joining me on this stream today, we got Hari, the CEO of Cantina Security.

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Hari, welcome to the live stream.

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Yeah, thank you, David.

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And joining Hari is Odysseus, CEO of Filings.

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Odysseus has been on the podcast before.

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Every time there's a security conversation, we tap in Odysseus.

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Odysseus, I would say good to have you back, but actually in these circumstances, maybe not.

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But either way, good to talk to you, my man.

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Yeah, thank you so much.

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Okay, so I want to learn a little bit about what your guys' last two days have been like.

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You guys are both security experts.

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It's the worst week of cybersecurity, apparently, of all time.

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Are you guys busy?

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What is it like to be in the world of security right now?

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Hari, I'll start with you.

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As I'll give you an answer that you're probably not expecting, which is...

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I think the public incidents have been very alarmist.

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People hear about all these incidents in the public.

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But the reality is that this has been going on for the last, I would say, 18 months.

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The number of incidents have been going up by a lot.

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Many people do not report incidents in the public.

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It's just that with the PHP one, with some of the healthcare ones, it's a big story.

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So...

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Taking a step back, we started seeing that agents and alums were starting to get really good at cyber last year.

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So back in, I would say, February, we started seeing this change.

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And we started seeing both offensive and defensive actors starting to use this newfound capability to build products and also to disclose security issues.

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There was an uplift in cyber ability around January where the model started getting very good, where the economics was cheap, where now you can blast it on many companies and make disclosures.

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We did that a lot starting this year.

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This year, right now, it's just a tipping point where many companies are starting to show up in news.

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This is nothing new for us.

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The last few days, we alerted a few of our customers with the PHP incidents because we had products that would enable them to scan their service area.

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So nothing new to us just because we have been seeing this for the last 18 months.

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Nothing new to you guys, but nonetheless, something just feels different in the last week.

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Maybe it's a little bit of what you said, Hari, of just the Twitter phenomenon of casting doom upon something, of inciting doom is very viral, so maybe that's what's different.

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Odysseus, what would you have to add to why this week feels so different than the wins previous week?

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I think it's the tipping point is, as Harry said, in the capabilities.

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Like probably we saw last year with a lot of social engineering attacks where the deep fakes was the first like big change in capabilities.

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But that was like more targeted, I would say.

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And crypto obviously was a great target for that.

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And now we're actually seeing that it's actually very cheap.

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to like blast that on the internet and just scan everything.

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So security through obscurity is like breaking down in, you know, real time right now.

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And that's what we're seeing.

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I've got this tweet from somebody who works at Anthropic, Anthropic security researcher person who says, as bad as things have gotten in the past four days, they are going to get a lot worse before they get better.

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Security leaders never let a crisis go to waste.

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Please go to your boards and ask for help right now.

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Is it going to get worse?

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Is this just kind of just like the first time this has emerged in the public zeitgeist?

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And actually, this is going to escalate.

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So next week or next month will be worse than October.

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Hari, what do you think?

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Oh, absolutely.

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So...

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With a lot of the AI capabilities, it's like there is this exponential where either the capability or the cost keeps going down.

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So every time you have a, the capabilities are already there.

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It's now the economics.

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How do we do this at a scale where it's so cheap to hunt on every website?

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This is starting to inflate.

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The same thing that we could do in January, it's now 15 times cheaper, like 15x cheaper.

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That's our internal efficiency gain.

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And this will continue to get 10x cheaper in every 6 to 12 months.

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So...

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The way to think about it is that the scope has gone up where hacking in the past was a bespoke skill.

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So to hack a company, you needed to have a lot of talented people that would then spend weeks, months, maybe years trying to hack a company.

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And then you need to have profit at the end to hack it.

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So it was never scalable.

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Hacking has now become scalable where you can build a factory where you can give it a website.

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You can give it bankless.com and we'll go hack it.

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You don't even have to think about cost because it will cost like $10 as opposed to like two weeks of human time where now you need to think about ROI.

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What do I get from hacking bankers?

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So right now, the unfortunate reality is that you can build a factory that will like churn in exploits and no humans need it.

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And the economics is falling to zero.

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Yeah.

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And I think this is also why now the attention is turning away from, you know, crypto and like just in, you know, broad web too, because before in crypto, it was a very clear target, right?

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If you had something, it was a very clear money to be made at the end, right?

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So the economics made sense there.

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And in web too, it was like more difficult, right?

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It was not clear how you would monetize.

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But now that it's actually so cheap, right?

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You don't need to answer that question.

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You just do it and you'll figure it out at the end.

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Well, you guys aren't really reassuring me in any particular way.

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This kind of sounds bad.

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Maybe we can start trying to talk about the scope of the actual harm being caused here.

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Because it's a little bit confounded.

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There are a ton of vulnerabilities being found and disclosed.

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That's not inherently bad.

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There are some exploits actually happening.

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That's bad, but...

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They're not exploits like crypto, where if a crypto exploit happens, people lose money.

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So that's also not necessarily what's happening.

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It's kind of muddy as to what's going on.

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How do we understand or measure the actual harm that's happening right now?

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I mean, at the end of the day, what is the value of data?

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What is the value of reputation?

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What is the value of money?

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And...

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all of them are getting targeted today.

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So if you have valuable data in an application you're using, like maybe your dentist, maybe your dentist has information about you that you don't want to be on the internet, or maybe the dentist doesn't want to leak their customer data because of liability.

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So what's happening is it has become so cheap to hack these companies that people would just do it.

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And,

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the way to make money is often by threatening these companies.

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Hey, I will breach your database if you don't pay me X, Y, Z money.

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And that's a very, that has become a scalable, uh, cyber crime motion today.

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So in the past, uh,

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You have to think about cybercrime as a business.

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These criminals need to make money, and these criminals need to make money.

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You need to have scalable unit economics.

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So in the past, while crypto was a big target because the money at the end was very high, like North Korea funded their nuclear missile program with crypto hacks because there was a lot of money to be made.

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But if you hack a dentist, there's not much money to be made.

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And the resources that you need to hack a doctor or a healthcare company was so high that the ROI wasn't there.

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And the highest ROI in the past was phishing.

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So you find a way to get past your email filter, your message filter, and you just blast millions of emails, millions of messages, and...

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Out of the million people, maybe 1,000 will click at it, and maybe out of the 1,000, like 100 of them would give you data that is now worth threatening them.

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Now the same threat actors are now shifting to hacking, or they are using zero days.

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They find zero days that are out there that are not getting fixed by companies

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to just scalably hack, and now they have data.

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And with that data, they can chat on the companies.

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I will breach this if you don't pay me XYZ money.

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We've seen that across the board.

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That is going to keep increasing.

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So there is economic value to it.

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And even at a, you know, bigger political level, you know, if you...

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Just think about if the database of like JP Morgan is getting leaked.

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I'm not saying it will.

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Just think about it at a political level.

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That is going to be a political catastrophe.

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Like if the entire, like some of the largest banks in the world have their records leaked, you know, you can think about the second and third order effects.

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Like that would change the politics of that country because, you know, that is exposing people's finances.

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So, yeah.

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And there is true economic damage to these incidents.

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Yeah.

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And I think a very easy to grog example is how, um, leaking, uh, databases like that of, you know, Ledger back, I think in 2021, um, or other databases were actually linked to, you know, the rent attacks, right.

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Where you identify who are the high net worth individuals and then you go after them, uh, personally.

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Right.

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And I think

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That's like part of why it's hard to quantify because the second and third order effects is not always obvious, the connection.

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That they found this data and then they connected with other data and then they were able to perform a personal attack to actually trade millions, either in crypto or some other valuables.

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So the main thing I'm hearing from you guys is that data is going to be exposed.

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And honestly, if you asked me about, like, if you asked me before all of this, if you asked if my personal data was out and available on the internet, I would probably say, yeah, it probably is, like statistically speaking.

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So I'm not, me as an individual, I don't know if I'm more worried about even more of my personal data being on the internet because it was already like that.

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I take the point that, like,

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JP Morgan doesn't want its data out there and it's a company that it needs to protect.

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So its concern is to protect its data.

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And then, you know, most companies' concerns are about its data.

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But me personally, the individual, I'm a hair less.

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Does that resonate with you guys?

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How would you respond to that, Hari?

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I mean, that's a great question.

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I've heard this objection from other people.

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But I do think like there are multiple things happening at the same time that this time it's truly different.

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And, you know,

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We build an AI product.

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We build an AI security product.

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And one of our AI engineers, he did this demo to somebody in the office, which is, he asked this JCPT, tell me everything it knows about him.

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This person's JCPT.

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And then it listed out information about his compensation, who their romantic partners are, a lot of deeply personal information about this individual that when he read that, he was shocked how much his AI agent knew about him.

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So I think this is truly different where people are giving up a lot of data to the new products and products.

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agents will then use all this data together to do malicious things for you.

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Like, you know, if an agent had access today with all of your data, like...

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it can now do things that it couldn't do in the past.

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You know, in the past, somebody still had to, like, look at all this leaked data, understand, like, how can they, like, you know, do something to David with that data?

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And that was too expensive.

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Now it's, like, prompts.

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Like, hey, here's David's data.

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I want you to write this precise email that will make him, you know, do something that, you know, he otherwise wouldn't do.

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And you can now scale that to millions of people.

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Hmm.

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Yeah, like I think

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Yeah, like a very, I think we've seen recently is the elder scams, right?

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When they call elder people and they say that, you know, your son or a relative is like in police custody or, you know, they owe money in taxes or whatever.

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And then they convince them to give them money.

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That's something we're seeing, right?

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So now imagine that they can do that in a way that is 100% believable because they have all this information about you.

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And I can convince millions of people, billions of people who are not aware of what AI is capable.

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So they're more gullible.

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And I can convince them to, you know, exfiltrate money from them, right?

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At a scale that is industrial for the first time.

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So it sounds like the default scenario moving forward is that everyone's records, individual records, my health records, I don't even know where my health records are, who has them, but they're going to be made, exploited and made accessible to the internet.

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And that's kind of the default for just data broadly.

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It sounds like,

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The default path, the assumption that in a short order here, most data will be made exploitable, vulnerable, and accessible by like open weight models because the internet has been built on sticks and duct tape.

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And now we have AI breaking all those things down.

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And so data is now just free on the internet.

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Is that kind of the default future that we have?

212
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That is the worst case.

213
00:16:18.710 --> 00:16:21.071
That's the worst case.

214
00:16:21.191 --> 00:16:22.972
Like, look, I don't want that to happen.

215
00:16:22.992 --> 00:16:28.436
I want you to do it to be only with the people that you want to have access to.

216
00:16:28.456 --> 00:16:30.497
Okay, so we're not there yet.

217
00:16:30.517 --> 00:16:33.659
So the Armageddon on the internet has not created that environment.

218
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That is the trajectory that we are going towards if we do nothing.

219
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Correct.

220
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Okay.

221
00:16:39.222 --> 00:16:39.502
Okay.

222
00:16:40.022 --> 00:16:41.363
Okay.

223
00:16:41.503 --> 00:16:44.165
How much time do we have before that happens?

224
00:16:44.185 --> 00:16:44.845
Okay.

225
00:16:46.527 --> 00:16:51.489
So there is this fun way to think about the time.

226
00:16:51.629 --> 00:16:53.050
It's often called like zero day clock.

227
00:16:53.270 --> 00:16:58.612
So how long do you have until you need to fix zero days in your environments?

228
00:16:59.493 --> 00:17:02.554
And in the past, it would be like months, years.

229
00:17:03.014 --> 00:17:04.755
So you had time to fix these issues.

230
00:17:05.555 --> 00:17:07.936
These days, a zero day clock is negative days.

231
00:17:08.317 --> 00:17:10.217
So that's what it's done.

232
00:17:10.237 --> 00:17:13.839
The clock has hit zero and you are on borrowed time in this present moment.

233
00:17:14.039 --> 00:17:14.799
Correct.

234
00:17:15.620 --> 00:17:26.345
So if you are a company that has customer data, repetition worth protecting, money worth protecting, you need to act today.

235
00:17:26.605 --> 00:17:30.387
You need to have acted like six months ago, but the best time to act is today.

236
00:17:30.927 --> 00:17:33.568
So you are living on borrowed time.

237
00:17:34.528 --> 00:17:36.709
Otherwise, it's almost irresponsible.

238
00:17:36.769 --> 00:17:39.931
You have a duty to your customers to protect that data.

239
00:17:44.483 --> 00:18:10.662
there was a tweet from Nikita Beer that I like that says that even your company your engineers are mentioned as IT department you don't have to worry about security incidents because they have already happened I'm looking at a chart here from a 0x Osprey can you guys just kind of walk me through what we're looking here on this chart and why it's significant today

240
00:18:12.065 --> 00:18:15.609
So this is a great job to showcase what we're dealing with.

241
00:18:16.210 --> 00:18:23.298
So if you have a software, there is a way to disclose to the public that, hey, there is a vulnerability in the system.

242
00:18:23.718 --> 00:18:27.022
So anyone using the software or asset dependency, they can fix it.

243
00:18:27.302 --> 00:18:27.462
So

244
00:18:28.728 --> 00:18:41.076
these are called CVEs, so, like, vulnerabilities in your system that people are disclosing, and oftentimes the next step is, oh, upgrade your packages because, you know, we have the CVE in the system in this version.

245
00:18:41.196 --> 00:18:47.219
This is a chart of, like, the cumulative, well, the CVEs that are getting published, like, I think,

246
00:18:48.828 --> 00:19:12.913
every day and there are databases that publish this oftentimes it's very common in open source projects for closed source projects it's a lot limited they don't necessarily always talk about it but companies like apple will always assign a cve for important fixes in their software so this is a chart and as you can see it's becoming exponential lately you can see that there was

247
00:19:19.095 --> 00:19:22.579
there is clearly like a delay in disclosures.

248
00:19:22.779 --> 00:19:24.341
So like a lot of the changes we're seeing

249
00:19:25.722 --> 00:19:30.945
Those were initiatives that started like six months ago that are now showing up in the public.

250
00:19:32.046 --> 00:19:34.447
But what's really happening is that the cost is going down.

251
00:19:34.628 --> 00:19:37.970
So security has become an economics problem.

252
00:19:38.490 --> 00:19:45.034
Like you can convert a lot of cyber risk into what is the cost of doing this hacking?

253
00:19:45.314 --> 00:19:50.097
And that is going to zero, which means like number of hacks are going to infinity.

254
00:19:51.198 --> 00:19:51.398
Yeah.

255
00:19:52.745 --> 00:19:59.707
And also, I think we're, uh, because of the speed, uh, of like, how is this identify vulnerabilities in the past?

256
00:20:00.167 --> 00:20:05.128
You would say, okay, you know, we found something and then you would give time for people to upgrade and then you would disclose it.

257
00:20:05.808 --> 00:20:13.270
Uh, but now the moment you say something exists and somebody can just point their agent to, you know, PHP and say, find me the vulnerability.

258
00:20:14.050 --> 00:20:15.651
And now they can, right?

259
00:20:15.671 --> 00:20:16.911
So, um, yeah.

260
00:20:19.639 --> 00:20:21.603
you don't have the space to allow people to upgrade.

261
00:20:21.963 --> 00:20:28.736
The moment that people are informed that something is possible, they can immediately go after it.

262
00:20:30.343 --> 00:20:31.183
Yeah, yeah.

263
00:20:31.203 --> 00:20:40.508
So for the listeners who are listening to this in the RSS feed, we're just basically looking at a chart that is mostly flat, and then it slowly slopes upward, and then it goes vertical.

264
00:20:40.888 --> 00:20:46.291
And I think what Odysseus and Hari are saying is like, it's also vertical, but it's vertical but lagging.

265
00:20:46.351 --> 00:20:49.873
So today it's even more vertical than the vertical that we see on the screen.

266
00:20:50.713 --> 00:20:53.235
Uh, the only, humans can't keep up with this.

267
00:20:53.655 --> 00:20:56.397
The only way to combat this is with AI.

268
00:20:56.637 --> 00:21:02.200
And so our AI defense has to go, it has to be faster than AI offense.

269
00:21:02.860 --> 00:21:06.763
Uh, so the defenders have to be moving as quickly as, or faster than the attackers.

270
00:21:07.463 --> 00:21:08.744
Is that feasible?

271
00:21:09.024 --> 00:21:10.385
Can we, can we do that?

272
00:21:10.925 --> 00:21:15.268
Where is the balance of power between offense and defense these days?

273
00:21:16.948 --> 00:21:18.329
That's a great question.

274
00:21:18.730 --> 00:21:26.056
And unfortunately, for the next, I would say, 12 to 18 months, it's going to be largely dominated by offense.

275
00:21:26.376 --> 00:21:31.060
So the best way to understand what you need to do is to attack yourself.

276
00:21:31.600 --> 00:21:34.202
And so in a safe way, attack yourself.

277
00:21:35.318 --> 00:21:39.140
from the external surface as if like an attacker would attack yourself.

278
00:21:39.580 --> 00:21:41.862
And now we have a product that does that.

279
00:21:41.882 --> 00:21:43.723
So we have a product called Apex.

280
00:21:43.783 --> 00:21:44.963
It's an offensive security agent.

281
00:21:45.564 --> 00:21:47.064
It can take in your websites.

282
00:21:47.104 --> 00:21:48.025
It can take in your source code.

283
00:21:48.065 --> 00:21:52.747
It can take in any information that you have and it will simulate an attack.

284
00:21:53.028 --> 00:21:56.209
So it will try to attack you, show you like all the ways it finds to breach you.

285
00:21:56.810 --> 00:21:59.991
And the best thing you can do is fix all the ways that it finds to breach you.

286
00:22:01.052 --> 00:22:03.273
So that's going to be a lot of the work next.

287
00:22:03.393 --> 00:22:04.594
One is attack yourself.

288
00:22:05.234 --> 00:22:06.474
fix the things that it finds.

289
00:22:07.435 --> 00:22:26.821
But I think there is a silver lining here where you can now, you know, what's happening with software engineering is software engineering is becoming almost like a, you know, industrial where people talk about software factories now, as opposed to like people, you know, writing software in an office.

290
00:22:27.221 --> 00:22:28.662
Software is getting built in factories today.

291
00:22:29.382 --> 00:22:34.647
What's going to happen in the next, I would say, two years would be security will also make a similar shift.

292
00:22:35.047 --> 00:22:37.690
Like we will have security factory for every company.

293
00:22:38.210 --> 00:22:45.197
So it's constantly looking out for ways to breach you, but also like proactively finding ways to fix the breaches.

294
00:22:45.857 --> 00:22:46.438
But yeah.

295
00:22:46.938 --> 00:22:50.159
Next few months, next 12 months, attack, attack, attack.

296
00:22:50.979 --> 00:22:52.439
Fix all the things that it finds.

297
00:22:53.019 --> 00:22:59.160
Make it extremely expensive for the attackers to attack you by attacking first and fixing all the findings.

298
00:22:59.780 --> 00:23:03.161
If the cost to attack you is like a dollar, like you will get attacked.

299
00:23:03.301 --> 00:23:07.401
Like make it like $10,000 and most people like would not attack you.

300
00:23:08.302 --> 00:23:12.182
Most people are not going to spend $10,000 scalably to attack a random company.

301
00:23:12.222 --> 00:23:13.463
They will spend a dollar.

302
00:23:13.503 --> 00:23:14.063
That is a given.

303
00:23:15.643 --> 00:23:16.023
Interesting.

304
00:23:16.043 --> 00:23:16.143
Yeah.

305
00:23:17.166 --> 00:23:18.406
Yeah, amazing product.

306
00:23:18.466 --> 00:23:20.187
We were using it at Phylax as well.

307
00:23:20.307 --> 00:23:21.007
We're very happy.

308
00:23:21.508 --> 00:23:22.628
It's very impressive.

309
00:23:23.408 --> 00:23:35.313
But I think this highlights also something that, you know, why I think it will be, you know, 12 months, as Harry's saying, or more, is not because the capabilities don't exist, like products like Apex exist.

310
00:23:35.893 --> 00:23:39.054
You know, we're a startup, we're using it, we don't have any bureaucracy.

311
00:23:39.614 --> 00:23:43.436
But in big organizations where humans and bureaucracy is the bottleneck,

312
00:23:44.596 --> 00:23:46.517
it will take a lot of time to adapt to that.

313
00:23:46.577 --> 00:23:51.620
And I think that is why it will take so much time for all these things to be fixed.

314
00:23:51.640 --> 00:23:55.722
Because suddenly, you know, crypto was always the dark forest.

315
00:23:56.062 --> 00:23:59.704
And we were, you know, grew up in that environment.

316
00:23:59.724 --> 00:24:01.485
We evolved in that and we understand that.

317
00:24:02.065 --> 00:24:03.826
But the internet was never a dark forest.

318
00:24:04.126 --> 00:24:06.167
Like security through obscurity worked.

319
00:24:07.467 --> 00:24:09.268
Laziness is a human attribute.

320
00:24:09.869 --> 00:24:12.850
And suddenly, you know, within a few months, it was a human attribute.

321
00:24:13.045 --> 00:24:18.488
Now the whole internet is a dark forest and organizations and people are not used to that.

322
00:24:19.409 --> 00:24:27.253
And suddenly they have to, you know, it's, you have a tanker, a huge ship and you have to turn it while you're being attacked by small speed boats.

323
00:24:28.274 --> 00:24:29.475
No bureaucracy, right?

324
00:24:31.929 --> 00:24:47.763
I would say like that's a great point probably like a very fast and drawn very cheap drawn that's like the way to think about it you know you have this machine and the swarms of agents that are cheap are coming for you and I wanted to I wanted to

325
00:24:49.304 --> 00:25:02.169
I think Odysseus touched a very important point, which is like, most people remember like the crypto hacks from the 2020, the 2021 era where every week there is a big incident, somebody lost $1,000.

326
00:25:03.009 --> 00:25:06.731
And people would always like make fun of the industry for being insecure.

327
00:25:07.551 --> 00:25:13.113
And the reality was that like the entire software industry was insecure.

328
00:25:13.574 --> 00:25:16.655
It's just that crypto had very high incentives for people to hack.

329
00:25:17.359 --> 00:25:20.101
It was the economic variable that was different.

330
00:25:20.301 --> 00:25:22.022
And also everything was public.

331
00:25:22.362 --> 00:25:22.822
Yeah, correct.

332
00:25:22.902 --> 00:25:25.003
And now the economics have changed.

333
00:25:25.404 --> 00:25:31.707
And, you know, welcome to the 2020 crypto where you see like a big incident every week.

334
00:25:31.747 --> 00:25:35.550
That is a new reality for the real world.

335
00:25:36.070 --> 00:25:39.752
And, you know, in some way, like, you know, you have moved through this in a different era.

336
00:25:41.884 --> 00:25:49.129
My spinal reflex is to like look at crypto and be like, yeah, this is bullish because this is the environment that crypto was born in.

337
00:25:49.249 --> 00:25:51.191
Like this is we are home here.

338
00:25:51.731 --> 00:25:56.755
Like you guys, you know, non-crypto securities, like you are in the room with us now.

339
00:25:56.995 --> 00:26:00.478
And we were raised in the darkness, you know, something to that effect.

340
00:26:01.038 --> 00:26:13.885
I don't know if that actually means like crypto prices go up, but it does make me feel some sort of comfort that like blockchain systems were born in adversarial environments and now the world is an adversarial environment.

341
00:26:15.106 --> 00:26:18.608
Is there a more bullish take than that or is that about as bullish as it gets?

342
00:26:21.529 --> 00:26:26.792
I think you hit an interesting point where I always tell people like, you know, like,

343
00:26:28.036 --> 00:26:31.539
you know, we are a security company and our job in the past was to secure money.

344
00:26:31.859 --> 00:26:34.661
And securing money is the hottest thing in the world.

345
00:26:34.721 --> 00:26:35.782
It's like fucking insane.

346
00:26:36.782 --> 00:26:42.527
With maybe the sole exception of like government to government cyber, which is a, you know, all different industry.

347
00:26:43.387 --> 00:26:50.337
And if you are in this circle of protecting money, this is easy.

348
00:26:51.638 --> 00:26:51.879
Yeah.

349
00:26:52.219 --> 00:26:54.462
So now a lot of the job is a scale.

350
00:26:54.582 --> 00:26:59.549
So how do you make sure that every single company on the internet can have the same level of

351
00:27:00.797 --> 00:27:04.781
like protection that some of the largest like crypto companies have.

352
00:27:05.362 --> 00:27:10.487
That that's like one way to think about it, but also the large companies in crypto, they also need to invest.

353
00:27:10.907 --> 00:27:13.390
Nobody's only the paranoid survive.

354
00:27:13.610 --> 00:27:18.274
And like you need to invest in cyber today across the board.

355
00:27:19.155 --> 00:27:23.179
But I do think there is a like philosophically and, um,

356
00:27:24.040 --> 00:27:34.137
from an operation perspective, like there is an embedded advantage to companies that were built in this, like really offensive environment that has become commonplace.

357
00:27:35.343 --> 00:27:37.204
So that was going to be one of the questions I have.

358
00:27:37.264 --> 00:27:40.386
It's like, what about my crypto that I have stored in Coinbase?

359
00:27:40.626 --> 00:27:42.267
Like, is Coinbase vulnerable here?

360
00:27:42.627 --> 00:27:48.490
And I guess interpreting your answer is like, well, they are vulnerable in the sense that, like, the cost to attack has gone down.

361
00:27:48.510 --> 00:27:49.511
That's true for Coinbase.

362
00:27:49.531 --> 00:27:51.092
Like, the economics of that doesn't change.

363
00:27:51.512 --> 00:27:56.455
But the Coinbase incentive to defend has been way higher for a lot longer.

364
00:27:57.115 --> 00:27:59.356
And so, yes, Coinbase should be concerned.

365
00:27:59.436 --> 00:28:01.898
But their starting point is fundamentally different.

366
00:28:02.778 --> 00:28:08.443
And so my money in Coinbase is probably not any weaker today than it was a week ago or a month ago.

367
00:28:09.083 --> 00:28:14.207
But also, nonetheless, it is still up to Coinbase to be very on the ball with advances in security practices.

368
00:28:16.464 --> 00:28:18.564
Yeah, I would lean into that.

369
00:28:18.605 --> 00:28:32.868
Like if you look at, let's say, Coinbase and JP Morgan or like a large financial institution, in some way, Coinbase is better prepared to defend than your bank.

370
00:28:33.528 --> 00:28:42.150
And people often assume that, you know, the traditional financial institutions don't have to worry about cyber risk because you can always like pull back money.

371
00:28:42.190 --> 00:28:42.870
That's not the case.

372
00:28:43.050 --> 00:28:45.471
Like, you know, you...

373
00:28:47.232 --> 00:28:53.457
people build payment rails and abusing the payment rails are like there's real risk at place.

374
00:28:54.217 --> 00:29:06.807
And if you study North Korea, before there was internet banking, they have found exploits in ATMs and they use that ATM exploits to withdraw money.

375
00:29:07.888 --> 00:29:09.389
Somebody gave this example where,

376
00:29:10.150 --> 00:29:12.251
they found a way to exploit target gift cards.

377
00:29:12.592 --> 00:29:17.015
And then they were able to use the gift cards to like, you know, get money out of the system.

378
00:29:17.135 --> 00:29:27.161
So in some way, like the legacy companies that never had to worry about this intense cyber pressure, they are more at risk than the Coinbase.

379
00:29:27.322 --> 00:29:27.462
And,

380
00:29:28.851 --> 00:29:30.312
I know the Coinbase team pretty well.

381
00:29:30.352 --> 00:29:31.492
They are preparing.

382
00:29:32.733 --> 00:29:35.254
They need to keep investing in cyber.

383
00:29:35.895 --> 00:29:40.737
But your money is safer in Coinbase than, you know, target gift cards as of now.

384
00:29:42.298 --> 00:29:43.479
I hope that was always true.

385
00:30:00.853 --> 00:30:05.760
Bankless, on the other hand, has spent almost a decade building one of the deepest archives of crypto data anywhere.

386
00:30:05.900 --> 00:30:12.130
More than 2,000 podcast transcripts, 10,000 articles, and countless conversations with the people actually building this industry.

387
00:30:12.330 --> 00:30:15.595
And now we've structured all of that data into the Bankless MCP.

388
00:30:15.815 --> 00:30:23.301
So you can go and connect it to your Claude or ChatGPT and suddenly your AI can answer your crypto queries with the entire Bankless archive behind it.

389
00:30:23.421 --> 00:30:29.265
And every new Bankless article or episode gets added automatically so the context keeps staying up to date.

390
00:30:29.526 --> 00:30:33.449
The Bankless MCP is exclusively available to Bankless premium subscribers.

391
00:30:33.669 --> 00:30:37.792
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392
00:30:37.872 --> 00:30:42.796
And all of a sudden, your crypto queries to your AI, LLM, whatever you use, will get a thousand times better.

393
00:30:42.916 --> 00:30:43.576
So go check it out.

394
00:30:43.676 --> 00:30:44.877
There is a link in the show notes.

395
00:30:44.917 --> 00:30:49.120
And once you become a Bankless Premium member, you can hop into the Bankless Discord and let me know how you like it.

396
00:30:49.520 --> 00:30:49.760
Cheers.

397
00:30:50.061 --> 00:30:50.721
Some exciting news.

398
00:30:50.801 --> 00:30:55.544
We are launching a new podcast to help people figure out the crypto cycle, how to navigate it.

399
00:30:55.624 --> 00:30:58.326
The best crypto cycle investor I know, his name is Michael Nato.

400
00:30:58.406 --> 00:30:59.447
He runs the DeFi Report.

401
00:30:59.507 --> 00:31:04.270
This is the guy that sent me a sell alert before the 1010 price drop happened.

402
00:31:04.470 --> 00:31:06.912
His cycle analysis has been absolutely on point.

403
00:31:06.992 --> 00:31:08.333
I've been following him for years.

404
00:31:08.513 --> 00:31:11.935
And this year we started recording weekly podcast episodes.

405
00:31:12.075 --> 00:31:19.838
Each one, we get into his portfolio, what he's holding, the market structure, entry targets, fair market value of Bitcoin and Ether, and where we are in the cycle.

406
00:31:19.938 --> 00:31:22.339
There's new episodes that are released every Wednesday.

407
00:31:22.419 --> 00:31:23.139
They're 30 minutes.

408
00:31:23.199 --> 00:31:23.679
They're short.

409
00:31:23.699 --> 00:31:24.339
They're punchy.

410
00:31:24.459 --> 00:31:26.840
I think this crypto cycle is harder to navigate than most.

411
00:31:27.080 --> 00:31:28.321
So let's do it together.

412
00:31:28.461 --> 00:31:29.681
Go subscribe to this podcast.

413
00:31:29.741 --> 00:31:32.322
Search The DeFi Report wherever you get your podcasts.

414
00:31:32.382 --> 00:31:35.463
YouTube, Apple, Spotify, or find a link in the show notes.

415
00:31:35.583 --> 00:31:37.144
There's a new episode waiting for you now.

416
00:31:37.364 --> 00:31:41.226
Is there like a silver lining in the fullness of time here?

417
00:31:41.746 --> 00:31:49.550
Because we've known that in like modern day software that's built by humans, that runs on the internet, it has been full of holes forever.

418
00:31:49.650 --> 00:31:55.173
Like the internet is built with sticks and duct tape and like paper mache because humans wrote it.

419
00:31:55.213 --> 00:31:58.054
And as Odysseus mentioned earlier, humans are lazy.

420
00:31:58.114 --> 00:32:00.515
And so therefore the internet has been built in a lazy way.

421
00:32:00.535 --> 00:32:04.357
And we've only really needed to secure it on an as needed basis.

422
00:32:04.557 --> 00:32:06.358
And that's not the environment that we are in anymore.

423
00:32:06.398 --> 00:32:16.362
So like, say we get through this period, call it, I don't know, 18 months, I think, Haru, you said 18 months of turbulence in terms of internet cybersecurity.

424
00:32:16.982 --> 00:32:23.145
But then on the end of it, doesn't that mean we have like completely secure software for the first time ever?

425
00:32:23.705 --> 00:32:26.426
And if once we get to that point, what do we get?

426
00:32:26.927 --> 00:32:28.207
Is there like silver lining there?

427
00:32:28.347 --> 00:32:34.490
Or is it just like, oh, we just, no, we just get to be back in a normal environment and we get to proceed forward

428
00:32:34.510 --> 00:32:35.091
I don't know.

429
00:32:35.111 --> 00:32:37.295
Is there some sort of silver lining in the fullness of time here?

430
00:32:37.315 --> 00:32:41.963
This is, I'll let you go for it.

431
00:32:44.783 --> 00:32:46.305
Intuitively, I would say probably yes.

432
00:32:46.445 --> 00:32:52.311
So, you know, probably we will, you know, it will not be better, but it will be back to normal, I guess.

433
00:32:52.791 --> 00:32:58.337
So right now it's, you know, right now it's a full on, you know, scale invasion.

434
00:32:59.618 --> 00:33:08.146
And after the bloodbath, it's going to be back to regular, you know, hand to hand combat between attackers and defenders on more or less equal grounds.

435
00:33:10.378 --> 00:33:12.579
But there's going to be first the bloodbath.

436
00:33:13.959 --> 00:33:16.720
I think for me, I have two conflicted opinions.

437
00:33:17.441 --> 00:33:22.603
One, agents doing cyber will make software better, period.

438
00:33:22.783 --> 00:33:28.125
After 18 months, the software we will be building would be way safer than anything in the past.

439
00:33:29.266 --> 00:33:31.847
But people need to think about this new...

440
00:33:32.887 --> 00:33:36.509
like the next attacker is an agent, like, and they are not going away.

441
00:33:36.710 --> 00:33:41.252
Like, it's like this alien species that's now going to live among us.

442
00:33:41.573 --> 00:33:44.835
So I don't think people have really mixed

443
00:33:45.563 --> 00:33:47.483
taught enough about like what does it mean?

444
00:33:47.904 --> 00:33:54.945
Like do you want to live in a world where one mistake and you're done because there's always like this persistent pressure on you?

445
00:33:55.625 --> 00:33:57.726
I don't think the world was built that way.

446
00:33:57.846 --> 00:34:00.607
Like the world is always built for, hey, people are safe.

447
00:34:00.907 --> 00:34:03.127
Like most people are not criminals.

448
00:34:03.987 --> 00:34:14.990
But now, you know, highly scalable agents that can attack you at any point if you make one mistake, that's a very different world that we will be living in.

449
00:34:18.881 --> 00:34:21.984
All right, guys, I feel sufficiently informed.

450
00:34:22.124 --> 00:34:34.294
Do you guys have any just like general advice for just individuals like me or listeners of this podcast who own crypto assets or whatever, just have data or individuals who live in the modern era?

451
00:34:34.854 --> 00:34:38.918
What behaviors or activities are you guys doing as a result of this?

452
00:34:38.958 --> 00:34:41.640
Anything that the individual should know and learn from?

453
00:34:44.582 --> 00:34:48.865
So broadly speaking, this applies to crypto and non-crypto.

454
00:34:49.986 --> 00:34:51.748
Think about all the products that you're using today.

455
00:34:53.249 --> 00:34:53.889
Reach out to them.

456
00:34:54.830 --> 00:35:00.434
Ask them like, hey, what are you doing to protect my data, my money, my reputation?

457
00:35:02.075 --> 00:35:09.081
And if you don't like the answer, then you should think about like moving your data money out of the system.

458
00:35:09.101 --> 00:35:09.901
Yeah.

459
00:35:10.902 --> 00:35:16.831
it is almost irresponsible for companies to not take actions to protect their customers today.

460
00:35:17.572 --> 00:35:19.375
And you need to look out for it.

461
00:35:20.457 --> 00:35:22.259
It's also now your responsibility to make sure that

462
00:35:23.479 --> 00:35:27.941
your data, your money is living in products that are responsible.

463
00:35:29.082 --> 00:35:43.669
So that is the number one thing I would say, like do like a personal audit of what are the products you're using, what are the services you're using, where's your data, where's your money, potential reach out to them, look at their public work that they're doing.

464
00:35:44.469 --> 00:35:49.412
If their security program is the same as before, leave.

465
00:35:50.332 --> 00:35:51.633
If they haven't changed, like,

466
00:35:52.638 --> 00:35:54.603
It's coming for them, unfortunately.

467
00:35:55.365 --> 00:35:58.332
So that's what I would recommend as every consumer.

468
00:35:58.532 --> 00:36:01.379
Look at everything where you put your money in.

469
00:36:04.955 --> 00:36:11.281
For me, it's all about redundancies and blaster radius.

470
00:36:11.301 --> 00:36:16.906
So you assume you are going to be exposed to an incident, like with Railway, for example.

471
00:36:18.688 --> 00:36:27.556
So assume that the services you're using are exposed and they're going to be infiltrated and then have a lot of redundancies such that

472
00:36:28.518 --> 00:36:33.849
a lot of organizations have to fail at the same time in order for you to lose money, right?

473
00:36:33.869 --> 00:36:39.299
So to give an example, you know, if you have, you know, self-custody, for example,

474
00:36:40.757 --> 00:36:43.440
Maybe you want to use a ledger, but also use an iPhone.

475
00:36:43.580 --> 00:36:46.062
So you have like two supply chain attacks that need to happen.

476
00:36:46.483 --> 00:36:49.686
And also the safe transaction supply chain has to be infiltrated.

477
00:36:51.147 --> 00:36:54.050
And also, you know, maybe add some other measure, right?

478
00:36:54.070 --> 00:37:00.236
So it's like building these defenses and assume that any service you're using will probably be infiltrated.

479
00:37:00.517 --> 00:37:03.700
And if it does, then how exposed are you going to be?

480
00:37:06.184 --> 00:37:13.350
That does feel a little bit daunting because I just think about like, okay, I have assets here, I have assets there, I have assets there.

481
00:37:14.151 --> 00:37:18.895
That's a lot of things for me to vet, to kick the tires of, and I'm not technical.

482
00:37:19.495 --> 00:37:20.216
I'm not technical.

483
00:37:22.317 --> 00:37:23.018
How do I do this?

484
00:37:30.304 --> 00:37:32.226
I'm not sure there's a good answer for that.

485
00:37:32.626 --> 00:37:33.667
Yeah.

486
00:37:33.887 --> 00:37:34.488
Probably...

487
00:37:36.295 --> 00:37:49.111
Yeah, in terms of like self-custody assets, I think if you have, I think the best setup is if you, yeah, you use like probably something like an iPhone with biometrics to secure the keys.

488
00:37:49.251 --> 00:37:52.234
And then if you have multiple of these, then, you know,

489
00:37:53.463 --> 00:38:00.130
If there is a supply chain attack on Apple, there's a lot more to be worried about than your assets.

490
00:38:01.011 --> 00:38:01.731
I see.

491
00:38:02.832 --> 00:38:10.580
One pragmatic tip I can give in that context is we have disclosed a lot of security issues on the internet.

492
00:38:11.821 --> 00:38:12.842
Many crypto companies do.

493
00:38:14.114 --> 00:38:22.964
And based on some of the incidents we have seen, maybe don't click on links that you feel are a bit sketchy.

494
00:38:23.804 --> 00:38:27.148
That is like the common way to escalate.

495
00:38:27.448 --> 00:38:31.533
So careful clicking links that should like,

496
00:38:32.685 --> 00:38:35.066
especially with self-custodied, you need to have a trigger.

497
00:38:35.326 --> 00:38:37.367
You need to like take an action.

498
00:38:37.867 --> 00:38:44.650
It's very rare that without any trigger, well, it's possible, but it's very, very much more difficult.

499
00:38:45.351 --> 00:38:50.293
So if you're using a wallet somewhere, like you need to drive an action there.

500
00:38:50.433 --> 00:38:52.534
So try to minimize that.

501
00:38:53.834 --> 00:38:59.957
And more importantly, like reach out to these companies, tell them like, hey, what are you doing?

502
00:39:00.957 --> 00:39:12.360
like at the end of the day, like they are respond, they have a responsibility to like, if every, if every individual is responsible for securing the software that they're using, like that's, that's not how it works.

503
00:39:12.380 --> 00:39:19.623
You know, like that, most people are not technical and we need to build products for everyone in the world and make sure that that is secure.

504
00:39:19.783 --> 00:39:24.044
So the responsibility lies in the, the builders.

505
00:39:24.684 --> 00:39:25.965
And yeah.

506
00:39:26.565 --> 00:39:26.785
Yeah.

507
00:39:27.665 --> 00:39:31.889
Maybe for the foreseeable future, like, you know, stop clicking on a random link.

508
00:39:33.390 --> 00:39:36.833
And maybe for the foreseeable future, consider not self-custodied.

509
00:39:37.153 --> 00:39:49.324
Actually, maybe it's worth breaking up your assets into multiple exchanges where not only you delegate the security to a professional team, but also they have, you know, cyber insurance.

510
00:39:49.444 --> 00:39:52.606
So, you know, that if anything happens, they have some kind of liability.

511
00:39:53.427 --> 00:40:00.352
Although I think we're going to see a lot of cyber insurance carriers failing over the next few months.

512
00:40:01.113 --> 00:40:13.161
There was a very interesting data point where in 2024, Lloyd's, which is the biggest car in the world, said that LLMs will create more cyber risk.

513
00:40:14.062 --> 00:40:15.463
And, you know.

514
00:40:16.358 --> 00:40:22.042
the premiums of cyber insurance actually have been falling consistently since 2024.

515
00:40:22.442 --> 00:40:26.685
So I think actually we'll see a lot of these carriers failing.

516
00:40:26.885 --> 00:40:37.191
So that's even not a, you know, silver bullet, but probably not self-custarding for the next 12 months seems a good idea.

517
00:40:37.211 --> 00:40:38.092
Mm-hmm.

518
00:40:40.198 --> 00:40:49.025
It would be good, I think, in that case, to just have productive, proactive conversations, proactive statements from anyone who is a custodian.

519
00:40:49.065 --> 00:40:54.149
So like Coinbase being the big one, for me personally, Infinex, for example, is a wallet that I use.

520
00:40:55.570 --> 00:41:03.337
But anyone who holds customer assets, I would like to see them make a tweet saying, hey, the Internet's scary, but we are on it.

521
00:41:04.498 --> 00:41:11.064
And there's somebody whose responsibility it is at these companies to think about these things and to protect user assets.

522
00:41:11.104 --> 00:41:18.110
I think that would be a very refreshing thing to see from some of our biggest crypto companies and custodians in this space.

523
00:41:18.710 --> 00:41:20.231
So Odysseus, Hari, thank you.

524
00:41:20.251 --> 00:41:21.351
I feel much more informed about this.

525
00:41:21.371 --> 00:41:25.733
So thanks to you for coming on this live stream and just informing me and the Bankless audience about exactly what's going on here today.

526
00:41:28.634 --> 00:41:29.255
Thank you so much.

527
00:41:29.835 --> 00:41:30.315
Yeah, thanks.

528
00:41:30.415 --> 00:41:31.896
Bye-bye.

529
00:41:32.256 --> 00:41:36.938
Hari, Odysseus, before I let you guys go, you guys are both have security startups.

530
00:41:37.418 --> 00:41:39.279
Who are your best clients?

531
00:41:39.339 --> 00:41:44.521
And if people are just like looking for extra help, what kind of clients do you guys work with at most?

532
00:41:44.541 --> 00:41:46.242
Hari, I'll start with you, and Odysseus will go after you.

533
00:41:46.723 --> 00:41:49.844
Yeah, so we work with some of the largest crypto companies.

534
00:41:50.325 --> 00:41:55.647
I miss as a customer, like Robinhood Crypto and Mastercard, they're all our customers.

535
00:41:56.087 --> 00:42:02.830
But increasingly, because now the tools to secure companies are the same, they're agents.

536
00:42:03.250 --> 00:42:06.271
They're agents that you built and models that you built.

537
00:42:06.291 --> 00:42:07.252
Yeah.

538
00:42:08.748 --> 00:42:09.948
it has become very similar.

539
00:42:09.968 --> 00:42:11.589
So we now work with healthcare companies.

540
00:42:11.849 --> 00:42:15.650
We are securing some healthcare technology companies and their patient healthcare data.

541
00:42:16.471 --> 00:42:21.232
We're securing some AI companies that are now increasingly pulling in a lot of data.

542
00:42:22.753 --> 00:42:24.013
Remember the chat GP example.

543
00:42:24.033 --> 00:42:24.073
So

544
00:42:26.734 --> 00:42:27.615
Yeah, reach out to us.

545
00:42:28.315 --> 00:42:30.998
We send disclosures to many companies.

546
00:42:31.718 --> 00:42:36.783
We have this factory that can, as I mentioned, can churn out exploits.

547
00:42:37.403 --> 00:42:41.687
The best way to defend is to attack yourself and fix everything that it finds.

548
00:42:42.187 --> 00:42:45.790
We're very happy to support companies for free.

549
00:42:46.030 --> 00:42:48.893
It's very cheap for us to send you disclosures.

550
00:42:49.093 --> 00:42:49.894
So reach out to us.

551
00:42:50.094 --> 00:42:50.974
Reach out to me on Twitter.

552
00:42:51.935 --> 00:42:53.176
We'll send over disclosures.

553
00:42:53.256 --> 00:43:00.400
And if you're a larger company that feels like stress, like we have resources that can help you in this terrible era.

554
00:43:01.921 --> 00:43:02.942
Odysseus, who do you work with?

555
00:43:04.002 --> 00:43:07.026
Yeah, so we work with, right now we work with the linear ecosystem.

556
00:43:07.046 --> 00:43:11.251
So we're protecting the ecosystem there, the L2 from ConsenSys.

557
00:43:11.411 --> 00:43:14.575
So you have a protocol there, we'd love to help you set up.

558
00:43:15.055 --> 00:43:17.118
And we're about to launch a new network.

559
00:43:17.138 --> 00:43:21.543
So follow us on socials and you'll see where we make our technology available.

560
00:43:23.268 --> 00:43:42.761
And yeah, it's interesting seeing how redundancies are starting to pop up and customers are very interested in having like this, you know, completely orthogonal circuit breaker from a different organization, different code base protecting their assets such that two systems have to fail at the same time.

561
00:43:45.031 --> 00:43:46.212
Odysseus, Harry, thanks for coming on.

562
00:43:46.252 --> 00:43:50.974
It's nice to know that crypto has been kind of on the ball on some of this stuff just by necessity.

563
00:43:51.014 --> 00:43:53.096
And now it's the rest of the world's turn.

564
00:43:53.636 --> 00:43:56.978
I do feel a little bit more prepared having talked to you guys and also being in the crypto space.

565
00:43:56.998 --> 00:43:59.719
So thanks for coming on and educating me and everyone else.

566
00:43:59.779 --> 00:44:00.920
Bankless Nation, you guys know the deal.

567
00:44:00.940 --> 00:44:02.341
Crypto is risky.

568
00:44:02.901 --> 00:44:03.962
You can lose what you put in.

569
00:44:03.982 --> 00:44:04.682
This is a frontier.

570
00:44:04.702 --> 00:44:06.843
It's not for everyone, but we're glad you're with us on the bankless journey.

571
00:44:07.244 --> 00:44:07.644
Thanks a lot.
